Spending pledges from both the of the UK's main parties do not hold up to scrutiny, the IFS says.

The independent research group, the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), is this morning releasing its detailed analysis of the manifestos from the main parties.

Paul Johnson, director of IFS, says neither the Conservatives nor Labour are offering a "properly credible prospectus" to manage the UK's public finances.

He says: "Should they win this time it is highly likely that the Conservatives would end up spending more than their manifesto implies and thus taxing or borrowing more."

The chances of the Tories being able to hold spending down over the course of a five-year Parliament in the way that they propose appears to be "remote", he adds.

On Labour, he says that they would not be able to deliver on the promise to raise investment levels by £55bn a year as the public sector does not have the capacity to "ramp up" that much that quickly.

It was "highly likely" that a Labour government would have to find other tax increases beyond those it has announced if it was to raise the extra £83bn a year in additional revenues it wants.

Robert Cuffe
BBC head of statistics

The first thing to say is that if the election happened tomorrow, this poll is suggesting the Conservatives could win a sizeable majority of about 68 seats. So they would be considerably up, Labour down.

And in Scotland the SNP maybe gaining around eight seats, mainly from Labour, a little bit from the Tories.

In Wales, it's kind of Labour and Conservatives trading seats - to the Conservatives really - and Plaid holding steady.

There's always a margin of error for these things.

So for the Conservatives, it could be landslide, it could be squeaky bum time, you can't be too precise but it's certainly suggesting there's a swing towards the Conservatives that's bigger in Leave-voting seats

The normal kind of polling we do is you ask 1,000 people and you find out how they vote and you work out the national vote share for the parties.

But the difference with the model that has come out today is that they use the polling not to say how many votes will you get nationally, but what are the national trends in voting

So older people, do they vote one way? Or do Labour voters vote differently in marginals?

And then they apply that to each constituency based on data from the constituency so they can say we think this is how the votes are going to turn out right here in this seat

And that's very different. Because it's impossible to go from national vote share to seat share as it's first past the post.

Image source, Getty Images

Jeremy Corbyn is visiting the south coast this morning to set out his party's policies on the environment - a topic that has got a lot of attention during this campaign.

Parties have been making their pledges on things like cutting emissions and getting more people out of their cars.

But in a year of Greta Thunberg's UN speech and Sir David Attenborough's documentaries on the state of the planet, how far do the parties really go?

BBC environment analyst Roger Harrabin has been taking a look.

Read his analysis here.

Labour's candidate for Falkirk has been suspended.

A party spokesman says: "Safia Ali is no longer the Labour Party’s candidate for Falkirk. We have taken immediate action on this matter.

"We deeply regret that Safia Ali was selected and that Labour members and supporters will not have a Labour candidate to campaign and vote for."

Scottish Labour general secretary Michael Sharpe told the Falkirk Herald, external - which reported Ms Ali was suspended over anti-Semitic posts on Facebook - that "there is no place for anti-Semitism, or any form of racism and bigotry, in our party".

There's been some talk about polls this morning, so why not take look at the BBC's own poll tracker to see how the parties compare.

It measures how people say they are going to vote at the next general election.

You can find the poll tracker here.

Image source, Getty Images

Boris Johnson's campaigning focus today is on policies for women, and he will later vow to "support women to reach their full potential" in politics and the workplace if the Conservatives win the general election.

He will also announce the "biggest drive" to recruit female Tory activists, members and candidates, pledging to make 50% of future Tory candidates women.

His announcement comes as a statue of Nancy Astor - the first woman MP to take a seat in Parliament, 100 years ago - is due to be unveiled in Plymouth.

Labour has hit back by criticising the prime minister's attitude towards women, highlighting "sexist" remarks he has made in the past.

Read our full story.

Chris Mason
Political Correspondent

A YouGov poll was released yesterday that suggests the Conservatives would get a 68-seat majority, if the election was held tomorrow.

Why is it generating attention? It's generating attention because it's a big poll, about 100,000 people were asked their view.

But, crucially, it uses a model that then crunches the numbers to try and work out who wins which seats in which parts of the country.

And also it was a model which was used last time about 10 days out from the election that suggested there would be a hung Parliament. And there was a hung Parliament.

Just because it was right then doesn't mean it will be right this time.

But what was interesting is that it does match up with some other polls. This poll suggests there could be a Conservative majority of 68, having 68 more seats than all the other parties put together.

And it is broadly in line with something the BBC is doing, a poll tracker.

We should treat these things with caution but they matter because they help shape the campaign, the political parties look at them and react to them and mould their campaigning because of them.

Image source, Getty Images

One of the big stories of yesterday was Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn's claim that leaked government documents show initial talks had taken place between the UK and US, proving the NHS was "for sale".

Our Reality Check team have been combing through the documents - and here are five things they've learnt.

Feeling a bit lost? Catch up with all the latest political stories on the BBC's Electioncast:

Chris Mason
Political Correspondent

Labour are concerned that in areas where they have previously done well but where there was a big Leave vote in 2016, lots of those Leave voters who might have been loyal to Labour for a very long time are switching to the Conservatives

We can expect them to crank up their wooing of voters like that in the next couple of weeks, sending out Labour senior figures who are supportive of a Brexit deal - but a Labour Brexit deal - and want to see Brexit is delivered.

You'll remember Labour's plan is to hold another referendum next year, having renegotiated a Brexit arrangement that they think will be better than the one that Boris Johnson has.

Meanwhile, the Conservatives are saying "look, things are still pretty close".

They are saying to Brexiteer voters, look if you want Brexit delivered you have to vote for Boris Johnson, because a vote for anyone else - including the Brexit Party - in their view would increase the likelihood that Jeremy Corbyn becomes prime minister and maybe Brexit never happens.

Today Programme
BBC Radio 4

We heard earlier from Health Secretary Matt Hancock on BBC Breakfast, and now it's time for him to be questioned on Radio 4.

He tells the Today programme that a Tory government would negotiate with both the US and the EU simultaneously after Brexit.

Asked which would be the priority, he says: “Why can’t you do two at the same time, it’s perfectly reasonable.”

He is also asked about when Boris Johnson's one-to-one interview with the BBC's Andrew Neil will take place, and he says he "understands they are in discussions about timing".

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn faced Mr Neil in the second of a series of special interviews with party leaders earlier this week, although the BBC is yet to confirm when Mr Johnson will take the hot seat.

Pressed on whether he was confident Mr Johnson would take part, he says he is not across the PM’s media schedule and it’s not something he concentrates on.

It's going to be another busy day of campaigning, here's what's coming up:

• 09:30 GMT - The Institute for Fiscal Studies, an independent research group, give its analysis of the parties' manifestos
• 10:00 - Jeremy Corbyn sets out Labour's environment policies on the south coast
• 10.30 - The Democratic Unionist Party launches its manifesto
• 10:30 - Lib Dem leader Jo Swinson gives a speech in London
• 12.30 - Defence debate between Defence Secretary Ben Wallace and Labour's Nia Griffith
• 19:00 - Channel 4 News General Election climate debate: Jeremy Corbyn, Jo Swinson, Nicola Sturgeon, Adam Price and Sian Berry will all take part

Today Programme
BBC Radio 4

Naomi Smith, who is CEO of the anti-Brexit group Best for Britain, is challenged over her group's aim to get more people voting tactically in the election.

Voting tactically is when someone votes for a party that isn't their first choice in order to prevent another candidate from winning.

Ms Smith is asked: Don't people feel strongly that they like their parties and want to stick to them - and has her campaign failed to cut through to voters?

"No," she responds. "It's a failure of the Remain parties to do what the Brexit parties - the Conservatives and Nigel Farage's party - have done."

"So therefore it's up to voters to do the job for them," she adds.

"Look, in just 57 seats we need fewer than 4,000 voters to hold their nose and vote tactically using our advice.

"In one seat in North Yorkshire, which I won't name, shows that just 29, less than 30 Green and Lib Dem voters backing the Labour party would prevent a hard Brexiteer from winning."

Today Programme
BBC Radio 4

Naomi Smith - head of the pro-Remain group Best for Britain, which promotes tactical voting - is asked about Labour's move to reshape its election strategy, particularly to appeal to Leave-voting areas.

"Our research has consistently shown Labour has been losing three-and-a-half votes to the Remain parties for every one vote it had been losing off to the pro-Brexit parties," she says.

"So I think it would need to be careful no to swing too far in the other direction."

She says that if an election happened today, Labour "couldn't form a majority but that with tactical voting a Johnson hard-Brexit government can be stopped".

"We found that just over 100,000 votes - 117,314 to be precise - is the difference between Johnson in and out of No 10," she adds.

Speaking to BBC Breakfast this morning, Liberal Democrat MP Layla Moran says the Lib Dems are now focusing on a new referendum, rather than revoking Article 50.

This decision, she says, is because the party now knows it is highly unlikely to form a majority government.

Today Programme
BBC Radio 4

A little more from that interview with Barry Gardiner, who was asked about the leaked document that Labour says is proof the NHS would be at risk under a post-Brexit trade deal with the US.

The documents cover six rounds of talks between US and UK officials - preparatory meetings ahead of formal trade talks - and Mr Gardiner says "politicians are implicated" in those discussions.

He says: "Of course there's ministerial oversight and, actually, in the documents themselves they refer to the views of the secretary of state on these matters, so it's not as though this is divorced from the politicians.

"The politicians are implicated on every single page of this."

He says the documents make it clear that the government was discussing drug pricing and access for US companies to provide private health services to the UK.

He adds: "That’s why the government tried to stop these documents being produced. That’s why... they were originally redacted, and that’s why they’re so embarrassed now."

Away from Westminster, Labour's Stella Creasy welcomed her daughter into the world last night.

With two weeks to go until the polls, the Walthamstow MP describes the news as "very much a Labour gain".

Today Programme
BBC Radio 4

Shadow international trade secretary Barry Gardiner he says it’s news to him suggestions that Labour is going to change tactics with its election strategy to focus more on Leave areas.

Mr Gardiner was asked whether the party would shift its focus following the publication of a YouGov poll last night that suggested the Tories were heading for a majority, but he says he has “not had any discussions on that”.

He says the polls show that the margins have narrowed over the last few weeks between Labour and the Conservatives.

Labour is trying to appeal all sectors of the population on Brexit, he says, and it is trying to “unite the country” with its strategy and “give the public the final say”.