Germany coronavirus: Record rise prompts warning of 100,000 deaths

  • Published
Related topics
Intensive care Covid ward in Leipzig
Image caption,

Of the 18 patients on this Covid ward in Leipzig, 14 were unvaccinated

One of Germany's top virologists has warned that a further 100,000 people will die from Covid if nothing's done to halt an aggressive fourth wave.

Case numbers have soared and Germany on Wednesday registered its highest rate of infection since the pandemic began, with almost 40,000 cases in a day.

"We have to act right now," said Christian Drosten, who described a real emergency situation.

Doctors in the intensive care Covid ward at Leipzig University Hospital warn this fourth wave could be the worst yet.

One patient here, a woman in her 20s, has just given birth. Her baby is fine, but staff say they don't know whether she'll survive.

This state of Saxony has the highest seven-day infection rate in Germany at 459 cases per 100,000 people. The national rate is 232.

It also has the lowest take-up of vaccine: 57% of the population here have been vaccinated.

There are 18 patients on the Covid ward. Just four were vaccinated.

"It's very difficult to get staff motivated to treat patients now in this fourth wave," says Prof Sebastian Stehr, who heads the department. "A large part of the population still underestimates the problem."

By now, Prof Sehr says, most people will know someone who's had Covid and should, therefore, be aware of the risk of infection. "Nevertheless," he adds, "we are still seeing so many patients who are not vaccinated."

Germany's health minister has publicly blamed those people for the soaring cases, describing the current situation as a "pandemic of the unvaccinated".

data in detail

Scroll table to see more data

*Deaths per 100,000 people

US 1,012,833 308.6 87,030,788
Brazil 672,033 318.4 32,535,923
India 525,242 38.4 43,531,650
Russia 373,595 258.8 18,173,480
Mexico 325,793 255.4 6,093,835
Peru 213,579 657.0 3,640,061
UK 177,890 266.2 22,232,377
Italy 168,604 279.6 18,805,756
Indonesia 156,758 57.9 6,095,351
France 146,406 218.3 30,584,880
Iran 141,404 170.5 7,240,564
Germany 141,397 170.1 28,542,484
Colombia 140,070 278.3 6,175,181
Argentina 129,109 287.3 9,394,326
Poland 116,435 306.6 6,016,526
Ukraine 112,459 253.4 5,040,518
Spain 108,111 229.6 12,818,184
South Africa 101,812 173.9 3,995,291
Turkey 99,057 118.7 15,180,444
Romania 65,755 339.7 2,927,187
Philippines 60,602 56.1 3,709,386
Chile 58,617 309.3 4,030,267
Hungary 46,647 477.5 1,928,125
Vietnam 43,088 44.7 10,749,324
Canada 42,001 111.7 3,958,155
Czech Republic 40,324 377.9 3,936,870
Bulgaria 37,260 534.1 1,174,216
Malaysia 35,784 112.0 4,575,809
Ecuador 35,745 205.7 913,798
Belgium 31,952 278.2 4,265,296
Japan 31,328 24.8 9,405,007
Thailand 30,736 44.1 4,534,017
Pakistan 30,403 14.0 1,539,275
Greece 30,327 283.0 3,729,199
Bangladesh 29,174 17.9 1,980,974
Tunisia 28,691 245.3 1,052,180
Iraq 25,247 64.2 2,359,755
Egypt 24,723 24.6 515,645
South Korea 24,576 47.5 18,413,997
Portugal 24,149 235.2 5,171,236
Netherlands 22,383 129.1 8,203,898
Bolivia 21,958 190.7 931,955
Slovakia 20,147 369.4 2,551,116
Austria 20,068 226.1 4,499,570
Myanmar 19,434 36.0 613,659
Sweden 19,124 185.9 2,519,199
Kazakhstan 19,018 102.7 1,396,584
Paraguay 18,994 269.6 660,841
Guatemala 18,616 112.1 921,146
Georgia 16,841 452.7 1,660,429
Sri Lanka 16,522 75.8 664,181
Serbia 16,132 232.3 2,033,180
Morocco 16,120 44.2 1,226,246
Croatia 16,082 395.4 1,151,523
Bosnia and Herzegovina 15,807 478.9 379,041
China 14,633 1.0 2,144,566
Jordan 14,068 139.3 1,700,526
Switzerland 13,833 161.3 3,759,730
Nepal 11,952 41.8 979,835
Moldova 11,567 435.2 520,321
Israel 10,984 121.3 4,391,275
Honduras 10,906 111.9 427,718
Lebanon 10,469 152.7 1,116,798
Australia 10,085 39.8 8,291,399
Azerbaijan 9,717 96.9 793,388
North Macedonia 9,327 447.7 314,501
Saudi Arabia 9,211 26.9 797,374
Lithuania 9,175 329.2 1,162,184
Armenia 8,629 291.7 423,417
Cuba 8,529 75.3 1,106,167
Costa Rica 8,525 168.9 904,934
Panama 8,373 197.2 925,254
Afghanistan 7,725 20.3 182,793
Ethiopia 7,542 6.7 489,502
Ireland 7,499 151.8 1,600,614
Uruguay 7,331 211.8 957,629
Taiwan 7,025 29.5 3,893,643
Belarus 6,978 73.7 982,867
Algeria 6,875 16.0 266,173
Slovenia 6,655 318.7 1,041,426
Denmark 6,487 111.5 3,177,491
Libya 6,430 94.9 502,189
Latvia 5,860 306.4 837,182
Venezuela 5,735 20.1 527,074
Palestinian Territories 5,662 120.8 662,490
Kenya 5,656 10.8 334,551
Zimbabwe 5,558 38.0 255,726
Sudan 4,952 11.6 62,696
Finland 4,875 88.3 1,145,610
Oman 4,628 93.0 390,244
Dominican Republic 4,383 40.8 611,581
El Salvador 4,150 64.3 169,646
Namibia 4,065 163.0 169,247
Trinidad and Tobago 4,013 287.7 167,495
Zambia 4,007 22.4 326,259
Uganda 3,621 8.2 167,979
Albania 3,502 122.7 282,690
Norway 3,337 62.4 1,448,679
Syria 3,150 18.5 55,934
Nigeria 3,144 1.6 257,637
Jamaica 3,144 106.6 143,347
Kosovo 3,140 175.0 229,841
Cambodia 3,056 18.5 136,296
Kyrgyzstan 2,991 46.3 201,101
Botswana 2,750 119.4 322,769
Montenegro 2,729 438.6 241,190
Malawi 2,646 14.2 86,600
Estonia 2,591 195.3 580,114
Kuwait 2,555 60.7 644,451
United Arab Emirates 2,319 23.7 952,960
Mozambique 2,212 7.3 228,226
Mongolia 2,179 67.6 928,981
Yemen 2,149 7.4 11,832
Senegal 1,968 12.1 86,382
Cameroon 1,931 7.5 120,068
Angola 1,900 6.0 101,320
Uzbekistan 1,637 4.9 241,196
New Zealand 1,534 31.2 1,374,535
Bahrain 1,495 91.1 631,562
Rwanda 1,460 11.6 131,270
Ghana 1,452 4.8 166,546
Singapore 1,419 24.9 1,473,180
Eswatini 1,416 123.3 73,148
Madagascar 1,401 5.2 65,787
DR Congo 1,375 1.6 91,393
Suriname 1,369 235.5 80,864
Somalia 1,361 8.8 26,803
Guyana 1,256 160.5 67,657
Luxembourg 1,094 176.5 265,323
Cyprus 1,075 89.7 515,596
Mauritius 1,004 79.3 231,036
Mauritania 984 21.7 60,368
Martinique 965 257.0 195,912
Guadeloupe 955 238.7 168,714
Fiji 866 97.3 65,889
Tanzania 841 1.4 35,768
Haiti 837 7.4 31,677
Bahamas 820 210.5 36,101
Réunion 812 91.3 422,769
Ivory Coast 805 3.1 83,679
Laos 757 10.6 210,313
Malta 748 148.8 105,407
Mali 737 3.7 31,176
Lesotho 699 32.9 33,938
Belize 680 174.2 64,371
Qatar 679 24.0 385,163
Papua New Guinea 662 7.5 44,728
French Polynesia 649 232.4 73,386
Barbados 477 166.2 84,919
Guinea 443 3.5 37,123
Cape Verde 405 73.6 61,105
French Guiana 401 137.9 86,911
Burkina Faso 387 1.9 21,044
Congo 385 7.2 24,128
Saint Lucia 383 209.5 27,094
Gambia 365 15.5 12,002
New Caledonia 313 108.8 64,337
Niger 310 1.3 9,031
Maldives 306 57.6 182,720
Gabon 305 14.0 47,939
Liberia 294 6.0 7,497
Curaçao 278 176.5 44,545
Togo 275 3.4 37,482
Nicaragua 242 3.7 14,690
Grenada 232 207.1 18,376
Brunei 225 51.9 167,669
Aruba 222 208.8 41,000
Chad 193 1.2 7,426
Djibouti 189 19.4 15,690
Mayotte 187 70.3 37,958
Equatorial Guinea 183 13.5 16,114
Iceland 179 49.5 195,259
Channel Islands 179 103.9 80,990
Guinea-Bissau 171 8.9 8,369
Seychelles 167 171.1 44,847
Benin 163 1.4 27,216
Comoros 160 18.8 8,161
Andorra 153 198.3 44,177
Solomon Islands 153 22.8 21,544
Antigua and Barbuda 141 145.2 8,665
Bermuda 140 219.0 16,162
South Sudan 138 1.2 17,722
Timor-Leste 133 10.3 22,959
Tajikistan 125 1.3 17,786
Sierra Leone 125 1.6 7,704
San Marino 115 339.6 18,236
St Vincent and the Grenadines 114 103.1 9,058
Central African Republic 113 2.4 14,649
Isle of Man 108 127.7 36,463
Gibraltar 104 308.6 19,633
Eritrea 103 2.9 9,805
Sint Maarten 87 213.6 10,601
Liechtenstein 85 223.6 17,935
Sao Tome and Principe 74 34.4 6,064
Dominica 68 94.7 14,852
Saint Martin 63 165.8 10,952
British Virgin Islands 63 209.8 6,941
Monaco 59 151.4 13,100
Saint Kitts and Nevis 43 81.4 6,157
Burundi 38 0.3 42,731
Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba 37 142.4 10,405
Turks and Caicos Islands 36 94.3 6,219
Cayman Islands 29 44.7 27,594
Samoa 29 14.7 14,995
Faroe Islands 28 57.5 34,658
Bhutan 21 2.8 59,824
Greenland 21 37.3 11,971
Vanuatu 14 4.7 11,389
Kiribati 13 11.1 3,236
Diamond Princess cruise ship 13 712
Tonga 12 11.5 12,301
Anguilla 9 60.5 3,476
Montserrat 8 160.3 1,020
Wallis and Futuna Islands 7 61.2 454
Palau 6 33.3 5,237
Saint Barthelemy 6 60.9 4,697
MS Zaandam cruise ship 2 9
Cook Islands 1 5.7 5,774
Saint Pierre and Miquelon 1 17.2 2,779
Falkland Islands 0 0.0 1,815
Micronesia 0 0.0 38
Vatican 0 0.0 29
Marshall Islands 0 0.0 18
Antarctica 0 11
Saint Helena 0 0.0 4

Please update your browser to see full interactive

This information is regularly updated but may not reflect the latest totals for each country.

** The past data for new cases is a three day rolling average. Due to revisions in the number of cases, an average cannot be calculated for this date.

Source: Johns Hopkins University and national public health agencies

Figures last updated: 5 July 2022, 08:59 BST

At the start of this week, Saxony banned unvaccinated people from bars, restaurants, public events and sport and leisure facilities. At least several other states are expected to follow suit.

Germany's anti-vaxxers are furious. Several thousand protested last weekend in Leipzig.

"This is discrimination, and we want to express vehemently that we do not accept this in our society," said Leif Hansen, who represents anti-vax "Bewegung Leipzig" (Leipzig Movement). He doesn't trust the companies that made the vaccine or the authorities who approved it.

"They say the vaccination is ok, that I should give it to my children? Never!" he told me. "I have a feeling that it should never go into my body, and I will fight all I can to prevent it coming into my body."

Image caption,

Anti-vaxxers out in force in the city of Leipzig, in Saxony: This eastern state has the lowest vaccine take-up rate in Germany

Sixteen million Germans over the age of 12 have not been fully vaccinated. The German government has admitted it's unlikely to persuade many of those people now, and politicians worry that social divisions might deepen.

What many fear is another lockdown. Nadine Herzog's bar in Leipzig barely survived the last one. She deftly prepares cocktails as she tells us that even before the authorities required it she and her co-owner banned unvaccinated drinkers.

"My business is dying. My dreams came true and now they suffer from people who don't do logical things to prevent others from getting ill or dying and I'm so angry," she told the BBC.

A long queue formed outside a vaccine centre in the city earlier in the week. Evidence, perhaps, that some have changed their minds. But Germany is also now rolling out booster jabs amid concerns about waning protection in those who have been vaccinated.

On the intensive care Covid unit they fear the damage is done. Operations have already been cancelled, procedures postponed to make way for Covid patients.

Doctors here told us that nearly half of the people who end up here will die.

For Germany, which invented one of the world's first Covid vaccines, that is a source of great shame.

Related topics