Why black voters could decide Biden’s fatepublished at 22:31 British Summer Time 29 September 2020
Chelsea Bailey
BBC News, Cleveland, Ohio
Back in February, Joe Biden’s bid for the Democratic nomination was on life support. The former vice-president had suffered crushing defeats in Iowa and New Hampshire, two states with overwhelmingly white populations which hold the first primary contests.
But a tidal wave of support from African Americans in South Carolina’s primary - where black voters are the majority - resuscitated his campaign and he never looked back.
Biden will need them again if he is to win the White House. Polls show about 85% of black voters plan to vote for Biden, compared to around 10% for Trump, but getting them to show up at the polls - or send in their mail-in ballots - will be key to victory.
Black turnout when Barack Obama won the White House was 65% in 2008 and 66% in 2012. In the last election, when Hillary Clinton lost to Donald Trump, it was just 59%. Turnout was even lower in several battleground states where the result was ultimately decided.
It’s no surprise Biden has turned to his old boss for help this time (watch Obama’s direct appeal to black voters here, external).
Many black Democrats I spoke to in South Carolina at the start of this campaign, especially younger voters, told me they were reluctant Biden supporters. But they all made clear that politicians had to earn their vote, not take them for granted.