Mamdani win is not a 'sure thing', expert sayspublished at 22:47 GMT 4 November
Madeline Halpert
Reporting from Brooklyn
For weeks after Mamdani clinched an unexpected victory against Cuomo in the Democratic primary, he has led his opponent by a wide margin in the polls.
But it's still too soon to say whether those surveys will correctly predict a win for frontrunner Mamdani, says Patrick Egan, a professor of politics and public policy at New York University.
"Polling in the race suggests Mamdani has the edge, but the twists and turns of the prior week - including Trump's endorsement of Cuomo yesterday - means it's not a sure thing," he says.
Most polls were taken before Trump jumped into the race on Cuomo's behalf, saying voters in New York City had "no choice" but to pick him.
One of the latest surveys from Quinnipiac University suggests Mamdani is still leading Cuomo by double digits, although it is a slightly smaller lead than a poll by the same university in early October.












