What Premier League title race looks like as Liverpool travel to Villa

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'Today we praise VAR' - MOTD pundits discuss Liverpool v Wolves

The Premier League title race is heading towards the final straight - and Liverpool face Aston Villa on Wednesday with the chance to move 10 points clear, having played a game more.

Liverpool edged past Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 on Sunday, doing just enough to ensure they went seven points clear at the top of the table.

"Everyone gets nervous," accepted Liverpool full-back Andy Robertson after the Wolves win.

"The players get nervous, the crowd gets nervous - that's only natural. But another game down. This result is big."

With 13 games remaining, how likely are Liverpool to be caught? And who has the toughest run-in?

Graphic showing the top of the Premier League table
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How the top six in the Premier League looks after 25 games

Liverpool looking leggy or finding different ways to win?

Liverpool's performance against Wolves on Sunday was hardly one to set the pulses racing.

They were good value for their two-goal lead at half time - thanks to a Luis Diaz finish and a Mohamed Salah penalty - but after the break it was struggling Wolves who were the better side.

This was the first time on record (since 2003-04) that Liverpool failed to attempt a shot in the second half of a Premier League game at Anfield, according to Opta.

In fact, it was the first time in this period that the Reds went an entire half of football without attempting a shot in a home league match.

Opta's supercomputer predicts Liverpool to win the Premier League pretty comfortably and has them to finish on 87 points, seven clear of Arsenal.

The statisticians give them an 87.65% chance of winning the title, with the Gunners on 12.35%. Every other team has been given 0% chance of finishing first.

What are Liverpool's remaining fixtures?

Liverpool's recent form: WWWDW

It is a hectic few weeks for Liverpool, with the Reds having league games pretty much every three days until the end of the month.

But things ease considerably in March, when the Reds play just one league game - a home fixture against bottom club Southampton.

That's not to say it is a quiet month, however, with Liverpool having the small matter of the EFL Cup final against Newcastle on 16 March.

That cup final is why Wednesday's game against Aston Villa has been brought forward. Arsenal play Chelsea at home in the Premier League on 16 March - at which point both clubs will have nine games left.

On either 4 or 5 March, Liverpool will also have the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie, when they will travel to one of Paris St-Germain, Benfica, Monaco or Brest. The return leg at Anfield will take place a week later.

Liverpool finish the season with a home game against Crystal Palace - by which point they would hope to have already had the title wrapped up.

Liverpool's final 13 Premier League games:

  • 19 February: Aston Villa (A)

  • 23 February: Man City (A)

  • 26 February: Newcastle (H)

  • 8 March: Southampton (H)

  • 2 April: Everton (H)

  • 5 April: Fulham (A)

  • 12 April: West Ham (H)

  • 19 April: Leicester (A)

  • 26 April: Tottenham (H)

  • 3 May: Chelsea (A)

  • 10 May: Arsenal (H)

  • 18 May: Brighton (A)

  • 25 May: Crystal Palace (H)

What are Arsenal's remaining fixtures?

Arsenal's recent form: WDWWW

Arsenal are currently unbeaten in 15 league matches (W10 D5) - their longest run without defeat under Mikel Arteta.

They have one fewer Premier League game than Liverpool in the rest of this month, but face Chelsea on 16 March to catch-up while the Reds are in the Carabao Cup final.

Gunners fans will be hoping their side are still in the title race when they go to Anfield on 10 May because getting a result in that game would set them up for a home fixture against Newcastle and then an away trip to Southampton on the final day, by which point the Saints could be relegated.

Arsenal's final 13 Premier League games:

  • 22 February: West Ham (H)

  • 26 February: Nottingham Forest (A)

  • 9 March: Man Utd (A)

  • 16 March: Chelsea (H)

  • 1 April: Fulham (H)

  • 5 April: Everton (A)

  • 12 April: Brentford (H)

  • 19 April: Ipswich (A)

  • 26 April: Crystal Palace (H)

  • 3 May: Bournemouth (H)

  • 10 May: Liverpool (A)

  • 18 May: Newcastle (H)

  • 25 May: Southampton (A)

Who has the easier run-in?

Liverpool will have been relieved to get the three points against Wolves because they have two tough away games coming up - travelling to Aston Villa and then Manchester City.

They also play rivals Arsenal towards the end of the season but have the advantage of hosting that encounter.

Arsenal, meanwhile, face six sides in the top half of the table in their final 13 games.

As the historical table below shows, only once in Premier League history has a side held a lead of this size after 25 games and not gone on to win the title.