Bonds fail to follow fear factorpublished at 12:23
Economic uncertainty is now far higher than during both the financial downturn and the eurozone crisis, according to Albert Edwards, strategist at Societe Generale.
Mr Edwards says that corporate bond spreads should be much wider given current political instability. However, markets seem content to shrug-off a series of extraordinary events including Brexit, Donald Trump's election and the result of the Italian referendum which ousted Prime Minister Matteo Renzi (pictured).
He cites evidence from academics in the US called Baker, Bloom and Davis that the world is now more uncertain than it was in 2008 and 2012 yet spreads are currently far below trend.
Mr Edward concludes: "...it should worry everybody. On our analysis, US credit and corporate debt is the vortex of debility for the next recession."