It was Tory under Thatcher, and Labour under Blair - now Labour have taken back Nuneaton from the Conservatives, with nursery manager Jodie Gosling beating Tory government whip Marcus Jones.

It was a seat the Conservatives would have been hoping to keep - with Rishi Sunak seen campaigning there just days ago.

Labour candidate Jodie Gosling has won the Nuneaton seat from the Conservatives' Marcus Jones.

The majority is 3,479.

Ushma Mistry
BBC CWR

I've been told that the turnout for constituencies in Coventry are down on 2019.

The turnout for Coventry East (formally North East) was 49% this year, down on 58.5%.

While the turnout for Coventry North West was 56%, down from 63.5% in 2019.

Finally, 56% turned out in Coventry South this year, 63.5% did in 2019.

The below map shows the exit poll forecast across England, Wales and Scotland.

In the locations coloured grey, the contest is very close. Everywhere else is coloured by the party currently considered most likely to win.

It's worth noting, the forecasts may change over the night.

• You can find the prediction for your seat by going to our exit poll page

Ushma Mistry
BBC CWR

The leader of Coventry City Council Councillor George Duggins says we’ve got to digest all the results so far, but it looks very promising for Labour across the country.

He is confident former Labour MP Colleen Fletcher’s seat in Coventry East will still be a Labour hold and he thinks both Zarah Sultana and Taiwo Owatemi will win very comfortably.

Emb Hashmi
BBC Midlands Today

Returning officer for Bedworth and North Warwickshire Steve Maxey has confirmed turn out figures are 58.9%.There is only one candidate at the count at the moment who is Paul Hopkins from Reform UK and we have been told Liberal Democrat’s Guy Burchett is on holiday.

Joshua Nevett
Political reporter, BBC Coventry and Warwickshire

Labour leader Sir Kier Starmer chose to promote one of his party’s childcare policies at a primary school in Nuneaton, and deputy leader Angela Rayner rolled into the town on the battle bus.

Labour is also directing activists in Coventry and Warwickshire to Nuneaton, where a 14.55% swing is needed to take the seat from the Conservatives.

Stratford-on-Avon’s candidate had been campaigning long before the general election was called. And during his final battle bus campaign tour, Lib Dem leader Sir Ed Davey gave a stump speech in the constituency, telling activists a vote for his party would give people in Stratford a fair deal.

Reform UK’s leader Nigel Farage has not made any visits to Coventry or Warwickshire. But the party’s candidates have been visible, particularly in Nuneaton and North Warwickshire and Bedworth.

And the other smaller parties - including the Greens and the Workers Party - don’t have much of a presence. One Workers Party candidate admitted he had no chance of winning but wanted to promote his party’s policies.

James Bovill
BBC News, West Midlands

We've still a while to go here in Stratford on Avon but Reform UK candidate James Crocker says he is "soaking up every last minute" of the campaign and early counting could see them in third behind the Liberal Democrats and the Conservatives

Joshua Nevett
Political reporter, BBC Coventry and Warwickshire

I've been speaking to two candidates from smaller parties, who are sceptical about the exit poll.

Green candidate in Nuneaton, Keith Kondakor, says he hopes his party “are doing a bit better than the exit poll”.

It suggests the party will win two seats.

Kondakor says the electoral system needs changing to a proportional one.

The Workers Party of Britain candidate John Homer says he doesn’t have a lot of faith in polls but adds “obviously it’s a bit disappointing”.

“The point of our campaign is the put a bit of a dent in Labour’s vote,” he says.

All the ballot boxes have now arrived at the CBS Arena in Coventry.

The verification process is currently being undertaken. We can expect the turnout across the city at around 01:00 with results due to come in from 3:30.

I've been told they will be declared as soon as the counts are in and won't all be declared at the same time.

It's going to be a long night and you can never have too many snacks.

Not sure if cocktail sausages and scotch eggs were a good move though.

The returning officer has announced the turnout in Nuneaton as 57.51%.

That’s lower than the 64.3% at the general election in 2019.

The low turnout this year comes despite a record number of voter registrations.

There were 71,483 registrations to vote ahead of the election, up from 70,226 in 2019.

Joshua Nevett
Political reporter, BBC Coventry and Warwickshire

I’ve just spoken to Reform UK’s Nuneaton candidate Rob Howard.

He almost sounded underwhelmed by the exit poll, which forecasts 13 seats for his party.

“It would be a good result,” he says. “I’d like to think there’s going to be a few more.”

Asked how his campaign went, he said: “I had six supporters. I had no money in terms of funds. I’ve had raise money and encourage people to help me.

"I’ve said to everybody, never be ashamed of what you've done. You’ve done a cracking job under the circumstances.”

Conservative councillor and leader of North Warwickshire Borough Council David Wright is hoping Craig Tracey wins "so we can work together".

Joshua Nevett
Political reporter, BBC Coventry and Warwickshire

At the moment there are six former MPs seeking re-election in Coventry and Warwickshire.

Of those, Marcus Jones in Nuneaton and Craig Tracey in North Warwickshire and Bedworth could be most at risk of losing the seat.

Polling statistics by YouGov suggests Labour will win both seats by large margins.

BBC CWR is broadcasting throughout the night, bringing the latest results as they happen.

Richard Williams is live now and Clive Eakin will be keeping you company from 02:00 to 06:00.

James Bovill
BBC News, West Midlands

I'm at Stratford-on-Avon leisure centre.

The tea, coffee and biscuits are well stocked and ready for what could be a fascinating night. The Conservatives have held this seat since it was formed in 1950 (barring two years of a Labour defection in 1995), and has been held by Nadhim Zahawi until he stood down following the scandal over his tax affairs. The Tory majority here is more than 19,000 but with the exit poll predicting a Conservative wipeout, the Liberal Democrats are quietly confident they could overturn a 17% swing. If they do, it would be one of the stories of the night in the Midlands.

Joshua Nevett
Political reporter, BBC Coventry and Warwickshire

Vote verification is under way here, and we've just heard that the turnout figures will be announced at about midnight.

We won’t know the national turnout at in this general election until all the votes have been counted.

But we do know how many people registered to vote in Nuneaton - and it was a record number.

There were 71,483 registrations to vote ahead of the election, up from 70,226 in 2019.

This included 9,450 postal voters and 248 electors voting by proxy.

Turnout at the 2019 general election was 67.3% across the UK, and 64.3% in Nuneaton. Could we see higher numbers this time?

Rob Mayor
Political editor, West Midlands

At events with an invited audience, you can probably learn more about how things are going from the activists. Those wearing red are nervous, but smiling and cautiously optimistic. They think they are on the cusp of something big.

Those in blue are a lot more gloomy, with some gallows humour at play. "He's told us all to go and find new jobs," one Tory MP's staffer told me this week with a laugh.

Meanwhile, thousands of buoyant Reform UK supporters turned up to a rally at the NEC last weekend, having paid £5 each for the privilege. Will they consider it money well spent by Friday morning? We'll know in a couple of hours time.

Everyone is a bit weary by this point, especially the activists who've literally walked hundreds of miles, knocking doors, delivering leaflets and having sometimes quite difficult conversations with voters.

Labour gatherings in the last few days have been full of smiles, but nerves as well.

Rob Mayor
Political editor, West Midlands

The timing of this election caught everyone off guard, including MPs, party activists and of course, the journalists as well.

One of my colleagues was on a plane this afternoon, flying home early from a long-planned holiday so they can be in place at a count this evening.

It's probably been the most stage-managed campaign of all time with very few interactions between the party leaders and general public.

I interviewed the prime minister in Stoke-on-Trent on Monday and even if I had asked him how the England team will line up on Saturday I suspect I would still have got an answer warning about the danger of a Labour "supermajority".

The following day Sir Keir Starmer was in Cannock and didn't offer much away from his message that "if you want change you have to vote for it".