Beast from East bites into Greggs sales

Person eating a Greggs pastyImage source, Newscast

Greggs shares tumbled on Wednesday after the bakery chain said that March's cold snap had hit sales.

The Beast from the East forced the temporary closure of several stores and added to overall weaker trading in early spring.

Like-for-like sales slowed to 1.3% in the first 18 weeks of the year, down from 3.5% for the same period in 2017.

Although sales this month had rebounded, Greggs warned that full-year profits could be flat as a result.

The company's failure to keep delivering annual profit growth sparked an investor exodus, with shares sliding almost 15% to £10.78, valuing it at £1.1bn.

Nick Bubb, an independent retail analyst, commented: "The overall message is that, despite tight cost control, underlying profits for the year are now likely to be only flat compared to last year, which is obviously a bit disappointing."

Before Wednesday's trading update, analysts had forecast annual pretax profit before one-off items of £87.1m - up from £81.8m this year - according to Reuters data.

Greggs said the year began well, with sales rising 3.2% in January and February, but the combination of the bad weather, fewer people going into its shops and cautious consumer conditions led to the March slump.

Demand for its food-to-go range was particularly badly hit during that period.

"Trading conditions in March and April have been very difficult in the market generally and Greggs is no exception to that," said chief executive Roger Whiteside.

Sales in May had started more strongly but still lagged the growth recorded in January and February.

"Those customers that are coming are spending more ... but there are just fewer of them out shopping and consumer spending underlying trends appear to be under pressure," Mr Whiteside added.

Because of the uncertainties about footfall, Greggs said it was being cautious about the outlook for sales for the rest of the year: "Taking into account trading conditions in the year to date, and our more cautious outlook, we currently believe that underlying profits for the year are likely to be at a similar level to last year."

The Newcastle-based retailer has nearly 1,900 shops across the UK.