Sinema's decision brings clarity to pivotal battlegroundpublished at 20:27 Greenwich Mean Time 5 March
Anthony Zurcher
North America correspondent
With the Senate majority resting on a knife’s edge this November, Kyrsten Sinema’s announcement that she is not seeking re-election brings some clarity to one of the chamber’s pivotal battlegrounds.
Her decision removes the possibility that the Arizona Democrat-turned-independent would create an unpredictable three-way contest against Democratic Congressman Ruben Gallego and former Republican governor candidate Kari Lake.
Instead, Gallego and Lake appear destined for a more traditional head-to-head matchup.
Recent surveys indicate that this could be bad news for Lake, who benefits from a close alliance with Donald Trump among hard-core conservatives but struggles to attract the kind of independents and centrist Republicans needed to build a winning majority in Arizona.
A three-way race could have created a more unstable situation and significantly lowered the bar needed for Lake to win, with Sinema pulling more voters away from Gallego.
Arizona will still be a closely fought contest, soaking up tens of millions of dollars from both campaigns. But it will now rest somewhat farther down the list of targets for Republicans looking to swing the chamber to their side.
As for Sinema’s political future, the independent No Labels group is still looking for a presidential candidate. Her name is sure to come up.