Climate pledges tough to secure before COP26 summit, PM warns

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Boris JohnsonImage source, Getty Images

There is a "six out of 10" chance of getting other countries to sign up to financial and environmental targets ahead of November's key COP26 climate change conference, the UK PM has said.

Boris Johnson is in the US for a UN meeting where he will urge leaders to take "concrete action" on the issue.

But he said it would be "tough" to persuade allies to meet their promise to give $100bn a year to developing nations to cut carbon emissions.

The UK is hosting COP26 in Glasgow.

Mr Johnson also defended new International Trade Secretary Anne-Marie Trevelyan over her past social media posts that rejected the science of climate change, acknowledging that he himself had not always supported action on global warming but "the facts change and people change their minds".

With some 100 world leaders expected in New York at the UN General Assembly this week, Mr Johnson will seek to galvanise action during a series of high-level meetings.

Speaking during his flight, Mr Johnson told reporters: "I think getting it all done this week is going to be a stretch. But I think getting it all done by COP, six out of 10.

"It's going to be tough but people need to understand that this is crucial for the world."

Downing Street has said developed countries have "collectively failed" on their annual $100bn (£73bn) target, with OECD figures last week showing that only $79.6bn in climate finance was mobilised in 2019.

Why the climate talks need US cash to flow

The US presents a huge obstacle to the climate talks.

President Biden says he wants to undo the harm caused by President Trump's withdrawal from the international climate agreement.

But he's facing a very big bill to help developing nations cope with the effects of global heating, and it's not yet clear he can persuade Congress to stump up the cash.

Rich nations have agreed to help poorer countries with a $100bn annual goal as of 2017-18.

Recent research from the UK think tank the Overseas Development Institute found the US paid only 4% of its "fair share", external.

It suggested $40bn would be a reasonable US contribution - and the president may pledge additional money at the UN General Assembly on Tuesday.

If the cash doesn't flow, major developing nations may resist making further emissions cuts themselves.

China and India already feel aggrieved that they're being asked to curb emissions at a far earlier stage in their development than western nations.

COP26 president Alok Sharma, who is with the PM, earlier revealed that Chinese President Xi Jinping had not yet committed to attending the conference.

Mr Johnson said Mr Sharma had had "some great conversations already with his Chinese counterparts about the things they want to do".

"I think China is massively important to this and I think China shows real signs of making progress," he added.

Mr Johnson also insisted new International Development Secretary Anne-Marie Trevelyan would do an "outstanding job" after social media posts emerged showing her previously denying climate change.

"I don't want to encourage you but if you were to excavate some of my articles from 20 years ago you might find some comments I made... about climate change that weren't entirely supportive of the current struggle," he said.

"But the facts change and people change their minds and change their views."

Mr Johnson will also travel to Washington where he will meet US President Joe Biden in the White House for the first time.

The prime minister is likely to push for a restoration of UK-US travel, with Mr Biden's administration having maintained a ban despite travel restrictions being eased elsewhere.