Summary

  • The Chancellor has delivered his Spending Review - setting out government plans for the economy and spending

  • Rishi Sunak said the government is set to borrow a record £394bn this year

  • He told MPs unemployment will rise to 2.6 million by the second quarter of 2021

  • Mr Sunak said the economy is predicted to contract by 11.3% and grow by 5.5% next year and 6.6% in 2022.

  • Public sector pay will be frozen, except for NHS staff and those earning under £24,000

  • The BBC has been told that 1.3 million people will be directly affected by the public sector pay freeze

  • Spending on overseas aid will be cut from 0.7% to 0.5% of national income next year

  • The spending plans don't include any tax changes - they are only announced in the Budget

  • The economy has been hit by the cost of borrowing for the coronavirus pandemic and job losses

  • The Office for Budget Responsibility published its forecasts for the economy and public finances

  • The OBR warned the economy is not expected to return to pre-pandemic levels until the end of 2022

  • The chancellor told the cabinet this morning the OBR figures were "sobering"

  1. New £4bn levelling up fundpublished at 13:11 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

    SunakImage source, HoC

    Mr Sunak says he has one final announcement.

    He says the "most powerful barometer of economic success is the change people see and the pride they feel in the places they call home".

    As a result, he announces a new "levelling up fund" worth £4bn.

    The chancellor says any local area will be able to bid directly to fund local projects - but they must be delivered within this Parliament "and they must command local support".

    They could include a new bypass, upgraded railway stations, less traffic or more libraries, museums, and galleries.

    "This government is funding the things people want and places need," he says.

  2. Sunak announces new UK infrastructure bankpublished at 13:09 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020
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    The chancellor says capital - or long-term - spending on infrastructure will total £100bn, a £27bn real-terms rise from last year.

    This, he says, is the "highest sustained levels of public investment in more than 40 years."

    He announces a new UK infrastructure bank, to be headquartered in the north of England, which he says will finance infrastructure projects from next spring, alongside the private sector.

  3. Judge standing by values we defendpublished at 13:07 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

    SunakImage source, HoC

    The Chancellor says overseas aid "is only one of the ways we play our role in the world".

    He points to the £24bn investment in defence over the next four years, "allowing us to provide security not just for our country but around the world".

    And he says the UK is investing more "in our extensive diplomatic network, already one of the largest in the world, and providing more funding for new trade deals."

    He adds: "We should, however, judge our standing in the world not just by the money we spend but by the causes we advance and the values we defend."

  4. Foreign Aid cut to 0.5% in 2021published at 13:05 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020
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    The chancellor says the spending review will "strengthen the UK's place in the world", and the UK will "always be open and outward-looking".

    But, he says, during an emergency at home, "sticking rigidly to spending 0.7% of our national income on overseas aid is difficult to justify to the British people".

    Mr Sunak adds: "At at a time of unprecedented crisis government must make tough choices."

    As a result, he says the government will spend the equivalent of 0.5% of national income on overseas aid in 2021, allocating £10bn at this Spending Review.

    "And our intention is to return to 0.7% when the fiscal situation allows," he adds.

  5. Councils to get 'extra flexibility' on taxpublished at 13:05 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

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    Mr Sunak says long-term investment in the NHS will rise by £2.3bn to invest in new technology to improve the patient experience.

    He says local authorities will have "extra flexibility" to raise money for social care through council tax and the Adult Social Care precept.

    He also confirms the extra £1bn social care grant provided this year will be maintained into next year.

  6. More funding for nationspublished at 13:02 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

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    The chancellor says total departmental spending across Whitehall will be £540bn in 2021.

    Day-to-day departmental spending will rise, in real terms, by 3.8% – "the fastest growth rate in 15 years".

    But he says it is a rise for the whole of United Kingdom - with an increase of funding for the Scottish Government of £2.4bn, Welsh Government funding by £1.3bn, and £900,000 for the Northern Ireland Executive.

    Mr Sunak also says the whole of the UK will benefit from the "UK Shared Prosperity Fund" to match EU funding ending next year,

    He says, on average, that will reach £1.5bn a year - with pilot programmes to prepare the country.

  7. Minimum wage to rise 2.2% to £8.91 per hourpublished at 13:00 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020
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    The chancellor says the 2.1m public sector workers who earn less than the median wage of £24,000 will be guaranteed a pay rise of at least £250.

    He says the government will accept a recommendation from the Low Pay Commission to increase the National Living Wage next year by 2.2%, to £8.91 an hour - extended to those aged 23 and over.

  8. Pay rise for nurses and doctorspublished at 12:59 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020
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    Mr Sunak says there will be a pay rise for over a million nurses, doctors and others working in the NHS.

    But he says pay rises in the rest of the public sector will be paused next year.

    However, he promises the government "will protect those on lower incomes".

  9. Sunak: Cannot justify across the board public sector pay risespublished at 12:58 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

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    The chancellor says the statistics "remind us of something else" - that the virus has "deepened the disparity between public and private sector wages".

    He says in the six months to September, private sector wages fell by nearly 1% compared to last year, while public sector wages rose by nearly 4%.

    Mr Sunak says, as a result, he "cannot justify a significant, across-the-board pay increase for all public sector workers".

    Instead, he says the government will target "our resources at those who need it most".

  10. Unemployment to hit 2.6m next year, says Sunakpublished at 12:56 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

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    The chancellor says the OBR expects unemployment to rise to a peak of 7.5% - or 2.6m people - in the second quarter of next year.

    Unemployment is then forecast to fall in every year, reaching 4.4% by the end of 2024, he adds.

    He announces an extra £3bn next year to support those who are unemployed.

    But he warns that "we cannot protect every job".

  11. Covid will lead to 'long-term scarring'published at 12:55 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

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    SunakImage source, HoC

    Mr Sunak says: "The economic damage is likely to be lasting."

    As a result of what he calls "long-term scarring", the chancellor says the economy "will be around 3% smaller than expected in the March Budget" come 2025.

    The chancellor says the economic impact of coronavirus, "and the action we’ve taken in response" has led to a "a significant but necessary increase in our borrowing and debt".

    The forecast for UK borrowing this year is £394bn this year - equivalent to 19% of GDP - "the highest recorded level of borrowing in our peacetime history".

  12. Sunak: Borrowing necessary but unsustainablepublished at 12:54 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

    House of Commons
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    The chancellor says underlying debt is due to hit 97.5% of GDP in 2025-26.

    However, he says that the "costs of inaction would have been far higher".

    But he says this situation is "unsustainable over the medium term".

    "We have a responsibility, once the economy recovers, to return to a sustainable fiscal position," he adds.

  13. Economy to contract by 11.3%published at 12:53 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

    House of Commons
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    The chancellor moves onto the forecasts of the Office for Budget Responsibility.

    He says the economy will contract this year by 11.3% - "the largest fall in output for more than 300 years".

    Mr Sunak says they will start to recover as restrictions are eased.

    But, he adds: "Even with growth returning, our economic output is not expected to return to pre-crisis levels until the fourth quarter of 2022."

  14. Sunak outlines costs of Covid-19 responsepublished at 12:51 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

    CommonsImage source, HoC

    Mr Sunak says total spending on Covid-19 so far has been £280bn.

    Rishi Sunak confirms an extra £3bn for the NHS in England next year to tackle the backlog in operations from Covid.

    He says there will be over £2bn for transport, £3bn for English councils, an extra £250m to help end rough sleeping.

    Taken together, next year, he says public services funding to tackle coronavirus will total £55bn.

  15. Pound dips slightly ahead of spending announcementspublished at 12:50 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

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    The pound weakened a touch ahead of Chancellor Rishi Sunak's spending plans. Sterling is also expected to be sensitive to news of any further progress towards a post-Brexit trade deal.

    The pound was last trading down 0.15% at $1.3342 and also down by 0.2% against a broadly stronger euro at 89.18 pence.

  16. Sunak: Economic emergency 'has only just begun'published at 12:49 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

    SunaclImage source, HoC

    Beginning his speech, Rishi Sunak says the "health emergency is not yet over" and the economic emergency has "only just begun".

    He says the "immediate priority" will be to protect jobs, as well has help businesses and support public services.

  17. What is the Spending Review?published at 12:48 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

    Chancellor prepares his Spending Review speechImage source, UK Gov
    Image caption,

    Chancellor preparing his Spending Review speech

    This Spending Review - detailing the money government departments will get for things like the NHS, education, roads, and police - only covers the financial year 2021-22.

    In normal times, reviews cover three or four years. But such is the economic uncertainty that this look-ahead has been limited to the next 12 months.

    It will also set out money for the devolved administrations Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.

    So what should you look out for? Here's our quick guide

  18. Sunak begins Spending Review speech to MPspublished at 12:46 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

    House of Commons
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    SunakImage source, HoC

    Chancellor Rishi Sunak gets to his feet to begin his statement on the Spending Review.

    Stay with us and we’ll bring you all the latest updates here.

  19. Economic rescue at heart of Spending Reviewpublished at 12:45 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

    Faisal Islam
    BBC Economics Editor

    Today’s Spending Review is not a Budget.

    There will be tens of billions of pounds announced in new spending, but little or nothing on taxation.

    The crucial new information will be how persistent the economic hit from the pandemic is expected to be.

    Rishi Sunak says protecting jobs is his number one priority, and there will be a £3bn "Restart scheme" to channel one million long-term unemployed back into work.

    Huge sums will be allocated to rolling out vaccines and test and trace schemes, as well as helping the NHS clear the backlog of delayed treatment.

    But although the chancellor insists there will be no return to austerity, there will be losers.

    Public sector wages will see a squeeze, and for some, a freeze - the question is for how long.

    The aid budget will be cut, raising the threat of a rebellion in the Commons by unhappy Conservative backbenchers.

    A long-term plan to reset the regional balance of the economy - the so called "levelling up" agenda - will remain.

    But the heart of this statement will be the need for ongoing economic rescue.

  20. Big tax decisions for another daypublished at 12:42 Greenwich Mean Time 25 November 2020

    Laura Kuenssberg
    Political editor

    The chancellor and prime minister have decided politically that while budgets will be tight (and let's see the black and white to assess this for real) there can't be a return to the kind of squeeze of the Cameron and Osborne era.

    No one in government would pretend in private there is any way to avoid tax rises at some point.

    But Mr Sunak is not going to announce any of that today - any big ways of raising money to fill the hole won't come until the Budget next year at the earliest, and perhaps not until after that.

    But today's review will sketch out the very, very serious challenge for the country's finances that is on the way.

    Read Laura's full preview.