What is Hezbollah in Lebanon and will it go to war with Israel?

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Still from a speech by Hassan Nasrallah (file photo)Image source, Reuters
Image caption,

Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah is a Shia cleric who has led Hezbollah since 1992

The Israeli military has said its jets pre-emptively struck thousands of Hezbollah rocket launchers across southern Lebanon on Sunday, after identifying that Hezbollah was preparing an imminent attack on Israel.

Hezbollah has said it launched hundreds of rockets and drones at Israel afterwards in an initial response to the assassination of a top commander last month, and denied that its plans were thwarted.

It was a significant escalation after 10 months of near daily exchanges of fire across the Israel-Lebanon border, which have raised fears of an all-out war between the two foes.

What is Hezbollah?

Hezbollah is a Shia Muslim organisation which is politically influential and in control of the most powerful armed force in Lebanon.

It was established in the early 1980s by the region's most dominant Shia power, Iran, to oppose Israel. At the time, Israel's forces had occupied southern Lebanon, during the country's civil war.

Hezbollah has participated in national elections since 1992 and has become a major political presence.

Its armed wing has carried out deadly attacks on Israeli and US forces in Lebanon. When Israeli troops withdrew from Lebanon in 2000, Hezbollah took credit for pushing them out.

Since then, Hezbollah has maintained thousands of fighters and a huge missile arsenal in southern Lebanon. It continues to oppose Israel's presence in disputed border areas.

It is designated a terrorist organisation by Western states, Israel, Gulf Arab countries and the Arab League.

In 2006, a full-blown war broke out between Hezbollah and Israel, triggered by a deadly cross-border raid by Hezbollah.

Israeli troops invaded southern Lebanon to try to eliminate the threat from Hezbollah. However, it survived and has since increased its number of fighters and obtained new and better weapons.

Who is Hezbollah's leader, Hassan Nasrallah?

Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah is a Shia cleric who has led Hezbollah since 1992.

He played a key role in turning it into a political, as a well as a military, force.

He has close links with Iran and its Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Nasrallah has not appeared in public for years, purportedly for fear of being assassinated by Israel.

However, he remains revered by Hezbollah, and delivers televised speeches every week.

How powerful are Hezbollah's forces?

Hezbollah is one of the most heavily-armed, non-state military forces in the world. It is funded and equipped by Iran.

Hassan Nasrallah has claimed that it has 100,000 fighters, although independent estimates vary between 20,000 and 50,000.

Many are well trained and battle hardened, and have fought in the Syrian civil war.

Image source, Reuters
Image caption,

Lebanese civilians say their homes have been hit by Israel as it responds to Hezbollah rockets

Hezbollah has an estimated 120,000-200,000 rockets and missiles, according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies think tank, external.

Most of its arsenal is made up of small, unguided surface-to-surface artillery rockets.

But it also thought to have anti-aircraft and anti-ship missiles, as well as guided missiles capable of striking deep inside Israel.

This is much more sophisticated than what Hamas, in the Gaza Strip, has at its disposal.

Could Hezbollah go to war with Israel?

Previously sporadic fighting escalated on 8 October - a day after the unprecedented attack on Israel by Hamas gunmen from Gaza - when Hezbollah fired at Israeli positions, in solidarity with the Palestinians.

Since then, it has launched more than 8,000 rockets at northern Israel and Israeli positions on the Golan Heights, fired anti-tank missiles at armoured vehicles, and attacked military targets with explosive drones.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have retaliated, using air strikes and tank and artillery fire against Hezbollah positions in Lebanon.

Lebanon's health ministry says more than 560 people have been killed over the past 10 months. Most of them were Hezbollah fighters, but at least 133 were civilians, according to the ministry.

In Israel, authorities say at least 26 civilians and 23 soldiers have been killed.

Almost 200,000 people have also been displaced on both sides of the border.

Despite the fighting, observers say that up till now both sides have aimed to contain hostilities without crossing the line into full-scale war. But there are fears that the situation could spiral out of control.

Those fears soared after the killing of 12 children in a rocket attack in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights on 27 July. Israel said Hezbollah carried out the attack, but the group denied involvement.

On 30 July, the IDF announced that it had killed senior Hezbollah military commander Fuad Shukr in an air strike in Beirut's southern suburbs.

The following day, Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh was killed in Iran's capital, Tehran. Israel neither confirmed nor denied involved.

Ever since, the region has been waiting for a response from Hezbollah and Iran, who both vowed to retaliate against Israel.

The US is hoping to de-escalate tensions by brokering a ceasefire and hostage release deal in Gaza, and is putting pressure on Israel and Hamas. Hezbollah has said it will only stop the hostilities once the fighting in Gaza ends.