Who will win and why?published at 22:50 Greenwich Mean Time 1 November 2016
Katty Kay
World News America presenter
National polls are misleading at this point, it’s all about the battlegrounds and polls in those states suggest, at the time of writing, that this election still leans toward Clinton. From Ohio to North Carolina to Florida one issue matters more than most, jobs. It is, again, the economy stupid that voters care about.
You wouldn’t know that from this campaign which, in the final week will be dominated by issues of trustworthiness, emails, sex, FBI and personality.
A lot of voters I’ve spoken to don’t like either candidate but some will vote Trump almost as a roll of the dice - they want to see if someone else can fix their economic problems.
For me elections are always about what they tell us about the state of the country and how people are feeling. This year I’m struck by the anomalies this campaign has thrown up, scrambling all the usual political lines.
There was the union worker in Ohio who told me he’d voted Democrat his whole life but this year switched party registration and will vote Trump “to save my job.” In North Carolina I met an elderly black veteran who was proud to buck racial trends and vote Trump too.
And in the suburbs of Philadelphia I remember independent women who told me Trump’s misogynistic language had set American women back a decade so they were voting for Clinton.
You can make a prediction of your own using our Predict the president game.