Tories may be wary of Johnson returning to No 10 - Curticepublished at 15:32 British Summer Time 20 October 2022
Polling expert Professor Sir John Curtice says we should remember that Boris Johnson still faces a parliamentary investigation by the privileges committee into whether he deliberately misled the Commons over Downing Street parties.
He says therefore Tory MPs may be “very wary” of having Johnson back in office "and then finding themselves embroiled in exactly the same arguments about his probity from which they thought they had escaped".
He thinks Rishi Sunak, Penny Mordaunt and Suella Braverman are more realistic prospects to become the next PM.
But Curtice has this advice for whoever wins: "Enjoy the next 18 months to two years because that is probably the length of your tenure.”
He says parties in government who preside over a fiscal crisis have nearly always struggled at the ballot box at the subsequent election.