Summary

  • Wall Street opens higher; Dow Jones hits another record high

  • Mark Carney warns there are clear losers from the rapid growth of free trade.

  • Italy PM Matteo Renzi resigns after referendum loss

  • Italian bank shares close down sharply

  • Euro turns positive against dollar

  • FTSE 100, Germany's Dax and France's Cac rise

  • Get in touch: bizlivepage@bbc.co.uk

  1. ‘No’ vote 'already priced in'published at 08:25 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    Neil Wilson of ETX Capital says that, so far, it’s been a "fairly orderly response from the markets to Italy’s referendum result".

    Quote Message

    The FTSE MIB opened over 2% lower but is still well within its recent trading range. Italian banks are sliding 4-5% as they come under the most pressure, as expected. A ‘No’ vote had already been priced in although the scale of the defeat for Matteo Renzi has surprised and leads to the prospect of fresh elections next year. A new election brings with it the prospect of anti-EU, anti-Eurozone parties coming to power and all that could mean for the single currency. At present however it doesn’t look like the markets are seriously considering Italy’s future in the Eurozone is in any doubt.

  2. Italian banks open sharply lowerpublished at 08:19 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016
    Breaking

    Monte dei PaschiImage source, AFP

    Shares in Italy's troubled banks have taken a hit at the start of trading, as expected after Matteo Renzi's resignation. 

    Monte dei Paschi - Italy's third biggest bank and oldest lender - is down 5.72%, Banca Popolare Milano is down 4.1% and Unicredit is down 4.03%.

    Meanwhile, Unione di Banche Italiane has slipped 4.36% and Mediobanca Group is 3.79% lower.   

    The main Italian stock index, the FTSE MIB, is down 1.28%.

  3. More quantitative easing from ECB?published at 08:10 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    BBC Radio 5 live

    Peter Hahn, professor of banking at the London institute of banking and finance, says the ECB could respond to the Italian referendum outcome by extending its quantitative easing programme. 

    This would prevent Italy's cost of debt from rising, as investors shunned risky Italian assets.

    But there's a good chance the ECB won't act, he says, as other EU countries could object to it "propping up the Italian economy and Italy's banks". 

  4. Pound hits €1.20published at 07:59 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    Pound to euroImage source, Bloomberg

    The pound has risen against the euro, hitting €1.20, on the back of the Italian Prime Minister's resignation.

    The chart above shows how the latest rise continues a storming month for sterling.

    It has jumped from €1.12 in early November on the back of heightened political uncertainty in the EU and investors' concerns about a "hard Brexit" easing.

  5. Italian bond yields soar on referendum outcomepublished at 07:53 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    Matteo RenziImage source, Getty Images

    As predicted, Italian bond yields have jumped after Matteo Renzi's referendum defeat. 

    This morning, Italy's 10-year government bond yield rose 13 basis points (bps) to above 2%  - although that was below a 14-month high of around 2.17% touched in November. Two-year Italian government yields rose by 4 bps to 0.23%. 

    It has impacted Portuguese and Spanish bond yields, which have both climbed, while safe-haven German Bund yields dipped 1.1 bps to 0.27%.

  6. Prices to rise in New Year, says Fortnum bosspublished at 07:40 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    Today Programme
    BBC Radio 4

    Fortnum and Mason storeImage source, Getty Images

    It's "undeniable" that some prices will go up early next year due to the weaker pound, says Ewan Venters, chief executive of London department store Fortnum and Mason, 

    "The truth is it's impacting margins as we speak," he says.

    "But it would be wrong to adjust pricing this side of Christmas. Everyone's holding back and we'll see movement early in the New Year."

    Fortnum this morning reported a rise in annual profits to £6.2m, up by a quarter, on sales of £111m.

  7. RBS offers £800m in shareholder disputepublished at 07:28 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016
    Breaking

    RBS branchImage source, Reuters

    Royal Bank of Scotland says it's struck a deal with three out of five shareholder groups who allege the bank misled them ahead of a rescue fundraising in 2008. 

    In a statement, external, the state-owned lender says it's willing to pay out £800m to the five groups in the dispute, which dates back to the financial crisis. 

    Ross McEwan, chief executive of RBS, says: "We have been very clear that we wanted to deal with as many of our legacy litigation issues as possible during 2015 and 2016."

  8. New Zealand PM also steps downpublished at 07:19 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    Outgoing New Zealand Prime Minister, John Key

    It's worth remembering that Matteo Renzi is not the only prime minister to have stepped down in the last 24 hours. The New Zealand premier, John Key, also announced he would quit, citing family reasons.

    Mr Key, a popular leader, said it was a personal decision, and later denied media reports his wife of 32 years, Bronagh, had given him an ultimatum.  

    Following the announcement the New Zealand dollar slid almost 1%, to $0.707, but it has recovered to trade at $0.715 - up 0.2%.

  9. This was a vote on Renzipublished at 07:09 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    John Foley, Reuters Breakingviews' editor, EMEA

    John Foley, Reuters Breakingviews' editor for Europe, the Middle East and Africa, says yesterday's referendum was really a vote on the Prime Minister. 

    Italy is in bad need of reform - which is why Matteo Renzi called the vote. But while some did object to his plans to reduce the size of the Italian senate, in the end the vote became a "popularity contest" about Renzi. 

    However, without reform, the outlook for Italy's economy has got bleaker, says Mr Foley.

    "Renzi was a reformer and now he is not around... The chances of reform have gone down and the markets will reflect that today."  

  10. Investors watching for bank 'contagion'published at 06:58 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    Today Programme
    BBC Radio 4

    ECB headquartersImage source, Reuters

    The key risk from the Italian referendum outcome is "contagion" to the EU's banks, says David Cumming, head of equities at Standard Life.

    "It's the banking sector people will be watching over the next few days."

    But for contagion to really take hold, Italy would need to leave the euro, and that's quite unlikely, he says.

    There would need to be a new election, won by the eurosceptic 5 Star Party, who would then need to change the constitution if they wanted to hold a referendum on euro membership.

  11. Asian markets ease backpublished at 06:52 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    Trader at Japanese foreign exchange firmImage source, Reuters

    Asian shares edged downwards after nerves over Italy's referendum result spread.

    Tokyo's benchmark Nikkei 225 lost 0.82% by the end of trading to 18,274.99 points, while the Topix index slipped 0.75% to 1,466.96.

    Hong Kong's Hang Seng is down 0.67%, at 22,406, despite the opening of a new trading link with the mainland's Shenzhen Stock Exchange. 

    And South Korea's Kopsi has slipped 0.28% to 1,965.31 points. 

  12. 'This becomes a banking story'published at 06:43 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    Today Programme
    BBC Radio 4

    Monte Dei Paschi bankImage source, Reuters

    Ferdinando Giugliano, economics commentator at La Republica, says the focus will be on how Italy's troubled banks fare amid the political uncertainty. 

    A €5bn rescue operation of Monte Dei Paschi, the world's oldest bank, was waiting until the referendum result, he tells Today. 

    With Renzi's defeat, the "whole operation is up in the air", he says. "It's very hard to see the €5bn coming in." The crucial question now will be what the government - when a new one is formed - decides to do.   

    "From today this becomes a banking story," Megan Greene, chief economist at Manulife, adds. 

    There's a risk of contagion to the other weak Italian banks, and possibly beyond Italy to the rest of the EU.

  13. European share markets 'likely to fall'published at 06:28 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    Michelle McGrade

    Michelle McGrade, chief investment officer at TD Direct Investing, expects Europe's markets will be down this morning.

    This is not just because of the Italian referendum, but because of concerns over what might happen to Europe as a whole and the knock-on effects on Brexit negotiations.

    Markets will be looking to see whether other EU countries can reform themselves, so we don't see more populist upheavals, she says. All eyes will be on Trump too.

    She expects Italian bank shares will take a further hit today in particular, Italian government bonds too.

  14. Euro hit by Renzi resignationpublished at 06:20 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    The euro fell to a 20-month low against the dollar overnight when Matteo Renzi quit as Italian prime minister. It's since pared some of those losses, but is still down by about 1%.

    Simon Smith, head of research at currency trader FXPro, tweets:

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  15. Outlook for Italian economy 'complex'published at 06:11 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    BBC Radio 5 live

    Banca D'ItaliaImage source, Reuters

    The outlook for the Italian economy is "much more complex", says Lorenzo Codogno, a former chief economist at the Italian Treasury.

    He doesn't expect an early election, or a referendum on the euro. But he tells Wake up to Money that the country's political gridlock will continue until at least 2018, as a new caretaker government struggles to keep the peace. 

    During that time fears will mount over the country's indebted banks, and vital reforms will be hard to achieve. 

    All that is likely to hold back Italy's nascent economic recovery. 

    "I think this combination of factors will mean not particularly brilliant growth," he says.  

  16. Number of UK agency workers 'to reach one million' by 2020published at 05:57 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    Workers seatedImage source, Thinkstock

    The number of agency workers is set to reach one million by 2020 if current growth trends continue, according to Resolution Foundation research.

    Describing agency workers as "the forgotten face" in the debate around insecure work, the think tank estimates a full-time agency worker gets £430 less than an employee in the same role.

    The current number of 865,000 has grown by 30% since 2011, it said.

    Read more.

  17. Euro falls after Italian referendumpublished at 05:47 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    Euro v dollar chart

    The euro fell sharply against the dollar after Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi suffered a heavy defeat in Sunday's referendum.

    The fall continued after Mr Renzi announced his intention to resign. At one stage the euro hit $1.0507, its lowest level since March 2015.

    But it rebounded from that low and a short while ago was at $1.056, down by 0.97% from Friday's close.

    Analysts say that there is caution among investors but not panic.

    Read more.

  18. Welcome to Business Livepublished at 05:43 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2016

    Welcome to another week of Business Live. Today you'll have two Dans - Thomas and Macadam - guiding you through the latest news and reaction from the markets.

    Coming up, there will be more on Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi's shock resignation yesterday, and what it means for business.

    We'll have results from Purplebricks and Serco.

    And we'll have the latest stats from the Society of Motor Manufacturers & Traders and EEF - the Manufacturers' Organisation. 

    Do stick around if you can.