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The underwater volcano that could erupt this year

A 3D seafloor map showing lava flow from Axial SeamountImage source, Susan Merle/Oregon State University
Image caption,

A 3D seafloor map from July 2014 shows lava flow from Axial Seamount

An underwater volcano that can be found around 300-miles off the coast of Oregon in the US could erupt by the end of 2025.

Axial Seamount is the most active submarine volcano in the northeast Pacific.

It's known to have erupted in 1998, 2011, and most recently in 2015.

The good news is, as it's more than a mile beneath the sea's surface, it's not considered dangerous.

Why do experts think Axial Seamount will erupt?

Two men looking at a number of screens showing scenes from under the seaImage source, Marley Parker, ML Parker Media
Image caption,

Scientists observing the volcano thanks to an underwater robot

Axial Seamount is closely monitored. It was chosen as the site of the world's first underwater volcano observatory.

Now a constant stream of real time data is provided from the seafloor thanks to advanced equipment.

Sensors show the volcano's activity has been increasing, with hundreds of small earthquakes happening every day.

Bill Chadwick is a volcanologist who has been monitoring the underwater activity.

He wrote in an Oregon State University blog post "An eruption does not seem imminent, but it can't do this forever."

The seafloor near it rises in between eruptions, and is currently at a similar level to when the previous one happened in 2015.

After the eruption, the seafloor level then falls when the lava pours out of the top of the volcano.

What will happen when Axial Seamount erupts?

Media caption,

Watch: Satellite images capture the eruption of the giant Honga-Tonga underwater volcano in 2022, which was so big it reshaped the floor of the Pacific Ocean

Mike Stone, a researcher at Yellowstone Volcano Observatory, told media outlet Cowboy State Daily: "When Axial Seamount erupts, it'll look a lot like a Hawaiian lava flow eruption"

"It's not an explosive eruption, but calm effusions of lava flowing out of the caldera and across the seafloor."

Being able to observe the volcano will help scientists predict when future eruptions could happen around the world.