Summary

Media caption,

How the US stock market is reacting to Trump’s tariffs…in 45 seconds

  1. Some of the arguments in favour of tariffspublished at 17:46 British Summer Time 2 April

    A file photo of Trump. He is standing at a podium and pointing his fingerImage source, Reuters

    Most countries levy tariffs in some form. Here's a brief overview of some of the arguments in favour - we’ve done the same thing for the "against" camp and will bring you that in our next post.

    Protection of a fledgling industry: Some countries have used tariffs as a way to help establish a new industry domestically, before they are competitive.

    National resilience: Some products, such as food or weapons, are sometimes deemed worth retaining domestically, even if they could be produced more efficiently elsewhere. Subsidies can be used for the same effect.

    Fair trade: If another country has lower standards - for example on the environment or workers’ rights - or they subsidise their industries with government cash, or have tariffs themselves, then imposing tariffs can level the playing field.

    Jobs: Tariffs are a charge on entry, which can incentivise businesses to make their product in the country they want to sell in. This can boost employment.

    Income: Tariffs are a tax paid to the government, and so can bolster the public finances. Donald Trump, for example, says tariffs will enable him to cut taxes for American workers.

    Negotiating tactic: The threat of tariffs alone can be a way to try to win concessions from others in trade talks - or in other negotiations.

  2. Analysis

    Could consumers be the wildcard in trade wars?published at 17:31 British Summer Time 2 April

    Faisal Islam
    Economics editor

    President Donald Trump, accompanied by Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk standing in front of red Tesla car in front of white house.Image source, Getty Images

    Tesla’s quarterly figures were a big miss.

    Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company sold 40,000 fewer cars than expected by the market, and 50,000 fewer than in the same period last year. Its share price fell 6%.

    While the company points to its transition to a new version of its most popular car, there have clearly been protests and boycotts around the world at Musk’s outspoken and controversial political involvement. At one point President Trump held what appeared to be a sales event at the White House.

    It points to a significant and potentially underrated feature of a trade war in the social media age. Retaliation does not necessarily require a government issuing a tariff.

    Consumers can enter their own pressure on other countries, that could be even more powerful than a tariff. It is clearly occurring in Canadian market for both US goods and travel. Could consumers be the wildcard in this trade battle?

  3. 'This is not liberation day, it's recession day,' says Hakeem Jeffriespublished at 17:20 British Summer Time 2 April

    House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries gestures with his hands as he speaks from behind a lectern.Image source, EPA

    Democrats have widely denounced Trump's agenda on tariffs, including House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who is speaking this morning ahead of the White House announcement.

    Jeffries is criticising the Trump administration for its "poor record" on lowering the cost of living for ordinary Americans.

    "America is too expensive," he tells reporters at his weekly press conference. "Costs aren't going down in America, they're going up. And the Trump tariffs are going to make things more costly."

    He accuses Trump of driving the US economy towards recession. "This is not liberation day," he says. "It's recession day."

  4. Germany says trade wars hurt 'both sides'published at 16:59 British Summer Time 2 April

    Cars of the Volkswagen Group intended for export to the United States and the United KingdomImage source, Reuters
    Image caption,

    Cars of the Volkswagen Group intended for export to the United States and the United Kingdom

    Earlier we brought you comments from Italy's PM Giorgia Meloni, warning against a trade war. Now we're hearing similar sentiments from Germany.

    The country is Europe's biggest economy and the third biggest in the world, according to World Bank data, after the US and China. Ahead of Trump's announcement on new tariffs later today, it's warning back-and-forth tariffs will be bad for everyone involved.

    "The costs of a trade war do not fall on one side but can become expensive for both sides," says government spokesman Steffen Hebestreit.

    He adds that Berlin is "ready and willing to negotiate at the European level with the United States" to avoid being drawn into a trade war.

    Germany's economy is geared towards exports, particularly vehicles and vehicle parts. It exported roughly 3.4 million new cars last year, external, according to German government data, with about 13% of them imported by the US.

  5. Mexico rules out 'tit-for-tat' tariffspublished at 16:46 British Summer Time 2 April

    Headshot of Claudia Sheinbaum as she speaks into a microphone. Both of her hands are raised in the airImage source, Reuters

    Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has underlined that Mexico will not be seeking "tit-for-tat" retaliatory tariffs on the US, the Reuters news agency is reporting.

    She says that a "comprehensive plan" will be announced tomorrow.

    As a reminder, Mexico has already seen raised duties on certain products - with President Trump previously imposing 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports as well as additional 25% tariffs on other imports from both Mexico and Canada.

  6. Analysis

    The impact of tariffs on UK prices remains uncertainpublished at 16:37 British Summer Time 2 April

    Dharshini David
    Deputy economics editor

    The impact of a US tariff on all British goods is very uncertain. It depends on not just on the scale of any tariffs applied on British products, but how the government, businesses and consumers react.

    As the car industry knows already, tariffs are extremely worrying for the industries affected - as an exporter you hope that either some of it can be soaked up in the supply chain or your American customers will be happy to pay higher prices - or you take a hit to your own profits by lowering prices.

    Or you may lose sales. Tariffs are undeniably bad news for exporters in the firing line.

    But their impact on prices in the UK is uncertain.

    If the UK government retaliates with tariffs on American products, households here could face rises. But countries such as China, if disadvantaged by American tariffs, could try to send their goods here instead, pushing down prices.

  7. When and where is Trump announcing his new tariffs?published at 16:13 British Summer Time 2 April

    A white building in the background with several columns and an American flag on the floor. In the lawn in front of it are several rows of chairs taking up the entirety of the garden. There are manicured bushes and trees at the edges, and a lectern for a speaker at the front of the chairs in the centre.Image source, Getty Images

    As Trump's tariffs announcement - or "Liberation Day" as he's billing it - looms, here's what you need to know:

    When: around 16:00 EST (21:00 BST)

    Where: the White House Rose Garden in Washington DC

    What: President Donald Trump will announce his latest tariffs in a spoken statement, at an event called "Make America Wealthy Again"

    After Trump speaks, we'll have a raft of correspondents dissecting what it means for the US, the rest of the world and you as a consumer.

    And if you're hungry for more basics, we've got everything you need to know here.

  8. Tariffs would have heavy impact on Italian producers - Melonipublished at 16:03 British Summer Time 2 April

    Davide Ghiglione
    Reporting from Rome

    Italian PM Giorgia Meloni and a white blazer standing behind a podium.Image source, Reuters

    Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni is warning that new US tariffs could have severe consequences for Italian producers and limit access to high-quality Italian goods for American consumers.

    Addressing the looming trade tensions, Meloni says: “The United States is our second-largest export market, with a 17% increase in exports in 2024. The US market is crucial for us."

    "It is clear that the introduction of new tariffs would have a heavy impact on Italian producers. I also believe it would be unfair to many Americans, as it would limit access to our excellent products to only those who can afford higher prices,” she adds.

    Meloni also stresses the need to avoid a trade war but says they wouldn't exclude taking measures to "defend our industries if necessary".

    Italian President Sergio Mattarella also called tariffs a “profound mistake” and urged Europe to respond with a “united, calm, and determined” stance.

  9. What is a ‘trade war’?published at 15:49 British Summer Time 2 April

    Mitchell Labiak
    Business reporter

    Depending on who you ask, today’s tariffs from Trump either risks starting, or risks the continuation of, a trade war.

    The idea refers to when one country retaliates to tariffs from another country by imposing their own tariffs, which are then retaliated against in turn, and so on.

    The idea will be unfamiliar to those who have lived through decades of globalisation. For years, conversations around global trade have been about tearing down trade barriers, not putting them up.

    Trump has changed all that.

    The metaphor "trade war" works particularly well because it will likely end the same way wars do: negotiation.

  10. Tariffs 'frustrating for small firms', says popcorn makerpublished at 15:37 British Summer Time 2 April

    Tom Espiner
    Business reporter

    Adam SopherImage source, Adam Sopher
    Image caption,

    Adam Sopher says small firms, including his own, find the prospect of US tariffs "frustrating" post-Brexit

    Some businesses who export to the US are “frustrated” by the prospect of tariffs, but appreciate the UK government’s stance in keeping a cool head, says Adam Sopher, co-founder of Joe & Sephs popcorn.

    The US only represents about 3% of Joe & Sephs’ sales, but it’s a growing market. He’s been building up the US side of the business for years, with encouragement from the government post-Brexit.

    He says with both the US and EU now looking like tricky markets to export to, his firm will have to “pivot” more to Asia and the Middle East.

    Most of his US sales come around Christmas, and orders are usually in by mid-February - but the US firms he supplies to either now don’t want the “faff” of stocking his popcorn, or are waiting for tonight’s announcement.

  11. What has Trump done on tariffs so far?published at 15:25 British Summer Time 2 April

    Trump has made dozens of interventions on tariffs in his second term, but most have been unofficial proposals and it's unclear how many the US will proceed with.

    However, he has also signed several official orders.

    Below illustrates the current situation: as you'll see, some tariffs apply to one country, multiple countries or the whole world.

    Graphic showing list of tariffs Trump has placed on different countries
  12. US markets down ahead of tariffs announcementpublished at 15:16 British Summer Time 2 April

    Trading has begun after the opening bell rang out at the New York Stock Exchange in the last hour.

    Today is a big day for investors as tariff uncertainty wreaks havoc on US markets. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite - two major market indices - posted their worst quarterly performance since 2022 this week.

    At market open, the S&P 500 was down 1%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.82%, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 1.38%.

    Markets have since rebounded slightly but we'll keep you updated over the course of the day.

  13. Why is Trump calling it 'Liberation Day'?published at 14:59 British Summer Time 2 April

    Annabelle Liang
    Business reporter

    Description U.S. President Donald Trump gestures during a swearing-in ceremony for Alina Habba as interim U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey, in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., March 28, 2025Image source, Reuters

    Liberation Day is celebrated by countries around the world to mark the end of foreign occupation or dictatorship.

    It has the same spirit of Independence Day that Americans commemorate on 4 July, when the founding fathers declared independence from Great Britain.

    Trump has said the tariffs he will announce will free the country from depending on foreign goods.

    But investors are unlikely to be "liberated" from tariff uncertainties, says Vasu Menon, Managing Director for Investment Strategy at OCBC Bank.

    "Given Trump’s modus operandi so far, tariff news has been coming out gradually in phases and with lots of twists and turns - we could see more of this in the coming weeks," Menon says.

    "If countries retaliate, Trump could up the ante - this possibility will probably continue to keep investors nervous."

  14. Northern Ireland will be at forefront of tariff response, says Starmerpublished at 14:48 British Summer Time 2 April

    Jayne McCormack
    BBC News NI political correspondent

    Prime Minister Keir Starmer says the government is “looking carefully” at the prospect of any retaliatory tariffs the EU may announce in response to President Trump and how they could impact Northern Ireland.

    Northern Ireland is in a unique position as, despite being in the UK, goods being imported into Northern Ireland have to meet EU rules under post-Brexit arrangements.

    In that circumstance, US goods entering Northern Ireland would have to pay EU tariffs while US goods entering the rest of the UK would not.

    Starmer says Number 10 will be “calm and pragmatic” and keep in mind the concerns of workers and businesses in Northern Ireland. “Northern Ireland will be at the forefront of all our decisions."

    He adds that the Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds spoke to the Northern Ireland Executive earlier today to reassure them, ahead of the expected plans by Trump.

  15. EU plans to have two-step response to Trump tariffspublished at 14:39 British Summer Time 2 April

    A European Commission spokesperson says the EU will respond to new tariffs set to be announced by the US but it will happen at an "appropriate moment".

    Speaking to reporters, Olof Gill says the EU is in "waiting mode" right now, but they have already conducted analysis into the possible impact tariffs will have.

    They will deliver a two-step response, Gill says. The first will be on the steel and aluminium tariffs already in place, and a second which looks at everything else, he adds.

    The first is currently in internal processes, and the second will be issued after today's expected announcement.

  16. Splurge or save? Americans struggle as tariffs hit economypublished at 14:23 British Summer Time 2 April

    Natalie Sherman
    New York business reporter

    Dave smiles as he takes a selfie in front of a nice mountain scenery, which is barren. He has blue and green reflective sunglasses on and a capImage source, Dave Gold

    Americans are responding to the uncertainty of the economy already, which could change as the tariffs come into effect.

    After his investments were hit in the recent stock market sell-off, Dave Gold drew up a budget and started slashing his spending.

    He cancelled Netflix, challenged himself to avoid Amazon purchases for a month, and scaled back his travel, managing to cut his expenses in half.

    "It's just really hard to plan and be confident about what next month looks like," says the 37-year-old, who lives in Wyoming and works in finance.

    "I thought it was time to reel it back in and protect myself in case things do happen."

    Dave is not the only American reining in their spending. Retail sales also fell in February, while firms from Walmart to Delta Air Lines have warned of slackening demand.

    Meanwhile, job growth has slowed and the stock market is now trading at its lowest levels since September.

  17. World waits as Trump’s tariffs announcement set to reshape global tradepublished at 13:59 British Summer Time 2 April

    Ian Aikman
    Live reporter

    A man walks past a screen displaying U.S. President Donald Trump, at the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) ahead of Trump's tariff plans, in Mumbai, India, April 2, 2025.Image source, Reuters

    It’s just past lunchtime in the UK, with several hours to go before Trump's big tariffs announcement. Here's what you need to know.

  18. BBC Verify

    What are tariffs and how could they impact prices?published at 13:41 British Summer Time 2 April

    Cranes in the sky in Beijing, with a construction worker in the front looking ahead, wearing an orange overall and yellow helmetImage source, Getty Images

    In practical terms, a tariff is a domestic tax levied on goods as they enter the country, proportional to the value of the import.

    So a car imported to the US with a value of $50,000 (£38,000) subject to a 25% tariff, would face a $12,500 (£9,650) charge.

    The charge is physically paid by the domestic company that imports the goods, not the foreign company that exports them.

    So, in that sense, it is a straightforward tax paid by domestic US firms to the US government.

    If the US importing firm passes on the cost of the tariff to the person buying the product in the US, the consumer sees higher retail prices.

    If the US importing firm absorbs the cost of the tariff itself and doesn’t pass it on, then that firm faces lower profits.

    Alternatively, it is possible that foreign exporters might have to lower their wholesale prices by the value of the tariff in order to retain their US customers.

    All three scenarios are theoretically possible.

  19. What tariffs has Trump introduced so far?published at 13:26 British Summer Time 2 April

    It has been a dizzying few months of Trump announcements on tariffs, paired with several rollbacks and delays. Let's take a look at what tariffs have come into effect so far:

    4 February: 10% tariff on goods from China

    4 March: 10% tariff on Chinese goods doubled to 20%; 25% tariff on goods from Mexico and Canada as well as 10% on Canadian energy

    6 March: Tariffs on Canadian potash - used in fertiliser by US farmers - reduced from 25% to 10%

    12 March: 25% tariff on global steel and aluminium imports

    2 April: 25% tariff on all cars coming into the US comes into effect today