Jonjo Shelvey: Newcastle's £12m buy the best value - study
- Published
Newcastle's £12m purchase of Swansea midfielder Jonjo Shelvey was the best-value signing of the January transfer window, according to a study.
Analysis from the CIES Football Observatory, external says the 23-year-old England international is worth £23.5m.
Its data suggests Chinese club Guangzhou Evergrande paid £18.43m too much when they spent £31m on Atletico Madrid striker Jackson Martinez.
Bournemouth are said to have overspent on £7m Norwich striker Lewis Grabban.
According to the CIES research team, which analyses transfers in Europe's big five leagues, that was more than £6m too much.
Best-value signings of winter transfer window (CIES Football Observatory) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Name | From | To | Fee | Underpaid by |
Jonjo Shelvey | Swansea | Newcastle | £12m | £11.5m |
Augusto Fernandez | Celta Vigo | Atletico Madrid | £5m (reported) | £2.48m |
Mario Suarez | Fiorentina | Watford | £4m (reported) | £2.24m |
The study also suggested Newcastle overpaid by £5.4m when they spent £12m signing England winger Andros Townsend from Tottenham.
That move went through on 27 January, the same day Chinese club Jiangsu Suning signed Brazil midfielder Ramires.
The 28-year-old moved in a deal believed to be worth about £25m, which the CIES study claims is £8.36m more than his value.
Worst-value signings of winter transfer window (CIES Football Observatory) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Name | From | To | Fee | Overpaid by |
Jackson Martinez | Atletico Madrid | Guangzhou | £31m | £18.43m |
Ramires | Chelsea | Jiangsu Suning | £25m (reported) | £8.36m |
Lewis Grabban | Norwich City | Bournemouth | £7m | £6m |
How does it work?
The CIES Football Observatory team of academics estimates transfer values based on 1,500 fee-paying deals involving the big five European leagues since June 2009.
It takes into account the "inflationary trend" of transfer fees and calculate a player's worth based on their statistics in six key areas - age, position, contract, international status, experience and performance.
Footballers with the highest transfer values in the study generally play in competitive teams, are active full internationals, play in attacking positions, have long-term contracts and are under 27 years of age.
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