Vale of Clwyd: Conservative gainpublished at 01:52 Greenwich Mean Time 13 December 2019
We have the first result in Wales and it is a Conservative gain with a five and a half percent swing away from Labour.
We expected the Tory vote to be up by seven points and the Labour vote down by 12. In practice the swing is rather lower with a 2-point increase in the Tory vote and a 9-point decline in the Labour one. Here is another seat with a slightly lower swing than expected by the exit poll.
As Sky's political editor points out, it's part of the so-called "red wall" - the swathe of traditionally Labour seats which voted Leave in 2016 and which the Tories had their eyes on...
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