Image source, Getty Images

Shannon Felton Spence, a political strategist, was speaking earlier to the BBC's Newsday programme about how much influence the New Hampshire outcome could have on Donald Trump's race to the White House.

"He has all but secured the nomination at this point," she said. "He will be the nominee come summer time."

Felton Spence also discussed Nikki Haley's night, saying that New Hampshire was the full "ball game" for her.

"She had put so many resources there, it should have been a place she did well," she said.

"But the independent vote in New Hampshire, which is about 40% of the electorate, can decide which party they want to vote for. So if you are an undeclared voter in New Hampshire you could have showed up."

Felton Spence said Haley was expecting those independents to get her over the line of the necessary Republican votes, but "they didn't break for her in crazy margins so that hurt her",

"The second thing that really hurt her is Ron DeSantis got out of the race and made it a two-person vote and DeSantis voters made it clear that their second choice wasn't Nikki Haley," Felton Spence says.

As we've reported, a third candidate - Robert F Kennedy Jr - will stand in the presidential election as an independent.

We've been talking to Republicans who aren't supporting Trump about what they might do in November. Fred says he does not want to vote for Trump or Biden, and would only vote in the presidential election if there’s a centrist third-party candidate.

Image source, Getty Images

The US will head to the polls in November 2024 to elect the next US president. Here's a really simple guide to the election:

• The election will be on Tuesday, 5 November 2024

• The field of possible candidates is narrowing dramatically as we go through the primaries: Joe Biden is expected to win the Democratic Party nomination, while Donald Trump's victory in New Hampshire pushes him closer to securing the Republican nomination
• Robert F Kennedy Jr, nephew of former president John F Kennedy, is also running as an independent candidate

• The US presidential election is decided through the electoral college system. Each state has a certain number of electoral college votes and there are a total of 538 up for grabs, so the winner is the candidate that wins 270 or more
• It's not just the president being elected, new members of Congress will be chosen too, with 435 House of Representative seats up for election and 33 Senate seats
• Usually, a winner is declared on the night of the election, but like in 2020, it can take a few days to count all the votes
• The president is sworn into office in January 2025 at the inauguration in Washington DC

Kayla Epstein
Reporting from New Hampshire

Donald Trump has won the New Hampshire primary, defeating his last remaining rival for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley.

In interviews across the state before voting began on Tuesday, at campaign headquarters and pubs and diners, Trump's supporters said returning him to the White House was, as one woman put it, "our last shot at restoring our beautiful country".

Miranda Blair didn't vote for Trump in 2016 because he scared her. This week, she was wearing a bright red "Make America Great Again" hat as she waited in sub-freezing temperatures to hear him speak in Manchester, New Hampshire, as he rallied Republican voters to choose him as their nominee.

The 40-year-old sales manager voted for Barack Obama, a Democrat, in 2008 and found Trump's lack of political experience disqualifying in 2016. Disliking the options, she didn't vote that year.

But during Trump's presidency, she changed her views. And her financial struggles now, under a Joe Biden presidency, have cemented her support for Trump.

Blair's evolution towards Trump, spurred by the soaring cost of living in recent years, US involvement in new foreign conflicts and a belief that the Biden government has abandoned people like her, helps explain why the former president looks near certain to win the Republican presidential nomination.

It's just after 5am in New Hampshire, where 91% of the vote has been counted in the state's Republican Party primary.

Donald Trump, who won the contest, is ahead by more than 11 points - leading Nikki Haley by 54.6% to 43.2%.

Image source, .

We've been talking to Republicans who are anti-Trump, and asking them one question - will they be voting for Trump in November?

I've always voted for the individual. I've no plans to back Donald Trump under any circumstance, and no - it does not matter that the Democratic opponent is Joe Biden.

My reasons include his botched public health response to Covid-19 and slashing the Center for Disease Control budget prior to the outbreak, and his rollback on environmental issues such as methane emissions and reducing the powers of the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

But the final nail-in-the-coffin was 6 January 2021 and his inaction to prevent the attack on the US Capitol. Subsequent comments from Trump only made clear that if elected, he will further abuse the power of the office.

Phil McCausland
Reporting from New Hampshire

Image source, Getty Images

Moving away briefly now from the Republican Party to the Democratic primary, which was also happening on Tuesday in New Hampshire.

President Joe Biden is the projected winner of the state's primary, even though he was not on the ballot.

A write-in effort, which is when a candidate's name does not appear on the ballot but seeks election by asking voters to cast a vote, helped him avoid losing to Dean Phillips, a Democratic congressman.

Biden had skipped the primary, as the party decided South Carolina should be first to vote.

But New Hampshire refused to move its vote, leading to a standoff with party grandees in Washington.

Biden's expected margin of victory in the Granite State is not yet clear, though opinion polls at the weekend had suggested he enjoyed a formidable lead, despite the curious circumstances.

Some of Biden's Democratic allies in New Hampshire had been urging voters to write his name on the ballot when they voted.

The "danger" of Donald Trump running for the White House has "alarmed" a lot of people, including those who used to work for him, a former aide to Bill Clinton says.

Sidney Blumenthal tells BBC Radio 4's Today programme that he's spoken to a number of former Trump staffers that are "forming organisations to campaign against him".

"And this is not one or two or three or a dozen people, but more than 100 people who worked for Trump and who feel he's a real danger and menace in the country," Blumenthal says.

Blumenthal adds this is yet to be accounted for in the polls, but suggests these groups "will be a factor in the fall [autumn] and possibly sooner when they get out there with their stories about Trump".

Image source, Getty Images

Republican candidates Donald Trump and Nikki Haley went head-to-head in the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday.

With 90% of the vote counted, here's a look at the main takeaways:

• Former President Trump confirmed his status as the front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination after winning the New Hampshire primary - the contest where the state's party selects its election candidate
• He leads Nikki Haley, his last remaining rival in the Republican nomination race, by 12 points: The current vote share is 54.6% to 43.2%
• During his victory speech, Trump called Haley an "imposter" who had been beaten "so badly". It comes after the ex-president last week won a landslide in Iowa's caucuses
• Haley has vowed to fight on with her campaign and to take her bid to become the Republican party's presidential candidate back home to South Carolina, the state where she served as governor
• Our North America correspondent, Anthony Zurcher says the result shows the "Republican race is all but over". "A rematch in November's general election with President Joe Biden, the likely Democratic candidate, now looks more certain," he writes
• The next significant primary contest is on 24 February in South Carolina. And there's this daunting piece of political trivia for Haley: no Republican candidate has ever won the first two states and not gone on to become the Republican nominee

Image source, Reuters

Former White House press secretary, Sean Spicer has told the BBC’s Americast podcast that Nikki Haley may “choose to fight another day” but no-one is “really giving her any chance”.

Spicer, who was press secretary to Donald Trump in his 2016 administration, said that New Hampshire was the one place she could “break out” as she was more likely to succeed there than in Iowa, where Donald Trump won last week's caucus.

Haley, a former United Nations ambassador, had focused her campaign efforts on New Hampshire, making dozens of stops in diners, local shops and other small-town spots, but ultimately came up short in the primary.

Spicer also said it was “a sign of strength” that Trump appeared on stage in New Hampshire alongside candidates who had run against him, which “sends a very strong signal that people who wanted to take him on want to stand behind him now and support him going forward.”

You can listen to the latest episode of Americast here.

Image source, Getty

It's a staple of the election news cycle - musicians unhappy when their music is used by politicians they don't like.

And - after a user on X, formerly Twitter, reported that a song by The Smiths was used at a Trump event in Laconia, New Hampshire last night - Smiths guitarist Johnny Marr was not happy.

"Consider this shut right down right now," he wrote, after another user posted a video of The Smiths also being played at a Trump event in South Dakota last year.

The song in question? Please Please Please Let Me Get What I Want...

As we've been reporting, Donald Trump has won the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, the BBC's US partner CBS projects, with 90% of the vote counted.

He leads Nikki Haley, his last rival in the race to secure the Republican nomination for this year's presidential election, by 11 points or so.

Image source, .

Image source, Getty Images

Despite Donald Trump winning the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, Nikki Haley has said the race is "far from over".

Haley's supporters are backing that notion too, saying they are still feeling positive about her campaign.

Speaking from New Hampshire, Brittany Martinez said: "It's not over until it's over. She's going to keep fighting.

"South Carolina's the next state, that's her home state. The folks there have voted for her twice to be governor. They know what she can deliver."

Another Haley supporter, Steve Kesselring said if she wins South Carolina it will "create more momentum" and that she will show a lot of people that "she should be in this race".

How much longer can Haley stay in the race?published at 07:45 Greenwich Mean Time 24 January

07:45 GMT 24 January

Sarah Smith
North America editor

Is it just a matter of time before Nikki Haley pulls out and hands the Republican crown to Trump?

Haley insisted tonight that she plans to carry on - describing herself as “scrappy” and “a fighter”.

She has already announced a campaign stop in Charleston, South Carolina, on Wednesday. Clearly her final New Hampshire speech is designed to send the message that she isn’t giving up.

But behind closed doors her team and her donors will be frantically deciding whether it is worth continuing this campaign.

If Haley couldn’t defeat Trump in New Hampshire, with all its moderate Republicans and independent voters, how can she expect to fare better in more conservative territory?

She spent the vast majority of her time in Iowa and New Hampshire - not to mention tens of millions of dollars - and came up short. The conservative voters in upcoming states will only make things more difficult.

It would be especially embarrassing for Haley if she is defeated in her home state of South Carolina – the next significant primary contest - on 24 February.

Losing in the place where she once served as governor would be hard to recover from. To protect her future political ambitions, Haley may well choose to retire from this race before she faces Palmetto state voters.

Image source, Getty Images

Donald Trump's resurgence in the race for the Republican nomination was not inevitable, says Mick Mulvaney, the former president's budget director and later his White House chief of staff.

"If you asked me a year ago, I thought there was no chance he could win," he tells BBC Radio 4's Today programme.

The 6 January Capitol riot "was looming very large at the time", he says. "I thought his ceiling in the Republican Party was 35%. Clearly, it’s something closer to between 50 and 60%."

So, what happened?

Mulvaney says Trump "managed to take this barrage of criminal investigations and turn them masterfully to his advantage - to make it look like the Biden administration was out to get their political opponents".

From this, he crafted a "compelling" message to voters, which Mulvaney says is: "'Look at what they're doing to me. Imagine: if they could do this to me, just think about what they could do to you. Vote for me and I'll make sure that doesn't happen.'"

Almost 90% of the vote has now been counted in the New Hampshire Republican primary.

Donald Trump, the projected winner, is maintaining his lead of about 12 points.

With 89% of votes now counted, the former president is up 55% to Nikki Haley's 43%.

The New Hampshire primary isn't just a key part of the Republican nomination process in the United States - it's also appointment viewing for political junkies.

Here are some pictures from watch parties that took place around the state last night:

Image source, Reuters

Image source, Reuters

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Image source, Reuters

Anthony Zurcher
BBC North America correspondent, in New Hampshire

If you're just joining us, Donald Trump has won the New Hampshire primary, defeating his last remaining rival for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley.

His victory means the race for the nomination is all but over, even if Haley is not yet ready to end her campaign - a fact that clearly irked the former president on what was otherwise an evening of celebration.

"She's doing... a speech like she won," he said of his rival, who pledged to stay in the race earlier in the evening. "She didn't win. She lost."

Although Trump's victory in New Hampshire did not match the 20-point margin that was predicted by recent polls, it should be more than enough to maintain the current direction of the race.

He won by a landslide in the first contest in Iowa. And the upcoming states on the Republican primary calendar tilt more heavily in his favour than New Hampshire, suggesting his march towards the nomination will soon become a stampede.

With each passing vote, a truth becomes increasingly clear. As polls for almost the entire year have shown, the Republican Party is still Donald Trump's party.

The two Republican candidates went head-to-head in the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday. Donald Trump defeated Nikki Haley, confirming his status as the front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination.

Despite losing in the state, Haley said she will continue her campaign, much to the frustration of her rival.

You can watch some of Trump's victory rally speech below in our video wrap of what you might have missed overnight:

Kayla Epstein
Reporting from New Hampshire

I just met Kurt Strandson who hosted Nikki Haley at an event in his backyard earlier in the campaign.

Strandson thinks Tuesday night was a bad result for Trump, as he had expected the former president would enjoy a huge margin of victory.

Still, he had hoped someone like Haley would actually beat Trump - not just come close.

“She struggles to identify with her base,” he says.

One issue, according to Strandson, is that Haley avoided some of the culture war or anti-immigration rhetoric that has served as red meat to many Republican primary voters.

That hesitance turned many Trump voters away, he says. “[To them] she represents everything Trump is fighting against," Strandson says. "To his base, she represents the kind of people he thinks are the problem.”