Lawro's Premier League predictions v 'RED' the super-computer
- Published
Manchester City host Tottenham again on Saturday lunchtime - less than three days after Spurs knocked them out of the Champions League - but who will win this time?
BBC football expert Mark Lawrenson said: "City will have a point to prove, so I don't think Wednesday's result was good news for Liverpool.
"If City were not chasing the title, I think the atmosphere at Etihad Stadium could have been a bit flat, but I am sure we will see a response from the City players and fans."
Lawro is making predictions for all 380 top-flight matches this season, against a variety of guests.
This week he is up against a super-computer - called 'RED' - which has been programmed to predict this weekend's fixtures.
The complex model, external has been developed by University of Reading experts and uses a sophisticated metric that factors in historic results, managerial changes and even travel distances for each team to calculate the most probable results.
Dr James Reade, an economist at the University of Reading and lead developer of the computer model, said: "The task of taking on Lawro at his specialist subject is usually taken on by a celebrity, but this weekend is our model's time to shine.
"The program is called 'RED' and we decided to take on a Reds legend.
"We're confident it will provide a stern test for Lawro and hopefully come out on top in the battle between man and machine."
You can watch the full feature on Football Focus at 12:00 BST on Saturday on BBC One and the BBC Sport website.
Premier League predictions - week 35 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Result | Lawro | RED | |
SATURDAY | |||
Man City v Tottenham | 1-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
Bournemouth v Fulham | 0-1 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
Huddersfield v Watford | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
West Ham v Leicester | 2-2 | 2-1 | 1-0 |
Wolves v Brighton | 0-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
Newcastle v Southampton | 3-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 |
SUNDAY | |||
Everton v Man Utd | 4-0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Arsenal v Crystal Palace | 2-3 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
Cardiff v Liverpool | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
MONDAY | |||
Chelsea v Burnley | x-x | 2-0 | 2-0 |
A correct result (picking a win, draw or defeat) is worth 10 points. The exact score earns 40 points.
LAWRO'S PREDICTIONS
All kick-offs 15:00 BST unless stated.
SATURDAY
SUNDAY
Arsenal 2-3 Crystal Palace
I was disappointed with Arsenal on Monday night. I know they won at Watford but they never really had control of the game, even with a man advantage.
The Gunners are average on the road but it is a different story at home, where they have not lost since the opening weekend of the season.
Palace always carry a threat on their travels but I only see one outcome here.
Lawro's prediction: 2-0
RED's prediction: 1-0
MONDAY
Chelsea 2-2 Burnley
Lawro's prediction: 2-0
RED's prediction: 2-0
Lawro was speaking to BBC Sport's Chris Bevan.
How did Lawro do last time?
Last weekend, Lawro got seven correct results including two perfect scores from 10 games, for a total of 130 points.
He beat golfer Matt Fitzpatrick, who got four correct results including one perfect score, for a total of 70 points.
Lawro also made a prediction for Cardiff's 2-0 win at Brighton on Tuesday, but backed the Seagulls to win 1-0 so did not score any extra points.
Total scores after week 34 | |
---|---|
Lawro | 2,900 |
Guests | 2,470 |
Lawro v Guests | |||
---|---|---|---|
P34 | W17 | D4 | L13 |
+/- DENOTE POSITION DIFFERENCE BETWEEN LAWRO'S TABLE AND ACTUAL POSITION | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TEAM | P | W | D | L | PTS | +/- | |
1 | Man City | 33 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 93 | +1 |
=2 | Liverpool | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 80 | -1 |
=2 | Man Utd | 33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 80 | +4 |
4 | Chelsea | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | +1 |
5 | Tottenham | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 68 | -2 |
6 | Leicester | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62 | +1 |
=7 | Arsenal | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 56 | -3 |
=7 | Everton | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | +2 |
9 | Burnley | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 49 | +5 |
10 | Newcastle | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 | +5 |
11 | Wolves | 33 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 39 | -3 |
12 | Watford | 33 | 11 | 3 | 19 | 36 | -2 |
13 | West Ham | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 35 | -2 |
14 | Bournemouth | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 34 | -2 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 | -2 |
16 | Southampton | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
17 | Fulham | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 29 | +2 |
18 | Brighton | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -1 |
=19 | Cardiff | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
=19 | Huddersfield | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
GUEST LEADERBOARD 218-19
SCORE | GUEST LEADERBOARD |
---|---|
160 | David Ginola |
140 | The 1975's Ross MacDonald |
120 | Joe Thomas |
110 | Tom Kerridge, Yatez |
90 | Jim Glennie, Mario Hezonja, Karl Pilkington, Chris Stark |
85 | Lawro (average after 34 weeks) |
80 | Adebayo Akinfenwa, Richard Ashcroft, Dina Asher-Smith, Dame Jessica Ennis-Hill, Greg James, Johnny Marr*, Mark Wahlberg |
70 | Matt Fitzpatrick, Yungen |
60 | Jamie Dornan & Paul Conroy, Idris Elba, Tom McFarland, Dolph Lundgren, Mumford & Sons, Dillian Whyte |
50 | Bring Me The Horizon, Theo Ellis, Drew McIntyre, Mohamed Sanu, Dolph Ziggler |
40 | Tom Grennan, Josh Warrington, Taka |
30 | Ryan Fitzpatrick, Danny Howard*, Oti Mabuse, Scot Mills |
20 | Yizzy |
*Score will be updated when full programme of games are completed
Lawro's best score: 260 points (week seven v Karl Pilkington)
Lawro's worst score: 20 points (week 24 v Grime star Yizzy, week 25 v Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarter-back Ryan Fitzpatrick and Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Mohamed Sanu, and week 31 against Radio 1 DJ Danny Howard)