Summary

  • Sir Keir Starmer has given a speech to prepare the ground for Wednesday's Budget, saying Britain "must embrace the harsh light of fiscal reality"

  • He warns that the country is facing "unprecedented circumstances" but his government is taking decisions that will "prevent devastating austerity"

  • Asked by BBC whether the Budget includes "sneaky tax rises", he says he will stick to his promise not to increase taxes on working people. The government is expected to hike taxes including on National Insurance rates paid by employers

  • He also says a new £3 cap on bus fares will be announced this week, replacing the previous £2 cap

  • The Conservatives have accused Sir Keir of running a government of "broken promises"

  • Henry Zeffman analysis - in essence Starmer was saying that yes, some taxes would go up, but for the purpose of spending more on public services

  1. Every decision made with working people in mind - Starmerpublished at 11:23 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Keir Starmer delivers speech in Birmingham. He's wearing black suit with white blouse and light turquoise patterned tie. He has poppy pin on his left lapel and is wearing glasses. Background is a burgundy red panel with Fixing the Foundations written on it

    After an introduction by Richard Parker, the mayor of the West Midlands, the prime minister takes to the stage.

    Sir Keir Starmer says it's great to be in Birmingham, a city at the heart of the government's plans for growth.

    It is reasonable desire to want a better future for your family, he says, which is what has become the driving purpose of this government.

    Starmer says trust can only be earned through actions, and that every decision will be made with working people in mind.

  2. Starmer about to speakpublished at 11:16 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Starmer is about to speak.

    You can follow along by clicking Watch Live at the top of this page.

    We'll bring you all the latest lines here.

  3. The Budget is on Wednesday, so why is Starmer speaking now?published at 11:06 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Henry Zeffman
    Chief political correspondent

    Prime Minister Sir Keir StarmerImage source, PA Media

    Wednesday’s budget will be Labour’s first for 14 years, and it sometimes feels like the speculation about what will be in it has lasted 14 years too.

    Even if none of this has been formally confirmed in public, we essentially already know that the employer rate of national insurance will rise, that income tax thresholds will be frozen, that more money will be raised via inheritance tax and most likely more from capital gains tax too.

    As was promised in Labour’s general election campaign, VAT will be levied on private school fees for the first time, and the regime for non-doms will become stricter – although there are reports that the Treasury is examining the latter move closely to ensure that it does not result in some of the wealthiest leaving the UK altogether.

    Plus, as Rachel Reeves confirmed last week, the government’s self-imposed borrowing rules will change, with a broader definition of debt adopted.

    It all adds up to a significant package of measures, before we’ve even heard from the chancellor on Wednesday.

    So it’s little wonder that Sir Keir Starmer wants to begin defining the political choices underpinning the budget ahead of time too.

    That’s what his speech is doing today: the why of the budget even if we do not officially know the what.

    The prime minister will do something that his allies acknowledge he did not do enough of at the start of his tenure – setting out not only the “tough” decisions he is making, but the benefits he believes will come from making those decisions.

  4. What might be in the Budget?published at 10:50 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer will soon start to lay the ground for Wednesday's announcements - Labour's first Budget for 14 years.

    So let's take a look at what the Budget might include:

    • National Insurance contributions by employers: There have been strong indications these contributions might be raised
    • Income tax and NI thresholds: After being frozen in 2022, thesewere due to start rising again each year from 2028, but the chancellor might extend the freeze
    • Inheritance Tax: It is thought changes to a number of exemptions, which affect how much inheritance tax people have to pay, are being considered
    • Capital gains tax (CGT): There has been speculation that these rates, which are charged on the profit made from a sale of assets that have increased in value, could be increased
    • Pension taxation: The chancellor could raise more money by changing the way private pensions are taxed
    • Stamp duty: There have been higher thresholds for stamp duty - paid if you buy property or land over a certain price - since 2022. Labour has not committed to extend these
    • Non-dom tax status: In the March Budget, then-Chancellor Jeremy Hunt said non-dom tax status would be abolished. Labour has said it wants to toughen these plans
    • Fuel duty has not risen in more than a decade and could go up on Wednesday

  5. A big week ahead and a chance for a government resetpublished at 10:33 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Chris Mason
    Political editor

    This week will mark the end of the post-election chapter in British politics and the beginning of how the coming years are likely to feel.

    On Wednesday, the highly anticipated and long talked about Budget will be published.

    In an interview I did with the prime minister, he was at his most animated when I put it to him that his party seemed to be struggling to adjust to the realities of government.

    “Can I address that head on?” he said, before pointing to the early work the government has done to try to kickstart the economy.

    It felt like I had touched a nerve.

    Privately there are Labour folk frustrated at what they see as a stuttery start to their time in power.

    They hope the next week can reset things - and shape the political landscape ahead.

    Read more analysis here on a critical few days in British politics.

  6. BBC Verify

    Where does the £22bn black hole come from?published at 10:10 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    By Anthony Reuben

    The starting point for the tax rises expected in Wednesday’s Budget is the £22bn “black hole” in the public finances.

    We first saw that figure in a government publication in July, shortly after Labour came to office.

    It does contain overspends for the current year, which the government can reasonably claim not to have known about, and there is a report due from the Office for Budget Responsibility on Wednesday about how that could have happened.

    But there are also things that the government says need extra funding that organisations, such as the Institute for Fiscal Studies, say it should have known about during the election campaign.

    You can read more about it here.

  7. Tories hit out at Starmer’s definition of 'working people'published at 09:59 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Let's bring you a bit more context on Labour's attempts todefine who "working people" are, after the Conservatives accused Labour of "reinventing" what counts as a working person ahead of the Budget.

    At the general election, Labour promised not to increase taxes on working people - but did not define who it had in mind.

    The governmentis reportedly looking at increasing tax on asset sales, such as shares and property, freezing income tax thresholds, and changes to inheritance tax.

    Sir Keir Starmer insists working people will not be hit by these changes - but he has struggled to define who exactly he is seeking to protect from tax rises.

    Asked in an interview last week whether those who work, but get additional income from assets such as shares or property, would count as working people, Starmer said they "wouldn't come within my definition". Although he warned against making "assumptions" about what that meant for tax policy.

  8. McFadden pushed on Labour's definition of 'working people'published at 09:28 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Pat McFadden sat in the BBC Radio 4's Today programme studio

    Cabinet minister Pat McFadden has been pushed to clarify who the Labour government considers to be "working people".

    As a reminder, Labour promised not to increase taxes on "working people" - but the party did not define who it had in mind.

    "I honestly think this thing about income levels and job descriptions is not the right way to look at this,” McFadden tells the BBC Radio 4's Today programme this morning.

    He avoids answering questions about why certain groups - such as landlords and small business owners - may not be considered "working people" – something the Tories have recently criticised the PM for.

    "The right way to look at this, is will we stick to the manifesto promises that we made on tax? And we will, and you'll see that when the Chancellor gets to her feet," he adds.

    McFadden promises the end of "fiscal fiction" in Wednesday’s Budget, which he describes as "things being announced which had no money set aside for them".

    Because of this, McFadden claims the Budget will be "the most honest budget you've had in many years".

  9. Remind me, what and when is the Budget?published at 09:10 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Each year, the Chancellor of the Exchequer - who is in charge of the government's finances - makes a Budget statement in the House of Commons.

    This outlines the government's plans for raising or lowering taxes and sets out its spending commitments for health, schools, police and other public services.

    Rachel Reeves will deliver her first Budget on Wednesday, when we can also expect a report to be published by the Treasury setting out further details about the measures and what they will cost.

    As we've been reporting, the independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) will also release their review of the so-called £22bn public finance "black hole" on Wednesday, leading to a row with Jeremy Hunt, the former Conservative chancellor.

  10. Budget watchdog will break impartiality, claims Huntpublished at 08:45 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Faisal Islam & Michael Race
    Economics editor & Business reporter, BBC News

    Former Conservative chancellor Jeremy Hunt in a black suit making a speechImage source, Getty Images

    A row has broken out between the UK's financial watchdog and former Conservative chancellor Jeremy Hunt over a review into the so-called £22bn "black hole" in the public finances Labour claims it has inherited.

    Rachel Reeves, the chancellor, is expected to raise several taxes in her Budget on Wednesday to cover the claimed shortfall.

    But Hunt says a report to be released on the same day by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which is independent of the government, will criticise his party and help make the case for Labour's tax rises.

    Richard Hughes, boss of the OBR, defended the decision, external to publish the report on Budget day, and told Hunt it would not include "decisions of ministers".

    The OBR will be publishing its assessment of the chancellor's economic policies and also release forecasts of their impact on the UK economy over the next five years.

    Read more on Hunt's claim

  11. Employers' National Insurance hike expected to raise £20bnpublished at 08:27 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel ReevesImage source, Reuters

    One of the tax hikes that we're expecting the chancellor to announce on Wednesday is an increase to the National Insurance rate that employers pay.

    Rachel Reeves is also expected to lower the threshold for when employers start paying the tax.

    Combining those two measures will raise about £20bn, thought to be the single largest revenue raiser in the Budget.

    Employers currently pay National Insurance of 13.8% on a worker's earnings above £175 a week. Raising that to 15.8%, for example, would raise about £18bn a year, according to Treasury data.

    The government say that "there is a universal consensus that the NHS needs more money. That means asking businesses to help out."

  12. Don't expect any great surprises in the Budgetpublished at 08:12 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Faisal Islam
    Economics editor

    Chancellor Rachel ReevesImage source, Jessica Taylor/Reuters

    There is no special Budget red box commissioned for Rachel Reeves when, mid-morning on Wednesday, she becomes the first woman to brandish one outside Number 11.

    There will be no such frills, few jokes and don’t expect a big rabbit out of the hat.

    The number crunchers, bean counters, and abacus economists, so derided by Liz Truss, have taken back control. In that reused Red Box will be a boffin’s Budget.

    Indeed, it could be defined by being the polar opposite of everything in Truss and her chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng’s infamous mini-Budget two years ago.

    This time the OBR has carried out its full 10-week, back-and-forth audit of both the public finances and all the tax and spend policy measures Reeves is planning, adding to what has felt like a drawn-out timetable of pre-Budget preparation.

    Read the full story on the lead up to, and what to expect from Wednesday's budget.

  13. What is the PM going to say?published at 08:05 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Keir Starmer standing behind a podium in front of two British flagsImage source, Reuters

    We're expecting to hear from Sir Keir Starmer later this morning and, like a lot of political speeches, we have a rough idea of what the prime minister is going to say.

    Starmer will warn of the "unprecedented" challenge of weak public finances alongside "crumbling public services," but he will face what he calls "the tough decisions".

    The government is expected to announce a series of expected tax hikes this Wednesday in Labour's first Budget in almost 15 years.

    That is likely to include a rise in National Insurance paid by employers which some claim breaks Labour's manifesto pledge not to increase taxes for "working people".

  14. Starmer to warn about 'harsh' realities ahead of the Budgetpublished at 07:53 Greenwich Mean Time 28 October

    Hello and welcome to our live coverage, with the PM due to make a speech ahead of Wednesday's Budget.

    Sir Keir Starmer this morning will say that Britain "must embrace the harsh light of fiscal reality" - but will also promise "better days are ahead".

    Tens of billions of pounds in tax rises and spending cuts are expected. The Conservatives say Starmer is running a government of broken promises.

    Stick with us as we take you through the build up to the speech, and the event itself.