Want to relive the moment England won this first Test? Listen again to Jonathan Agnew describing the final wicket thanks to our friends on the 5 live website.
"Root also had the highest score in the match again. The eighth time in his 28 Test match career. Bradman is the only one who has a higher percentage."
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Alastair Cook. England's leading Test runscorer. Captain. Photographer.
Cook poses for a selfie, waits as a chap can't get his phone sorted, then decides to do the business himself.
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Matthew Burnett: Cardiff hosted a fantastic Test Match in the Ashes once again. Proud to be a Welshman. Stand tall and proud Cardiff, great game.
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Stuart Broad on England's tactics with the ball: "We decided that width was going to be easy. We'd prefer to be driven than cut, and I can't really remember us being cut.
"Cooky had a really good game as captain - he put fielders in places in front of the bat that could apply some pressure."
There will be plenty of chance to talk about this England victory on BBC Radio 5 live tonight as Michael Vaughan hosts 6-Duck-6. (The football version is 6-0-6. Geddit?)
Michael will be on air from 19:00. You can call 0900 909 693 or text 85058.
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Stuart Broad, who took 3-39 in the second innings: "We're really happy. It's always hard work, especially on a wicket where you had to run in on and hit the pitch hard to get anything out of it.
"But a four-day win by 169 runs - it was a really good performance. There are a lot of proud players up there."
"Michael Clarke is right up there with the best captains but Alastair Cook has just out-captained him this week, he has tactically manoeuvred his field better, who thought we'd be saying that? I just don't think there will be any draws in this series unless the weather comes in. Batting first is a big advantage, if Australia win the toss at Lord's these things can turn around quickly. Whatever happens it is going to be a very, very entertaining series."
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The England players are out of the dressing room and on the edge of the field, meeting fans and signing autographs. Ben Stokes seems to be a particularly sought-after signature. Adam Lyth and Mark Wood are there too, while Jos Buttler chats away to two friends.
"Broad was magnificent and Anderson bowled as we hoped he would - and Joe Root - I am so glad he's English, normally you'd expected that with a Kallis or a Tendulkar."
Captain's view
Alastair Cook: "It's a start. It's a long series, it would be nice if it was a one-match series! We are going to have to play well for a long period of time but I am fully confident the guys are up to it."
"Australia had a big problem with Harris, now it is Starc's ankle. Lord's usually has a bit in it for the fast bowlers and the slope helps you. Starc has to be a doubt. Watson keeps getting out lbw and Haddin as well at 37, has he lost it? I question whether he's up to it. On top of that they want to have a big talk about their tactics and their batsmen getting out for 30."
Alastair Cook on Joe Root: "The world is his oyster with how good he is but you don't get there without hard work."
Man of the match
England's Joe Root: "I think it was my most important hundred in this match. It's great to get that win, hopefully we can now back it up at Lord's.
On his counter-attacking style: "When they attack, it's the best time to attack them. There are more gaps in the field. And I've always had people at the other end to build a partnership with, contributions from people like Gary Ballance and Ben Stokes were important and shouldn't be forgotten about."
"I don't think anyone really expected England to win. We wanted to get rid of the horror show of Australia, but we were hoping not expecting. We got a big surprise which shows when it's a two-horse race, you never know what is going to happen."
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Andrew Russe: A couple of months ago I was livid with the ECB and the politicking - still am - but I'm SO PROUD of these boys. Well done lads.
"Root didn't just go on, he went on to make a big hundred and that changes a game. It's so important that if you get a slice of luck you make it count."
Player's view
Man of the match Joe Root on Test Match Special: "We've got to keep taking all the confidence from the one-day series and this match.
"Australia are a very good side and they've proven that for a number of years. We've got to make sure we're right on the money when we go out there at Lord's."
"Everything Cook has touched has worked. He has been backed up very nicely by his bowling attack - they all have different styles.
"Broad has been outstanding - he has been the pick of the seamers. Then you've got the skiddy, quick Mark Wood, the swing of Jimmy Anderson, and Ben Stokes has a bit of licence.
"And the 12th and 13th man in the stands - the crowd has been excellent this week."
Captain's reaction
England captain Alastair Cook: "It was a brilliant performance. The crowd have been fantastic. We really appreciate the support we've got.
"The one-day and Test series against New Zealand was exciting and people appreciated the way we went about it. This Test couldn't have gone any better and we'll enjoy tonight. Joe Root was fantastic and the bowlers were superb.
"Everyone was talking about what's gone on in the past, but this is a different side. We had to look forward. We always took the attacking option in this game.
"We have four or five experienced players and the rest are inexperienced in terms of Ashes cricket. It helps when you're on top and it's been a really good four days."
Captain's reaction
Australia captain Michael Clarke: "We tried to play our natural game. Some guys played positive, others backed their defence a little more. Whatever we tried didn't work today."
"Australia must be the most surprised. They would have been thinking Johnson was going to blow them away again and now we also have Starc at 90mph, but we never saw that the pitch was going to pull their teeth and they weren't going to be as effective."
Player's view
AFPCopyright: AFP
England batsman and man of the match Joe Root, who made 134 and 60 and took 2-28 in the second innings, on Test Match Special "We were up against it in the first innings but Gaz Ballance scrapped his way through it.
"It's hard to single anyone out in particular because it was such a good team performance."
On the manner of England's win: "We weren't surprised by it at all. We know we're capable of beating Australia because we've got some talented players."
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Laura Kirk: Ok ok let's not get carried away..............5-0 IT'S GOING TO BE 5-0 I PREDICT A RIOT.
FranKO: Stand up if you're 1-0 up! More of the same next week please
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The presentation is about to begin. The England players not involved are sitting on the balcony, still in their whites, most with a beer. They look the cast of The History Boys.
Captain's view
Australia captain Michael Clarke on TMS: "We were outplayed in all three facets. England batted well on day one, we didn't take our catches and our batting let us down in both innings. We look forward to making amends in the second Test."
Will Mitchell Starc be fit for the second Test at Lord's, starting on Thursday? "I hope so. I haven't got a last update but I'm confident the fact he bowled in the second innings means he will be fit to bowl at Lord's."
Is Shane Watson's place under threat? "I'm sure the selectors will look at everyone's performance and make a decision about the second Test."
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
"As some complementary sponsors' booze is plonked on our desks in the press box, one Aussie journalist quips: 'Australians will need two of those.'"
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Jos Buttler already has a beer in his hand, Gary Ballance a bottle of water (or vodka). Trevor Bayliss and Darren Lehmann, good mates, are sharing a joke. "Can you believe I've turned up late and spanked your boys out of sight, Boof?"
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The presentation stage has been erected on the outfield, very few spectators have left. Alastair Cook and Joe Root are down the steps, so it's probably safe to assume that Root is man of the match.
Final scorecard
BBCCopyright: BBC
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We'll be rolling for a while, getting all the reaction from both sides after England's four-day victory. To repeat (in case you can't quite believe it), England have won in four days. Keep your texts, tweets and emails coming.
"There had been talk England had turned it round but England in their own back yard are a different team. Anderson and Broad with the Duke ball are as deadly a combination as there is in world cricket. England have won the big moments and seem to have a lot more confidence."
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Player's view
England's Mark Wood, speaking to Sky Sports: "It's fantastic to go 1-0 up. We put the pressure on Australia and they didn't expect that. We bowled to our strengths on this pitch. When the crowd started singing 'stand up if you're 1-0 up', I was laughing. I was doing my best to stay professional."
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I wonder what Trevor Bayliss is thinking? The Aussie has just won his first Test in charge. He's already in conversation with Alastair Cook and Paul Farbrace on the England balcony.
"Thinking what positives Australia can take and there are not too many. England have basically outplayed Australia in every department."
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Remember, England had not won any of their last six Test against Australia. However, Australia have now won only two of the last 16 they have played against England in the UK. They have the advantage of being the Ashes holders, but all the problems are theirs. How can they turn this around before Thursday at Lord's?
"It was fitting that Joe Root took the winning the catch, it was his innings that grabbed the game England's way. How different the game could have been if Haddin had caught that when Root was on nought."
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Jubilant celebrations from the England players and fans inside Cardiff. Group hugs, a run to grab the stumps, songs. Michael Clarke pats his players on the back, but has a face like thunder. Joe Root leads the England players up the stairs to a standing ovation. Handshakes, good natured.
"I don't think many pundits - any pundits thought they would win this game, let alone in four days."
England win by 169 runs
Hazlewood c Root b Moeen 14 (Aus 242 all out)
PACopyright: PA
That's it! England have won! Josh Hazlewood is the last man to go, skying Moeen Ali to Joe Root at deep mid-off. England win by 169 runs and lead the 2015 Ashes 1-0.
Aus 242-9
"Stand up if you're 1-0 up" is the chant in Cardiff, followed by some Aussie baiting. "Sit down if you're 1-0 down."
Aus 242-9 (Root 6-0-28-2)
Nathan Lyon is the last man in. Cardiff sings Joe Root's name. Fielders buzz around the Aussie number 11. Not long, now.
"It's a Yorkshire combination again - Root and Lyth. Mitchell Johnson had played so well, powerful, he played a really good hand. He's a fighter but England are just one wicket away from going one up in the series."
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Johnson c Lyth b Root 77 (Aus 242-9)
PACopyright: PA
England are nearly there! It's that man Joe Root again, ending a very good innings by Mitchell Johnson. We knew Johnson's attacking instincts would lead to a chance and, eventually, he dances and edges to Adam Lyth at slip. I'm glad we got the power back in time for that. Only one wicket between England and some Saturday celebrations in the Welsh capital.
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Jamie Smith: Come on England, please wrap this up tonight! Winning in four days makes a big statement!
Aus 242-9
Sorry for the lack of updates, we've just had a power cut. Insert some comedy line about the lights going out on the Aussies here. Not much happened while we were away...
"Brilliant by England, it was short by Root - wasn't a good ball by any stretch of the imagination. Cook reacted brilliantly and got a hand to it and Lyth got the rebound, you don't care how they come at this point."
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Starc c Lyth b Root 17 (Aus 223-7)
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Whadda catch! Adam Lyth is alive to snaffle Mitchell Starc and England are one wicket closer to a 1-0 lead. Joe Root has the golden arm, enticing Strac to force the ball straight towards Alastair Cook at gully. Cook can only parry, but Lyth, at slip, dives for the rebound, ala Geraint Jones in the 2005 Ashes. Cardiff roars its approval. England are two balls away.
"The Barmy Army have a new song for Watson to the tune of the Andy Williams classic "Can't Take My Eyes Off You" you know that bit where it builds to the chorus? It goes 'lb, lb, lbw'" they were singing it and sure enough Shane got out lbw!"
Aus 222-7 (Eng need 3 wickets)
I'm happy to stick my neck out and say that Johnson can't keep playing like this without giving a chance. England's task is to take it when it comes. A dance at Moeen, almost deceived into giving a catch to point. Another skip, a leading edge that evades the bowler. Whatever way you look at it, it's entertaining.
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Nigel Baker: I should have realised they'd picked Mitchell Johnson as a specialist batsman after I saw him bowl.
Jack: At what stage do we get worried?
Aus 221-7 (partnership 70)
A sweep for a couple and a single on the on side means Johnson takes 17 from the over. He's up to 70 from 79 balls. In the crowd, a man in waistcoat and bow tie holds a tray full of lager. Fancy dress, or waiter? I hope it's the latter.
"Personally at this stage I'd have reviewed that in a heartbeat."
Aus 204-7
PACopyright: PA
Johnson points his tattoos at Moeen Ali while the Barmy Army ask someone to give us a song. I can't quite hear who they want to sing. Maybe Robert Croft? Makes sense, we're on his patch. England ask the question against Mitchell Starc, but he's got outside the line. I think we may see some Joe Root from t'other end.
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Maria: Mitchell Johnson could score big, rain cancels out day 5 - Draw.
50 for Mitchell Johnson
Aus 203-7
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The English quite like a pop at Mitchell Johnson, but there's no doubt that he's a fierce competitor. Even when his team's batsmen have failed pretty miserably, Johnson is still battling, going to a shot-laden half-century with a back-foot punch through the covers. It's starting to look pretty flat out there. England might look to spin from both ends to eat a few overs before the second new ball.
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Sam Rao: And here comes the traditional 100 run stand for the eighth wicket...
Evan Samuel: At least the Mitches look like it matters to them.
Aus 197-7 (target 412)
England turn to spin, the offies of Moeen Ali to play on the patience of this pair of left-handers as well as posing the danger of turning away from the bat. Johnson sees no danger, mind. He dances to belt straight for four and is closing in on a half-century. Watching these two bat, you really wonder how Australia have got themselves into such a pickle.
"They're batting so well these two you think how on earth did seven of them get out for so little?"
Aus 192-7 (Johnson 44, Starc 15)
I'm told that the 'Not For Sale' sticker on the bottom of Starc's bat is an anti-slavery campaign. Good for him. Still Broad, long of leg, round the wicket to Johnson, who looks fairly hacked off with the situation he finds himself in. When Broad drops short, Johnson takes out his frustration on the ball, pulling for four. Next delivery, with three men on out the fence, Johnson tries to hit the ball out Wales and nearly loses his poles.
"England have so many runs to play with but as a bowler you still don't want to give runs away. I hated giving boundaries away..or even singles away."
Aus 186-7 (Eng need 3 wickets)
To be fair to this Aussie eighth-wicket pair, they look reasonably comfortable. Starc drives Broad handsomely through the covers for four. Did I say they were looking comfortable? Forget that. Wood finds the edge of Starc's bat, the ball flying between the slips, bouncing well short so there's no chance of a catch. Having said that, it is the only moment of discomfort since tea. Patience, young grasshopper.
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Kendall: Johnson and Starc to go all Ashton Agar and Tino Best on us here?
Aus 175-7 (target 412)
The trumpeter leads the songs of the England fans as Mark Wood slips in round the wicket to Starc. Left-hander Starc drills through the off side for four, but a few poxy boundaries aren't going to spoil the boundaries aren't going to spoil the England party. Indeed, we get a chorus of the national anthem. Please be upstanding.
"This game certainly isn't petering out to a draw. Pretty much from day one there has been something happening."
Aus 171-7 (Eng need 3 wkts)
Stuart Broad, excellent for 3-22 today, is round the wicket to Mitchell Starc, with Joe Root in that silly slip position again. Broad locates Starc's off stump and has a good look around, probing. A play-and-miss, a drive, a defensive prod. At the bottom of Starc's bat is a sticker that reads 'not for sale'. What's not for sale? His bat? I'll be honest, Mitch, I don't want it.
Aus 170-7
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Moeen Ali was off the field for the first over of the session. What could he possibly have been doing? He runs back out with a jumper in his hand. Was that the problem? Could he not find his sweater?
Aus 170-7 (Johnson 34, Starc 4)
Three slips and a short mid-off, though Johnson begins with an edge for four and lovely straight-driven boundary. England won't worry about runs, a touch of patience is the order of the day for the celebrations to begin. Wood switches to round the wicket and beats the outside edge, to much oohing and aahing in the Welsh capital.
Aus 162-7 (Eng need 3 wickets)
The England players come down the steps, probably for the last time in this match. Only the Australia tail remains - the Mitchells, followed by Josh Hazlewood and Nathan Lyon. In the Cardiff sunshine, Mark Wood has the ball to begin the evening session.
"If Australia can get runs on the board I can see Mitchell Johnson causing some damage in this series but English conditions generally require some old fashioned basics and I don't think Australia have delivered the basics for long enough. I think they could bring in Peter Siddle to bowl with Josh Hazlewood, full of length and that could be a good combination."
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Thanks, Marc. It's matter of when England win this match, rather than if. All done tonight? You'd think so. Three more wickets for a 1-0 lead in the 2015 Ashes.
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And with that, I pass over the baton to Stephan Shemilt. The finisher.
How's stat?!
In the last 17 Ashes series, the team who has won the urn has won the opening Test 15 times.
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Beware the weather
BBCCopyright: BBC
If - and it's a big, massive, monstrous if - Australia can survive until the end of the day, the weather might lend a helping hand tomorrow.
"What a session for England. The bowling has been excellent, the combinations have worked, they have bowled in partnerships with a better length and really good lines. Moeen Ali has picked up crucial wickets and the captaincy from Cook has been excellent. The atmosphere is going to be rocking after tea."
Tea scorecard
Tweet it, like it, share it. Just soak this tea-time buzz up. If you're English, of course.
BBCCopyright: BBC
Aus 162-7 (36 overs remaining)
So, Australia lost five wickets for just 65 runs in that afternoon session. Middle order like a chocolate fireguard today.
Tea
Mitchell Johnson drives powerfully through the off side - sending the close fielders scattering like seagulls. England are crowding Australia that much, it wouldn't surprise me if they sat on the same table as the Aussies at tea. There's no let-up.
Anyway, time for some cake. It's tea-time.
Aus 159-7 (England need 3 wickets to win)
Mitchell Starc flicks four off his hips then plays a firm defensive shot to a lifter from Mark Wood, who has gone round the wicket to the left-hander.
"Watson keeps making the same mistake. He's a senior player and Mitchell Marsh is waiting in the wings but I've always said when you start a series with a team I don't see why you'd change it after one game. If he is at Lord's you can bet England will keep targeting those pads, bowl it in the channel, try to get one to nip back and he'll play across it eventually. It must be so frustrating for the Australia coaches to see players keep getting out the same way."
Aus 155-7
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Is Mark Wood the find of the summer? Simon Cowell would be proud of unearthing this talent - somebody who can bowl 90mph and takes wickets while the opening bowlers graze in the outfield. The field is set for some short stuff. But what else should Mitchell Johnson expect? MJ takes a single. Mitchell Starc on strike.
"I hope its a normal Lord's pitch for the next match, with enough pace - the slope always helps - and that you can bat on it and make runs. This has been a good pitch but it has been slower and lower."
"I think Wood has been a revelation, he has given England something different they have not had for a while. Forget what he does, and he gets them down at 90mph, it's his energy, his love for the game. He's always smiling and you need that in your team."
Aus 152-7 (England need three wickets to win)
Moeen gives the ball some air and it almost sneaks beneath Mitchell Johnson's bat. It's a matter of when, not if, England will wrap this up.
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Neil Worrall: Watson's Law - If you are hit on the pad, you will look surprised; shake your head & review the decision. You will always be out.
Stuart Mitchell: Not sure there is much need to announce the type of dismissal for Watson, so obvious every time. Three to go, come on England.
"Leg before Watson. That's what they'll keep calling him. I don't think England will have dreamt the week would go as well as this."
Aus 151-6 (Wood 10-4-27-2)
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It's almost as if England were bowling within themselves before that wicket, saving their energies for the second Test which begins at Lord's on Thursday. Mark Wood's pace had dropped 10mph. Nothing wrong with that though - as that great philosopher John Barnes once said: "You've got to hold and give but do it at the right time. You can be slow or fast but you must get to the line..."
England are almost over the line now. Just three to go - Mitchell Starc the new man to the crease.
"He played right across it again. You just know you're always in the game to him if you bowl it straight."
WICKET
Watson lbw Wood 19 (Aus 151-7)
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Shane Watson troops off for the 29th time in his career, having been given out leg-before. Could that be an ironic denouement to his Test career?
Review
Aus 151-6
It's becoming a standing joke now. Shane Watson plays round his front pad, the ball crashes into it at pace and the umpire raises his finger. Watson reviews it, almost for a laugh.
Aus 151-6 (England need four wickets to win)
I've not seen new England coach Trevor Bayliss leave his seat for this Test match. He's just watching on from the boundary, always saying 'yes' when a tea round is being made. On the opposition balcony, Darren Lehmann looks like he's been slapped round the chops with a wet kipper. He's a bit stunned, I think.
"It would be a drastic change for Australia to say to Watson you've had your time and Mitchell Marsh is going to replace you after one game of the series."
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Hamid Gharda: Two men went to Mo, went to Moeen Ali, he spun them round & wowed the crowd, and sent them back to Aussie!
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Tom Little: Managed to find the only people showing the test in Zürich. Nothing will stop a father son Saturday cricket session.
Aus 150-6 (target 412)
England's field is slowly spreading. Not sure why - perhaps they want to try and tempt the Aussies into playing shots and scoring runs - hence inducing a mistake. It almost works when Shane Watson shows Swayze-like footwork to drive a single down the ground and then Mitchell Johnson hoicks another boundary which just about clears a catcher inside the circle.
"England have certainly opened some cracks in the Australian team but it will take another performance at Lord's to make them wider. The toss of the coin is going to be quite crucial, batting first, because the pitches are going to be dry."
Aus 145-6 (England need four wickets to win)
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Mitchell Johnson is another natural stroke-maker, with a Test century to his name, but he too is having to rein it in. He's playing the patience game, only playing a shot when he knows there is nobody there to catch him out - like he did to Moeen earlier. Miserly from Ben Stokes. Another maiden. Dot the dot.
"Nobody has got out to a raging spin ball, three have tried to hit him out of the attack and got themselves out."
Aus 145-6 (target 412)
Everybody, and I mean everybody, doubted if England could take 20 wickets in a match against Australia before this series so huge credit must go to new and returning bowling coach Ottis Gibson. Moeen is keeping a tight grip on England's dominance, aiming for the rough and leaking just one in another excellent over.
"Broad today, every spell has been fantastic - his accuracy, his movement when he has hit the deck. The number of times he beat Warner playing forward - wow, he beat him six times at least, that's a lot for a top player. Somebody should be saying to Ben Stokes listen, you've got talent but on this pitch you've got to pitch it up."
Aus 144-6 (Stokes 6-1-22-0)
A father and son nod off in the mid-afternoon sunshine - heads rolling as though they are too heavy for their weary bodies. Anybody got a pillow? Wake them up when England get another wicket, will you?
Ben Stokes is thrown the ball and the red-haired all-rounder is dispatched to the mid-wicket boundary by Shane Watson's dismissive pull shot. It's not a bad pitch this... England have just bowled very well.
"The English public needed this after what happened in Australia - this is party time. I don't think anyone expected this, I put Australia maybe 2/1."
Aus 136-6 (England need four wickets to win)
The Cardiff crowd is silent, almost in expectation, as Mitchell Johnson has a little mouse-like nibble on a Moeen Ali turner out of the rough. Realising there might be one with his name on it, Mitch decides to hit out and plants a maximum into the cow corner stands.
"That was a wicketless 20 minutes, let's see if Jim Maxwell can do better."
Aus 130-6 (Watson 10, Johnson 7)
ReutersCopyright: Reuters
Good tweet that, Marc Gridley (see below). England have got Shazy backed into a corner here that's for sure. James Anderson has close catchers all round the wicket. Another maiden though.
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Aus 130-6 (England need four wickets to win)
In the last Ashes series, just six of the England XI which started the first Test played in the fifth one. I reckon there might be a few Aussies nudged closer to the bingo hall during this series if such performances continue. Another Moeen maiden.
"That Clarke dismissal was poor. It was wide and he sat back. If you're sat back waiting for it then when it is pitched up and you go forward to it you are a little late."
Aus 130-6 (48 overs remaining)
Shane Watson looks like he's breathing heavily. A natural strokemaker - he has a career strike-rate of 53 in Test cricket - he is having to be very disciplined just to try and stretch this game into tomorrow. He almost topples over in batting back a booming James Anderson inducker.
"Buttler has given up eight byes in this match to Haddin's 24."
Slow starters
BBCCopyright: BBC
Aus 126-6 (Anderson 10-0-30-0)
We're witnessing a master at work. James Anderson beats Shane Watson's outside edge with a snorter. As Ricky Ponting points out on the telly box... you've got to be a good batsman to hit those.
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Brett Mills: Just throwing it out there, Shane Watson in his helmet = Ed Sheeran?
"There was a fair bit of talk about whether they were going to play Moeen or Rashid. I don't think there will be any more talk about that. I'm sort of lost for words about this match."
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Rory Payne: What a catch Cooky! I take my shades off to you.
Richard Parfitt: Two men went to Mo!
Aus 122-6 (England need 4 wickets to win)
Kangaroo steak for tea tonight? Australia have now lost five wickets for 25 runs. Looking like a Sunday off for both sides.
Mitchell Johnson is booed to the crease and plays out the rest of a wicket-maiden.
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James Levy: Sat on a bus in London getting very odd looks every time I pump my fist at an Aussie wicket.
Ian: Remember panicking Jamie Chisholm of Southwark email at 12.45 saying the Aussies would win? Where is he now? Never had a chance.
Michael Petchey: Almost starting to feel sorry for the Aussies. No I'm not. I'm definitely not.
"England can't do a thing wrong. That ball was hit at a rate of knots and Australia's woes continue. Moeen Ali would nearly have to put his hand up for man of the match. There have been two key moments in this game - when Joe Root was dropped on nought and then that wicket just before lunch today changed the whole mood."
WICKET
Haddin c Cook b Moeen 7 (Aus 122-6)
ReutersCopyright: Reuters
It's going ridiculously right for England now. They have earned their good luck, however, with some magnificently disciplined bowling and inventive field positioning.
One such canny placing does for Brad Haddin when he tries to hoick Moeen Ali out of south Wales but ends up getting a bottom edge to Alastair Cook at short mid-wicket. The skipper parries the ball into the air and takes a tumbling catch as the ball drops behind him. Catching flies now.
Aus 122-5 (England need five more wickets)
BBCCopyright: BBC
Our man at the ground, Sam Sheringham, has been meeting some superheroes on the Cardiff concourses. Incredible scenes. Geddit?
James Anderson, without a wicket in this innings yet, is delivering the ball from different points on the crease to try and get inside Shane Watson's muddled mind. The big man's front pad is sticking out like the proverbial sore thumb in the Cardiff gloom but when he does get it right, the ball whistles off the middle and down the ground for four.
"The most any team have made to win after losing their fifth wicket is 243, Australia need 306 today to do that."
Aus 118-5 (Wood 9-3-27-1)
Did you know that in the whole of Australia, only one in 10,000 families own a umbrella*? Inside the Swalec, one in two Australians* seem to be poking a brolly in the air as they try and catch the attention of the umpires at the moment some big ugly clouds come into view.
Sit down, joke the jubilant English as Brad Haddin pulls Mark Wood for a couple.
"Australia have to keep the scoreboard ticking over. They still have to have intent or it plays into England's hands."
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Lee Robson: England smashing Australia and Mike Ashley just spent £14.5m on a signing for Newcastle. No-one wake me from this dream.
Aus 116-5 (target 412)
This is what Saturdays are made for. When I was growing up, they generally consisted of Australia declaring on 600 at noon and then forcing England to follow on by 5. How times change. James Anderson has the ball in hand now and is making it sing. Nipping it this way. Swinging it that way. Two from the over.
"Swanny had a smile like a Cheshire cat when he left. It has been a rough old half an hour since lunch, including the ball before lunch. It was looking ok but it's getting tougher."
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Disco Stu: Enjoy your small moment Poms, much like your summer. You're either elated or suicidal. Four games to go.
Aus 114-5 (Watson 4, Haddin 4)
Custer's Last Stand now in Cardiff. Little (Brad Haddin) and big (Shane Watson) hold the key for the Aussies. Old Crazy Horse, Mark Wood, is bringing the ball in at pace and Haddin misjudges a pull shot which runs away past the keeper for four streaky runs.
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
"This is starting to feel unmistakably like a Stuart Broad day. So often he has been England's man for the big occasion especially at the Ashes. In 2009 at the Oval, he took 5-37 on the second afternoon to set up England's series-winning victory. Then, two years ago, he was England's match-winner in Durham, with a spell of 6-20 in 45 balls."
"I think they'd be daft to get rid of Watson, he's a fine player. They made a mistake by dropping him down the order, I thought he was a fine opening batsman. In the middle order he tends to come in when it is reverse swinging and seems to get lbw a lot."
"There are some suggestions in the Australian media that this could be Watson's last Test match."
Aus 109-5 (target 412)
I hope Shane Watson's not claustrophobic because he's very much penned in by this aggressive England field. The hosts are like a pack of hyenas stalking their prey. Stuart Broad is really testing Watson, who is apparently facing the chop if he doesn't score runs in this innings - he gets three of them through the off side to get off the mark.
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Michael Blighe: Piece of cake, this Ashes lark. Can we play the Aussies every week? Oh wait, we pretty much are!
Jarleth Eaton: Who thought this would be possible 18 months ago?! Absolutely beautiful!
Mike Bell: England. Keep foot on their heads. Allow them up for briefest of breaths. Do not remove feet until September. Then say goodbye.
Aus 106-5 (England need 5 wickets to win)
Mark Wood smiles as Brad Haddin almost loses his off stump to a 90mph slider. Aussies on the rack. Throw another wicket on the barbie, lads.
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Ed Longden: Just drew some odd looks in the opticians waiting room for punching the air & hissing "Yessss" at Clarke's dismissal in my ear.
Owen Lynam: Unbelievably loose shot by Clarke, not that I'm complaining.
"That's a very excited huddle that England team, everyone sprinting towards Mark Wood. Just took the nick, thick enough so he didn't have top wait for the umpire. Mark Wood has a smile as wide as Glamorgan, my how this game has been turned."
WICKET
Voges c Buttler b Wood 1 (Aus 106-5)
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What did Australia have at lunch? A big bowl of Collapso soup? Adam Voges adds to the carnival atmosphere inside Cardiff by tickling the ball behind off a jubilant Mark Wood. Here comes Braddin.
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Will D: Your field position graphic was great. I've just sent it to my wife so could study it. Her reply I don't think is printable.
Aus 106-4 (England need six wickets to win)
Interesting field for the new batsman Shane Watson, who is greeted by two short mid-ons. Stuart Broad is trying to home in on Watto's big front pad. He survives. For now.
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Ben Wear: One more wicket before we get into the tail.
"Stuart Broad being rewarded for his great bowling, tight line and length. It was wide, Clarke threw his hands through the ball and England are right on top."
WICKET
Clarke c Stokes b Broad 4 (Aus 106-4)
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That's the one. Stuart Broad has now taken the wicket of Michael Clarke more than any other batsman in world cricket (10) - the Aussie skipper slashing one outside off stump to Ben Stokes at point. Three wickets down for five runs.
"Voges was known at Notts as 'The Ghost' because he was so pale. When he took his shirt off it was like someone holding up a bedsheet."
Aus 102-3 (target 412)
AFPCopyright: AFP
Adam Voges is a man of some repute in first-class cricket - scoring more than 11,000 runs in a first-class career. He's played many seasons in county cricket too and it took him until the age of 35 to make his Test debut in the Caribbean last month. Another maiden, played out by Voges to Mark Wood.
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Jen de Polo: Booom!!! Get in Broady.
Rob Brown: Smith gone. Broad is looking like he is going to have one of those days. Bowling brilliantly!
The Pete: When Stuart Broad bowls full he's an absolute world beater, he'd have 400 wickets already in Tests.
Aus 102-3 (Broad 8-3-15-2)
There's a game of cricket taking place on a field close to the Swalec whereby the participants are using a stick as a bat and traffic cones as wickets. Let's be having pictures of your makeshift cricket equipment. I'm sure I'm not the only one to have used my mum's wheelie bin as stumps. Hated rubbish collection day.
Aussies continue to be tested, with Stuart Broad conceding a solitary leg-bye.
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The Pete: When Stuart Broad bowls full he's an absolute world beater, he'd have 400 wickets already in Tests.
Steve Porter: I wish Broad bowled like this all the time. Been excellent today.
Aus 101-3 (target 412)
I suspect Mark Wood, with his skiddy pace, might cause Michael Clarke one or two problems - the skipper notoriously struggles with the short ball because of a bad back and the man from Durham often gets surprising lift. Perhaps that is why Wood is brought into the attack, and the England new boy is already getting the ball to come into the right handers. Maiden.
"Stuart Broad has just put the ball in the right place. If you bowl the right length - doesn't matter what stage of the game - you're always dangerous."
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Totum: Just heard a fat Welsh lady clearing her throat ahead of singing....
Aus 101-3 (Clarke 0, Voges 0)
Adam Voges digs out a yorker first up. There's two new batsmen at the crease and England have their tails up. Looking good for Cook and Co.
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"Smith had to play at it - the dangerman has gone and England right on top now."
WICKET
Smith c Bell b Broad 33 (Aus 101-3)
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Big wicket. A monstrous strike.
The world's number one batsman is back in the hut courtesy of Stuart Broad who really is rising to the occassion. A horrible poke away from his body by Steve Smith and the ball flies to the safe hands of Ian Bell at second slip.
"England are fully aware of the weakness Smith has on the back foot playing away from his body."
Aus 101-2
Steve Smith is not going to sit back and let Stuart Broad dictate to him - driving the bowler's first ball after lunch for four. Third up, Broad nips one back in and the ball balloons to the slips. Was that bat or pad? England debate whether to review the not out decision. They wisely choose not to - it hit the pad on the way through.
Aus 97-2 (target 412)
All spinners are naturally judged on their ability to take wickets in the fourth innings of the game, and it's here where we have to doff our cap to Moeen - he takes his wickets an an average of 24 in the final dig of a match. In the first innings that average is 82. Three dots get us under way after lunch. Here comes Stuart Broad.
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I've just heard the Moeen song they sing to the tune of Dolly Parton's Jolene. Can't get it out of my head now.
Here come the players. Three left in Ali's over, which are left over from before lunch.
Minion antics
Does Gru know you're out, lads?
PACopyright: PA
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Thank you, Mr Shemilt. How are we all? Poised nicely this Test now. England need eight more wickets to win the Test with the two best Australian batsman in the team at the crease: Steve Smith and Michael Clarke.
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Enjoyed your lunch? That's good to hear. Marc Higginson is just polishing off his, then he'll be in the hot seat to talk you through the afternoon.
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Paul Smylie: (Re: 12:16), it could be worse, I'm sat working in the library overlooking the Fleet Street wedding.
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Moeen's impressive hit list
ReutersCopyright: Reuters
Moeen Ali certainly has the knack of taking big wickets. In his 12-match career to date he has taken 36 wickets, which includes Kumar Sangakkara twice, Shikhar Dhawan, Virat Kohli, MS Dhoni, Kane Williamson and, in this Test, Steve Smith, Michael Clarke and David Warner.
Vote results
This morning we asked you to predict the result of this match - and the results are now in...
66% said England will win, 20.5% think Australia will pull off the highest chase the Ashes has seen, 11.3% went for the draw and 2.3% reckon we will witness only the third tie in Test history.
The lunch guest on TMS is Alexander Campbell, a promising cricketer who chose to pursue a career in the Royal Ballet and whose dad played against Aggers in Australia.
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"Broad has bowled beautifully this morning. Slowly and surely he has started to get better, against West Indies and then New Zealand. He's now in lovely rhythm."
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James Bruce: Wicket of Warner was crucial before lunch. The Aussies were looking set.
Chris Love: How much did England need Warner's wicket - perfect timing. Those cucumber sandwiches will go down that bit nicer now.
"Big blow to the Australian team, they played so well this morning. There wasn't any turn, that one just went straight on and Davey Warner played all around it. That's a big wicket for England."
WICKET
Warner lbw Moeen 52 (Aus 97-2)
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The breakthrough! How dearly did England need this? Moeen Ali has come on for the final over before lunch and trapped David Warner lbw. Length, ball not turning, Warner going back to be hit in front of middle and leg. Thinks about a review, then walks off. Moeen, poor in his first spell, has done the business for England.
"While they are scoring at four an over there is less pressure. We always said when you bowled three maiden overs in a row, the chances of taking a wicket went up quite significantly."
Aus 97-1 (target 412)
Anderson to Smith, catchers on the off side. Over-pitched, the Australia vice-captain driving for four. Cardiff noticeably quieter than earlier this morning, briefly waking to "ooohhh" as Anderson goes past the outside edge. Maybe only one more over before the break and a chance for England to re-group.
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
"Confidence is growing among the Aussie journalists. They are already talking about the "I was there" T-shirts and tattoos they will order to mark Australia's greatest run chase. I think they are joking. For now..."
Aus 93-1 (Warner 52, Smith 25)
Still Root, blond hair, face that's never needed to see a shaver. Accurate, but no great threat. Three singles milked. Seven minutes or so before lunch, probably two overs. How much would England love to strike before then?
"Warner knows this is one of those moments in the game, 15 minutes before lunch, England have brought back Anderson. If he can get through this it is another box ticked."
Aus 90-1 (target 412)
England recall James Anderson to the attack for a burst before lunch. Looking for the wicket of Warner, England have two slips, a gully and two catchers on the off side. Anderson has cut down on pace, focussing on off-stump accuracy to test Warner's patience. Straight away, Warner is swiping a drive, missing the lot. Good from Anderson, a maiden.
Indeed it will be Joe Root, bowling his off-breaks to David Warner. The Barmy Army still play the theme from Rocky. Might be time to give that one up, lads. It was two years ago. Root round the wicket to both right-hander Smith and left-hander Warner, a flat, low arm. Decent stuff, but, would England have expected to bowl Root this morning? Suggests things have not gone to plan.
"Warner has really matured into a very good Test batsman. When it's there to put away he will but he's a lot more watchful and this had been a very good controlled innings."
50 for David Warner
Aus 87-1
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Well batted, David Warner. The Aussie opener was giving a right going over by England this morning, yet he has come through to register a 15th half-century in Test cricket. Warner, by the way, averages 52 in the second innings of Test matches, compared to 43 in the first.
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Jamie Chisholm in sunny Southwark: OK, I'm going to say it. Reckon the Aussies will do this. People forget the reason fourth innings run chases are low is because teams often run out of time. The Aussies have two days. The pitch is not the problem everyone thought. And they WILL NOT bat as badly as they did in their first innings.
Aus 84-1 (partnership 65)
AFPCopyright: AFP
Wood off his short run, Warner pulling and then dabbing two sets of two on the leg side. England still have three slips, but you just sense a slight retreat. Cardiff hums, the wind whips up to ruffle Wood's shirt, with Warner finishing the over with a single. Five off, risk-free. Joe Root is loosening up.
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Aus 79-1 (target 412)
I'd say that's our first glimpse of why Steve Smith is rated as the world's best batsman. Full from Stokes, Smith driving through the off side and getting four before the fielders have blinked. From being worked over earlier on, Australia have counter-punched in this second-wicket stand that is bumping along at pretty much a run a ball. Cardiff, now under blue sky and fluffy white clouds, is quiet.
"Lots of time for Australia but we've seen enough in the pitch to show it will be difficult for them. A lot will depend on Moeen who was pretty disappointing with his first spell."
"For the first time in the match the little things have gone Australia's way. In the first three days those little percentage margins have all gone England's way."
Aus 75-1 (Warner 42, Smith 18)
It's certainly time for England. Remember, only twice has a target more than 412 been reached in the history of Test cricket. The reason? It is a lot of runs. Still, they would like this stand broken very soon, not least because runs are flowing and the luck seems to be going Australia's way. Warner doesn't withdraw his bat quickly enough from Wood, but still gets. Later in the same over, his inside-edges on to his pad, but the ball evades the bowler.
On the money
Aus 71-1 (target 412)
Ben Stokes is thundering to the crease, angling the ball into the right-handed Steve Smith who makes you think you'll get him lbw - but the likelihood is that you won't. Maiden.
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
"One floor below the written press box are the men whose job it is to provide the rolling pictures of the action for the goggle box."
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Aus 71-1
PACopyright: PA
England screaming and shouting for everything here. Leg before, caught behind, obstructing the field. OK, maybe not the last one. Wood the bowler, Warner hit on the back thigh, ball going through to Jos Buttler. Appeal, nothing from Marais Erasmus. Touch of desperation?
Aus 65-1 (target 412)
England have reacted to the Steve Smith Shuffle by posting a leg slip, hoping that Australia's number three will tickle a catch around the corner. Smith, not cowed, pounces on a Stokes short ball with a pull for four. England's standards have slipped since Anderson and Broad came out of the attack and Australia have added 46 runs in 38 balls.
"England need a wicket. They were very much on top but it is shifting Australia's way at the moment."
Aus 61-1 (Warner 32, Smith 18)
A predictable bowling change, with Mark Wood coming on for the expensive Moeen Ali. David Warner, who has had a torrid morning, is starting to tick, playing a brutal slap down the ground for four. If Warner bats until tea, England will start to get twitchy. Still cloudy in Cardiff. Can we have the sunshine back, please?
How's stat?!
BBCCopyright: BBC
Aus 56-1 (target 412)
Ben Stokes after drinks, bowling to the idiosyncratic Steven Smith. Smith, number one in the world batting rankings, takes guard in conventional fashion, then it all gets a bit Shivnarine Chanderpaul. Tap, tap, bend at the knees, walk across so that middle and leg stumps appear behind his pads. He thrives on anything too straight, so England are looking to bowl outside his off stump. Twice Stokes errs and Smith is able to work through the on side.
"Moeen did this in Barbados when the ball turned and England should have won. He bowled the worse lot of tripe I've seen by an England spinner, he bowled half trackers like that. On a slow turning pitch you've got to bowl full."
"Australia are playing nicely but the England pair of Anderson and Broad were excellent. I'd say this is the first mistake Cook has made this week by putting Moeen Ali on. There was still movement in the air and this has just given Australia a lift."
Scorecard update
Australia 53-1 (13 overs) - target 412
Batsmen: Warner 27* (43), Smith 11* (7)
Fall of wickets: 19-1 (Rogers 10)
Bowling figures: Anderson 5-1-16-0, Broad 6-3-10-1, Moeen 2-0-22-0
"If Australia are going to make a fist of this they have to adapt their game. They should have talked about their dismissals, Clarke and Smith got themselves out going after the spinner. It's not a minefield this pitch, odd balls keep low and it turns out of the foot holes but once the new ball wears off it is going to get easier. It is about the discipline, their natural style is to be positive. They just need to be careful about shot selection. That's not being negative, they can still score."
Aus 53-1
England obviously have the first innings in mind, when Moeen Ali got Steve Smith in an awful tangle. At the moment, Moeen isn't much of a threat. A horrible half-tracker is pulled for six by Warner. I'll be honest, that was a complete pie. Warner follows that up with a cut for four. Maybe that's the end of Moeen for a while. Drinks.
Sign here please, Joe
Careful Joe... that's a contract to move to Lancashire.
I tell you what, I wouldn't make much of an umpire. My finger is up as soon as this ball from Broad clatters into the front pad of David Warner. Round the wicket, keeps low, looks stone dead. Nothing from Kumar Dharmasena. Broad perplexed, looking at Cook. "I think he's hit it," says the skipper. He's right, too. HotSpot confirms the inside edge. Warner continues to fly by the seat of his moustache.
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Cricket Australia's Adam Burnett: David Warner has scored as many Test hundreds (6) in his team's second innings as Ricky Ponting.
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Aus 28-1 (target 412)
Interesting move. Smith and Warner at the crease, so England turn to Moeen Ali. Alastair Cook is tugging at the beard (moustache) of these two very aggressive players, seeing if they want to get after Moeen. Warner does, belting a drive for four.
"That ends the Rogers run of consecutive fifties. The world record stays at seven."
Aus 23-1 (Broad 5-3-6-1)
Round the wicket, angled in, Rogers getting himself in a bit of a tangle as it bounced a touch more. Steve Smith, the world's best batsmen, is the new man. He's edging for four.
"That was out, from experience when you see the fingers go under the ball. Don't get sucked in by TV replays thinking it has bounced."
WICKET
Rogers c Bell b Broad 10 (Aus 19-1)
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In scenes of high comedy, Chris Rogers is finally given out. First, the wicket. Ball rising outside the off stump, fenced to second slip where Ian Bell takes the catch low to the ground. Then, the farce. Third umpire Chris Gaffaney tells Kumar Dharmasena to put his finger up, only Kumar can't hear him. The whole world can hear Gaffaney, but Dharmasena can't. "Kumar, can you hear me? You can give him out." Finally, the finger goes up.
Third umpire
Aus 19-0
England think they have their man, but Chris Rogers is standing his ground. Broad the bowler, Ian Bell the catcher at second slip. Has it bounced? Boos from the crowd.
Aus 19-0
BBCCopyright: BBC
Aus 19-0 (target 412)
This is unusual for James Anderson. Umpire Marais Erasmus has warned him for running on the pitch. To explain in as simple terms as possible, the bowler must ensure that his follow-through does not encroach on the pitch too much. That's to prevent the wicket deteriorating in key areas. Anderson has one warning and can get one more. Anything after that and he cannot bowl for the rest of the innings. Anderson looks grumpy and is twice driven straight by Warner. Australia riding the storm?
"England have started so well because they haven't tried to be too clever. When they start experimenting bowling three different balls an over that's when batsmen can get away. Well done to Australia too, not losing a wicket."
Aus 13-0 (Rogers 10, Warner 2)
Not quite as threatening from Broad, who comes round the wicket to Rogers with a backward short leg in place. Rogers waits, thrusting that disgusting old armguard in our direction. Did I say Broad wasn't as threatening? he last ball goes past the outside edge?
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
"The Cardiff crowd is still and as quiet as it has been for all four days. The gaze of each and every spectator is fixed on this fascinating battle. Who will blink first?"
Aus 11-0 (target 412)
I'm loving hearing where you're following the cricket. Maybe you could finish this sentence: "My Ashes Saturday is...". How good would it be to get that trending? Anyway, Anderson to Rogers, with two very straight catchers, both almost standing on the track. Swing this way and that, Rogers getting away from danger with a leg bye. Mercifully for David Warner, he finds the middle of the bat with a defensive stroke. Enjoy it, Dave.
"There probably should have been some discussion from behind the wicket as to whether they were 100% sure that was out."
Aus 10-0
You know what, it's so useful to be able to hear the words of the third umpire. Chris Gaffaney explains that the ball has clipped the pad, proven with a spike of sound as the ball passed Warner's back leg. England can't believe it, but the decision looks correct. To be fair, it seems unlikely that Warner would have hit it - he's not come close all morning.
Umpire review
Aus 10-0
Has it clipped the pad? Was definitely a noise. This is a tricky one.
Umpire review
Aus 10-0
PACopyright: PA
You don't often see Alastair Cook so decisive about a review. England think David Warner is caught behind. Broad the bowler. Look again...
Every ball is an event, full of danger for the men in green helmets. This time it's Anderson to Rogers, round the wicket, in-swinger, thudding in to the pads. Big appeal, but nothing from the sturdy figure of Marais Erasmus. Missing leg. So far this morning, we've seen a dropped catch, a huge leg before appeal and David Warner batting with a snooker cue.
"Warner is having a rather torrid time at the moment."
Aus 6-0 (Rogers 5, Warner 1)
I tell you what, Stuart Broad is giving David Warner some working over outside off stump. Seam movement away from the left-hander, Warner's drive again getting nowhere near the ball. Stick a bell in it, Stuart. And again! Warner groping around, Broad bowling very, very well.
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NickP: How lucky is Rogers! He's had more edges than a dodecahedron.
Aus 6-0 (target 412)
ReutersCopyright: Reuters
Joe Root looks gutted, his baby face crestfallen, vexed. Cloud has come over Cardiff. It reflects Root's mood. Broad again, a man is at short cover for Warner.
"He should have caught it, it was tricky because he was very close but he got two hands to it. It was easier than the one he took yesterday to finish the innings and get Starc out."
Rogers dropped on 4
Aus 4-0
Down! England shell their first chance of the day. Anderson round the wicket to Rogers, who is squared up by one that moves away, fencing towards Joe Root at third slip. Root dives to his left, two-handed, but cannot hold on. Root took one almost identical to this in the first innings to dismiss Mitchell Starc. This one goes begging. England need 10 wickets, now they will have to come from a minimum of 11 chances.
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Aaron Lee: Come on Aussie! Let's show the English what we are made of!
Aus 4-0
Very good start from Broad, following the England plan to Warner, testing his patience outside off stump. A maiden. All settled in? Good. How are you doing on this Saturday morning? Weekdays are simple - follow the cricket from work or school. But what about on a Saturday? Where will you be? Dragged to the shops? The garden centre? Weekend away? Let me know, even send a picture.
"I have to say on behalf of this Cardiff wicket it has been brilliant. Over a thousand runs and 30 wickets in three days."
Aus 4-0 (target 412)
Stuart Broad to share the new ball, bowling to the ridiculous moustache of David Warner. A loose drive, then a rozzer, Broad nipping the ball off the seam. What's the thinking with these Aussie moustaches? Just because they had them 18 months ago, they should have them again? Do they make you look menacing? No.
Predict the result - vote now
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What will be the outcome of this Test? Will England win? Will Australia pull off the biggest chase in Ashes history? Will the rain save them? Or how about the tie?
Vote now - via the tab at the top of the page if you're on mobile, or on the right-hand side if you're on the computer.
Swing from Anderson, across left-hander Rogers towards three slips. Uneven bounce too, the ball kicking to almost hit Rogers on the bullseye, if you know what I mean. Lovely sunshine in Cardiff, a day for floppy hats and suncream. Is Jimmy setting Rogers up for the in-ducker? Lots of away-swingers so far. A clip through square leg gets Rogers away with a boundary.
"If England win here as I expect them to they just have to analyse what they have done well, go to Lord's and replicate it. If they suddenly think Australia are no good they will soon be 2-1 down."
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Thanks, Marc. Jerusalem plays in Cardiff - will it be for the last time? The equation is simple - England need 10 wickets, Australia 412 runs. I'm saying with a reasonable amount of confidence that it won't be a draw.
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The bell rings to signal the start of play. Over to Stephan Shemilt to kick us off.
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
BBCCopyright: BBC
"Just been watching the England squad playing a pretty competitive game of seven-a-side football on the outfield beneath the press box. I can report that Ben Stokes has a sweet left-foot, Moeen Ali is a cultured playmaker, while Stuart Broad and Alastair Cook are bigger divers than Ronaldo."
"If Australia can still be there tomorrow - we can assume they will get around 320 runs today - and if they are coming out tomorrow morning with a few left in the tank England will be very twitchy, but I think England will create enough chances."
Cricketing Food XI
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Michael Kinkead: Ian Babybell
James Myers: Vikram Salami
Nikki Holmes: Nathan Lyons Maid ice cream
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Nice, honest stuff from Stuart Broad that - England are clearly playing a different... 'brand'... of cricket now.
'We went for it'
England bowler Stuart Broad on Sky Sports: "Yesterday we went for it with the bat, we wanted to get 400 as quickly as we could to give ourselves time. Trevor [Bayliss] said in the third innings we're here to get runs and let's get back bowling. We were a bit gung ho at times but if we're going to play positively we have to accept that sometimes. We're in a great position and we've got time to settle into our lengths."
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Australia batsman Adam Voges on Sky Sports: "We've got an opportunity today to hopefully bat well. Obviously it's going to be a big ask but there is certainly a lot of optimism in our changing room and the wicket is still very good for batting. It's a little bit more uneven and we have to make sure we are hitting under our eyes. Hope we can get some good partnerships and make the England bowlers keep coming back for more spells."
Cricketing Food XI
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Srihari: As a Durham supporter, I put forward Phil Mustard and Graham Onions.
"England will have to bowl exceedingly badly to concede 400 runs on this pitch. The way they bowled yesterday morning makes me think they are going to be too good for Australia, but I never write them off."
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Earlier, I mentioned that £412 would pay Raheem Sterling's wages for two and a half hours. It's been pointed out on Twitter that my maths might be incorrect. It's hard to dispute - never been my strong point. Just ask Mrs Lever at Tottington High School.
So, I'm throwing it out there. Assuming Raheem is on £30,000 a week - what's the answer? If you don't care, that's fine too!
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Grayson Stuckey: If two of the Aussie top five get a hundred today, things may be trickier for England. That's what I'm hoping for!
"The Aussies are up against it but they have quality players and I'm not writing them off. I think the first plan is to bat like a normal game, if they can get through to the end of the day they'll be pretty happy and we can go from there."
As you might have guessed by Michael Vaughan's presence in the live text, Test Match Special is now on the air. You can listen on radio or online through a variety of smart devices. Enjoy.
"Australia have got plenty of time and if they bat anything like they'll potentially give England a bit of a scare but there are a few smaller cracks which have got a bit larger so if England bowl like they did in the first innings I think it will be very difficult for Australia and England will win today."
Aussies confident?
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
There seemed to be more Aussies than ever on the walk to the ground this morning and, to a man, they were talking up their chances. "We could do this today", "Davey Warner should smash it from the start", and "Even Mitchell Johnson could crack a fifty against this lot" were among the one-eyed battle cries overheard on the banks of the Taff. All bluff and bluster? We will soon find out.
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Totum: Spare a thought for Shane Watson's pads this morning. They know at some point later they're going to be hit by a fast hard ball.
Lyon confident in Aussies
When asked about his team's chances today, Australia bowler Nathan Lyon was upbeat.
"If we bat two days we will win this game," he said. "There are plenty of positive players in our changing room and there is no reason why we can't get over 400 on that wicket.
"We've got to learn from our first innings with the bat and be more patient."
Scorecard
Let's remind ourselves of the scores on the doors.
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Some cake that, isn't it? Shall we get a cricketing food XI going? Or feel free to send other pictures of cricket-related food you have made in the past. You can tweet us, using #bbccricket, send a text to 81111 or post to the BBC Sport Facebook and Google+ pages. On email... then ping a message to tms@bbc.co.uk.
TMS cakes
I hope Simon saves us a slice...
Post update
Right... standby for the best cake I've seen in a very long time.
Player view
What do the players think will happen over these next couple of days? England batsman Ian Bell is wary of getting too carried away.
"In Ashes cricket, anything's possible," said Bell. "I'm sure they'll back themselves to come and get close, if not knock it off, so we know we've got a lot of hard work to do.
"It's a slow wicket, but there is a little bit of uneven bounce. The trick is to put enough balls in the right area to get that to happen for you."
Listen to TMS abroad
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Following the Ashes abroad? On your jollies? Lucky you.
Did you know you can listen to TMS commentary in Europe and North America? Click here.
Unfortunately, because of rights issues, this is not available in the UK, Sri Lanka, India, Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan and Bangladesh.
TMS are on air from 10:25 BST.
Get Involved
#bbccricket
Pint-sized Ashes
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As ever, the Pint-Sized Ashes has delivered the goods. It's a funny, informative round-up of the day's play which you can watch here.
Rain, rain, stay away
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Perhaps one other factor which could prevent an England victory would be the rain, because the forecast for tomorrow is a little dodgy.
BBC Weather's Chris Fawkes explains: "There will be rain in Cardiff during Sunday morning but the timing of the clearance of the rain is a little uncertain. Most of our computer models clear the rain before play is due to start so this is the most likely outcome, the worst case scenario is that rain could linger till around midday. Sunday afternoon looks mostly dry though with skies brightening up, but there is a small chance of a fleeting afternoon shower."
Why Australia *might* win
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I don't think you should be a lone voice, Danny (see tweet below). England have got to be heavy favourites, but in Michael Clarke and Steve Smith Australia have two men who can make it tough. I seem to remember Clarke cracking an imperious 136 as Australia scored 406 in their four innings at Lord's in 2009.
And just this week, Pakistan completed their highest ever run chase in Test cricket and the sixth-highest of all time to secure a 2-1 series win over Sri Lanka. The tourists finished on 382-3 in Pallekele to claim a seven-wicket win in the final and decisive Test.
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Stuie Neale: England in great position, definitely backing them to do it before tomorrow by close. England by 150 runs.
Adam Davies: Hoping England can wrap it up in the first hour for all the club cricketers out there! Either that or wait till Sunday!
Danny Reeves: Morning all. Am I the only one who feels Australia aren't quite dead and buried yet?
England have been flawless - Agnew
Another man backing England to win is BBC cricket correspondent Jonathan Agnew, who told this website: "This is a very different England team to the one that was whitewashed down under 18 months ago and if Australia didn't know that before this Ashes series, they do now.
"Alastair Cook's team are in a great position from which to take a 1-0 lead in the five-match series and after Friday's flawless performance that is exactly what they deserve."
Highest chases in Test history
If Australia do win this game they will go third on this illustrious list...
So can Australia pull this Ashes Test out of the fire? Geoffrey Boycott won't be betting his fedora on it.
"There is no way they are going to get it - they do not have a cat in hell's chance," Boycott told Test Match Special. "Their batting is OK but not special."
Today's weather forecast
BBC Weather's Chris Fawkes: "After a glorious sunny start to the day in Cardiff, cloud will build later this morning. It will stay dry today with sunny spells for most of the match, but will tend to cloud over late in the afternoon. Rain will arrive late evening, but this should be well after stumps. Maximum temperature 21C."
Watson in the spotlight
ReutersCopyright: Reuters
The Australian press, who mercilessly took apart England two winters ago, are now training their guns on their own players - with burly all-rounder Shane Watson in the firing line for his lbw-prone batting and uninspiring bowling.
The headline on one particular article says it all: 'Time to go, Watto'.
Former Aussie wicketkeeper Ian Healy, speaking on television commentary down under, said: "He's not lively enough for me. To be a senior player who is supposed to be leading the brand.
"He's very heavy. He's very thoughtful rather than inspirational at the moment. To get eight overs only (in the first innings), he needed to shoulder more of the workload."
Clarke on the retreat?
ReutersCopyright: Reuters
Jonathan Liew, writing in the Telegraph, suggests the Aussies are very much on the back foot: particularly skipper Michael Clarke who is showing signs of worry.
Liew writes: "Clarke spends most of his time in the field standing at second slip under a wide-brimmed sunhat, constantly scanning. He has two minor tics.
"The first is a little scrape of his studs on the turf every few balls, almost as if marking out his territory. The second is lifting his sunhat a fraction, adjusting the expensively-coiffured hair beneath, and then replacing it. When things are going well, you would barely notice.
"When things are going badly, the same movements become a little more pronounced. He begins scraping a little harder, adjusting his hair a little more, scanning the field ever more furiously. By the end of Friday's play, he was scuffing the turf so hard dust was flying up to his ankles and running his fingers through his hair so spectacularly he was in danger of tearing it out."
Back pages
Let's dive into today's newspapers for a moment, where The Sun suggest the Aussies will be 'skittled' by England in their second innings.
The SunCopyright: The Sun
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Good to have you with us this morning. How you feeling? Nervous? Excited? Or just tired because you had a better than average Friday night?
Let's have plenty of chat from you guys this morning. Usual drill: tweet us, using #bbccricket, send a text to 81111 or post to the BBC Sport Facebook and Google+ pages.
Can the Aussies do it?
Morning one and all. It's all set up nicely, isn't it? A target of 412 in 180 overs.
If Australia were to achieve it, it would be the biggest run chase in Ashes history and the third best in Test history.
They'd have to go some... but we all know these things never pan out as expected. There's bound to be some drama. Remember Edgbaston 2005? Of course you do.
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Four, one, two
PACopyright: PA
Four hundred and 12.
In monetary terms, it would be about two and a half hours' work for Raheem Sterling on his current wages.
In cinematic terms, you could watch the bulk of War and Peace (the 1966-67 version). But not the last 19 minutes.
In golfing terms, the sixth hole at next week's Open Championship will be 412 yards.
But none of that concerns us today. In cricketing currency, Australia need 412 runs to win the opening Ashes Test of 2015.
England's task is clear... they need 10 wickets. Only when this little sporting war is over will Ashes peace break out. Until next Thursday, that is.
Live Reporting
Stephan Shemilt and Marc Higginson
All times stated are UK
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AFPCopyright: AFP - 418-7: West Indies v Australia, Antigua, 2003 (below)
- 414-4: South Africa v Australia, Perth, 2008
- 406-4: India v West Indies, Trinidad, 1976
- 404-3: Australia v England, Headingley, 1948
- 387-4: India v England, Chennai, 2008
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PACopyright: PA - In monetary terms, it would be about two and a half hours' work for Raheem Sterling on his current wages.
- In cinematic terms, you could watch the bulk of War and Peace (the 1966-67 version). But not the last 19 minutes.
- In golfing terms, the sixth hole at next week's Open Championship will be 412 yards.
ReutersCopyright: Reuters
Latest PostPost update
So, all the problems seem to be Australia's at the end of the first Test. Who would have thought that when we gathered on Wednesday morning?
It is England who will take a 1-0 lead to Lord's on Thursday. See you at the home of cricket.
Post update
BBC Radio 5 live
Want to relive the moment England won this first Test? Listen again to Jonathan Agnew describing the final wicket thanks to our friends on the 5 live website.
Post update
Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
On Twitter: Trevor Bayliss is the most Popular Australian in the UK.....
How's stat?!
Andrew Samson
BBC Test Match Special statistician
"Root also had the highest score in the match again. The eighth time in his 28 Test match career. Bradman is the only one who has a higher percentage."
Post update
Alastair Cook. England's leading Test runscorer. Captain. Photographer.
Cook poses for a selfie, waits as a chap can't get his phone sorted, then decides to do the business himself.
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Matthew Burnett: Cardiff hosted a fantastic Test Match in the Ashes once again. Proud to be a Welshman. Stand tall and proud Cardiff, great game.
Post update
Stuart Broad on England's tactics with the ball: "We decided that width was going to be easy. We'd prefer to be driven than cut, and I can't really remember us being cut.
"Cooky had a really good game as captain - he put fielders in places in front of the bat that could apply some pressure."
6-Duck-6
BBC Radio 5 live
There will be plenty of chance to talk about this England victory on BBC Radio 5 live tonight as Michael Vaughan hosts 6-Duck-6. (The football version is 6-0-6. Geddit?)
Michael will be on air from 19:00. You can call 0900 909 693 or text 85058.
Post update
Stuart Broad, who took 3-39 in the second innings: "We're really happy. It's always hard work, especially on a wicket where you had to run in on and hit the pitch hard to get anything out of it.
"But a four-day win by 169 runs - it was a really good performance. There are a lot of proud players up there."
Post update
Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"The Australian public can turn on their players - they are like the crowd in Rocky IV."
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Ross Chambers: So great for England, stepped it up and silenced a lot of critics who shouted whitewash, great job.
Post update
Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"Michael Clarke is right up there with the best captains but Alastair Cook has just out-captained him this week, he has tactically manoeuvred his field better, who thought we'd be saying that? I just don't think there will be any draws in this series unless the weather comes in. Batting first is a big advantage, if Australia win the toss at Lord's these things can turn around quickly. Whatever happens it is going to be a very, very entertaining series."
Post update
The England players are out of the dressing room and on the edge of the field, meeting fans and signing autographs. Ben Stokes seems to be a particularly sought-after signature. Adam Lyth and Mark Wood are there too, while Jos Buttler chats away to two friends.
Post update
Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"Broad was magnificent and Anderson bowled as we hoped he would - and Joe Root - I am so glad he's English, normally you'd expected that with a Kallis or a Tendulkar."
Captain's view
Alastair Cook: "It's a start. It's a long series, it would be nice if it was a one-match series! We are going to have to play well for a long period of time but I am fully confident the guys are up to it."
Post update
Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"Australia had a big problem with Harris, now it is Starc's ankle. Lord's usually has a bit in it for the fast bowlers and the slope helps you. Starc has to be a doubt. Watson keeps getting out lbw and Haddin as well at 37, has he lost it? I question whether he's up to it. On top of that they want to have a big talk about their tactics and their batsmen getting out for 30."
Post update
BBC Radio Test Match Special
Alastair Cook on Joe Root: "The world is his oyster with how good he is but you don't get there without hard work."
Man of the match
England's Joe Root: "I think it was my most important hundred in this match. It's great to get that win, hopefully we can now back it up at Lord's.
On his counter-attacking style: "When they attack, it's the best time to attack them. There are more gaps in the field. And I've always had people at the other end to build a partnership with, contributions from people like Gary Ballance and Ben Stokes were important and shouldn't be forgotten about."
Post update
Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"I don't think anyone really expected England to win. We wanted to get rid of the horror show of Australia, but we were hoping not expecting. We got a big surprise which shows when it's a two-horse race, you never know what is going to happen."
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Andrew Russe: A couple of months ago I was livid with the ECB and the politicking - still am - but I'm SO PROUD of these boys. Well done lads.
Post update
Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"Root didn't just go on, he went on to make a big hundred and that changes a game. It's so important that if you get a slice of luck you make it count."
Player's view
Man of the match Joe Root on Test Match Special: "We've got to keep taking all the confidence from the one-day series and this match.
"Australia are a very good side and they've proven that for a number of years. We've got to make sure we're right on the money when we go out there at Lord's."
Post update
Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"Everything Cook has touched has worked. He has been backed up very nicely by his bowling attack - they all have different styles.
"Broad has been outstanding - he has been the pick of the seamers. Then you've got the skiddy, quick Mark Wood, the swing of Jimmy Anderson, and Ben Stokes has a bit of licence.
"And the 12th and 13th man in the stands - the crowd has been excellent this week."
Captain's reaction
England captain Alastair Cook: "It was a brilliant performance. The crowd have been fantastic. We really appreciate the support we've got.
"The one-day and Test series against New Zealand was exciting and people appreciated the way we went about it. This Test couldn't have gone any better and we'll enjoy tonight. Joe Root was fantastic and the bowlers were superb.
"Everyone was talking about what's gone on in the past, but this is a different side. We had to look forward. We always took the attacking option in this game.
"We have four or five experienced players and the rest are inexperienced in terms of Ashes cricket. It helps when you're on top and it's been a really good four days."
Captain's reaction
Australia captain Michael Clarke: "We tried to play our natural game. Some guys played positive, others backed their defence a little more. Whatever we tried didn't work today."
Post update
Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"Australia must be the most surprised. They would have been thinking Johnson was going to blow them away again and now we also have Starc at 90mph, but we never saw that the pitch was going to pull their teeth and they weren't going to be as effective."
Player's view
England batsman and man of the match Joe Root, who made 134 and 60 and took 2-28 in the second innings, on Test Match Special "We were up against it in the first innings but Gaz Ballance scrapped his way through it.
"It's hard to single anyone out in particular because it was such a good team performance."
On the manner of England's win: "We weren't surprised by it at all. We know we're capable of beating Australia because we've got some talented players."
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Laura Kirk: Ok ok let's not get carried away..............5-0 IT'S GOING TO BE 5-0 I PREDICT A RIOT.
FranKO: Stand up if you're 1-0 up! More of the same next week please
Post update
The presentation is about to begin. The England players not involved are sitting on the balcony, still in their whites, most with a beer. They look the cast of The History Boys.
Captain's view
Australia captain Michael Clarke on TMS: "We were outplayed in all three facets. England batted well on day one, we didn't take our catches and our batting let us down in both innings. We look forward to making amends in the second Test."
Will Mitchell Starc be fit for the second Test at Lord's, starting on Thursday? "I hope so. I haven't got a last update but I'm confident the fact he bowled in the second innings means he will be fit to bowl at Lord's."
Is Shane Watson's place under threat? "I'm sure the selectors will look at everyone's performance and make a decision about the second Test."
Post update
Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
"As some complementary sponsors' booze is plonked on our desks in the press box, one Aussie journalist quips: 'Australians will need two of those.'"
Post update
Jos Buttler already has a beer in his hand, Gary Ballance a bottle of water (or vodka). Trevor Bayliss and Darren Lehmann, good mates, are sharing a joke. "Can you believe I've turned up late and spanked your boys out of sight, Boof?"
Post update
The presentation stage has been erected on the outfield, very few spectators have left. Alastair Cook and Joe Root are down the steps, so it's probably safe to assume that Root is man of the match.
Final scorecard
Post update
We'll be rolling for a while, getting all the reaction from both sides after England's four-day victory. To repeat (in case you can't quite believe it), England have won in four days. Keep your texts, tweets and emails coming.
Post update
Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"There had been talk England had turned it round but England in their own back yard are a different team. Anderson and Broad with the Duke ball are as deadly a combination as there is in world cricket. England have won the big moments and seem to have a lot more confidence."
Post update
Player's view
England's Mark Wood, speaking to Sky Sports: "It's fantastic to go 1-0 up. We put the pressure on Australia and they didn't expect that. We bowled to our strengths on this pitch. When the crowd started singing 'stand up if you're 1-0 up', I was laughing. I was doing my best to stay professional."
Post update
I wonder what Trevor Bayliss is thinking? The Aussie has just won his first Test in charge. He's already in conversation with Alastair Cook and Paul Farbrace on the England balcony.
Post update
Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"Thinking what positives Australia can take and there are not too many. England have basically outplayed Australia in every department."
Post update
Remember, England had not won any of their last six Test against Australia. However, Australia have now won only two of the last 16 they have played against England in the UK. They have the advantage of being the Ashes holders, but all the problems are theirs. How can they turn this around before Thursday at Lord's?
Post update
Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"It was fitting that Joe Root took the winning the catch, it was his innings that grabbed the game England's way. How different the game could have been if Haddin had caught that when Root was on nought."
Post update
Jubilant celebrations from the England players and fans inside Cardiff. Group hugs, a run to grab the stumps, songs. Michael Clarke pats his players on the back, but has a face like thunder. Joe Root leads the England players up the stairs to a standing ovation. Handshakes, good natured.
Post update
Jonathan Agnew
BBC Test Match Special
"I don't think many pundits - any pundits thought they would win this game, let alone in four days."
England win by 169 runs
Hazlewood c Root b Moeen 14 (Aus 242 all out)
That's it! England have won! Josh Hazlewood is the last man to go, skying Moeen Ali to Joe Root at deep mid-off. England win by 169 runs and lead the 2015 Ashes 1-0.
Aus 242-9
"Stand up if you're 1-0 up" is the chant in Cardiff, followed by some Aussie baiting. "Sit down if you're 1-0 down."
Aus 242-9 (Root 6-0-28-2)
Nathan Lyon is the last man in. Cardiff sings Joe Root's name. Fielders buzz around the Aussie number 11. Not long, now.
Post update
Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"It's a Yorkshire combination again - Root and Lyth. Mitchell Johnson had played so well, powerful, he played a really good hand. He's a fighter but England are just one wicket away from going one up in the series."
WICKET
Johnson c Lyth b Root 77 (Aus 242-9)
England are nearly there! It's that man Joe Root again, ending a very good innings by Mitchell Johnson. We knew Johnson's attacking instincts would lead to a chance and, eventually, he dances and edges to Adam Lyth at slip. I'm glad we got the power back in time for that. Only one wicket between England and some Saturday celebrations in the Welsh capital.
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Jamie Smith: Come on England, please wrap this up tonight! Winning in four days makes a big statement!
Aus 242-9
Sorry for the lack of updates, we've just had a power cut. Insert some comedy line about the lights going out on the Aussies here. Not much happened while we were away...
How's stat?!
Andrew Samson
BBC Test Match Special statistician
"Root has often been on 66 when he is batting, he has just taken a wicket in the 66th over."
Aus 223-8 (Root 4-0-23-1)
Josh Hazlewood is the new man, the penultimate line of defence. Cardiff gives us a "Roooooot" and a chorus of Hey Jude.
Post update
Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"Brilliant by England, it was short by Root - wasn't a good ball by any stretch of the imagination. Cook reacted brilliantly and got a hand to it and Lyth got the rebound, you don't care how they come at this point."
WICKET
Starc c Lyth b Root 17 (Aus 223-7)
Whadda catch! Adam Lyth is alive to snaffle Mitchell Starc and England are one wicket closer to a 1-0 lead. Joe Root has the golden arm, enticing Strac to force the ball straight towards Alastair Cook at gully. Cook can only parry, but Lyth, at slip, dives for the rebound, ala Geraint Jones in the 2005 Ashes. Cardiff roars its approval. England are two balls away.
Post update
Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"The Barmy Army have a new song for Watson to the tune of the Andy Williams classic "Can't Take My Eyes Off You" you know that bit where it builds to the chorus? It goes 'lb, lb, lbw'" they were singing it and sure enough Shane got out lbw!"
Aus 222-7 (Eng need 3 wickets)
I'm happy to stick my neck out and say that Johnson can't keep playing like this without giving a chance. England's task is to take it when it comes. A dance at Moeen, almost deceived into giving a catch to point. Another skip, a leading edge that evades the bowler. Whatever way you look at it, it's entertaining.
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Nigel Baker: I should have realised they'd picked Mitchell Johnson as a specialist batsman after I saw him bowl.
Jack: At what stage do we get worried?
Aus 221-7 (partnership 70)
A sweep for a couple and a single on the on side means Johnson takes 17 from the over. He's up to 70 from 79 balls. In the crowd, a man in waistcoat and bow tie holds a tray full of lager. Fancy dress, or waiter? I hope it's the latter.
Post update
Henry Blofeld
BBC Test Match Special
"Australia obviously think they can win this tonight."
Aus 218-7
Fetch it! Six over long-on. England won't mind Johnson getting after Root, but Johnson quite likes it too.
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JoElle: That's a century and a 50 from Mitch Johnson in this match.
Aus 212-7
Johnson isn't going to let Root settle. Two dances, two fours down the ground. Good contest.
Post update
Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"Personally at this stage I'd have reviewed that in a heartbeat."
Aus 204-7
Johnson points his tattoos at Moeen Ali while the Barmy Army ask someone to give us a song. I can't quite hear who they want to sing. Maybe Robert Croft? Makes sense, we're on his patch. England ask the question against Mitchell Starc, but he's got outside the line. I think we may see some Joe Root from t'other end.
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Maria: Mitchell Johnson could score big, rain cancels out day 5 - Draw.
50 for Mitchell Johnson
Aus 203-7
The English quite like a pop at Mitchell Johnson, but there's no doubt that he's a fierce competitor. Even when his team's batsmen have failed pretty miserably, Johnson is still battling, going to a shot-laden half-century with a back-foot punch through the covers. It's starting to look pretty flat out there. England might look to spin from both ends to eat a few overs before the second new ball.
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Sam Rao: And here comes the traditional 100 run stand for the eighth wicket...
Evan Samuel: At least the Mitches look like it matters to them.
Aus 197-7 (target 412)
England turn to spin, the offies of Moeen Ali to play on the patience of this pair of left-handers as well as posing the danger of turning away from the bat. Johnson sees no danger, mind. He dances to belt straight for four and is closing in on a half-century. Watching these two bat, you really wonder how Australia have got themselves into such a pickle.
Post update
Henry Blofeld
BBC Test Match Special
"They're batting so well these two you think how on earth did seven of them get out for so little?"
Aus 192-7 (Johnson 44, Starc 15)
I'm told that the 'Not For Sale' sticker on the bottom of Starc's bat is an anti-slavery campaign. Good for him. Still Broad, long of leg, round the wicket to Johnson, who looks fairly hacked off with the situation he finds himself in. When Broad drops short, Johnson takes out his frustration on the ball, pulling for four. Next delivery, with three men on out the fence, Johnson tries to hit the ball out Wales and nearly loses his poles.
Post update
Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"England have so many runs to play with but as a bowler you still don't want to give runs away. I hated giving boundaries away..or even singles away."
Aus 186-7 (Eng need 3 wickets)
To be fair to this Aussie eighth-wicket pair, they look reasonably comfortable. Starc drives Broad handsomely through the covers for four. Did I say they were looking comfortable? Forget that. Wood finds the edge of Starc's bat, the ball flying between the slips, bouncing well short so there's no chance of a catch. Having said that, it is the only moment of discomfort since tea. Patience, young grasshopper.
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Kendall: Johnson and Starc to go all Ashton Agar and Tino Best on us here?
Aus 175-7 (target 412)
The trumpeter leads the songs of the England fans as Mark Wood slips in round the wicket to Starc. Left-hander Starc drills through the off side for four, but a few poxy boundaries aren't going to spoil the boundaries aren't going to spoil the England party. Indeed, we get a chorus of the national anthem. Please be upstanding.
Post update
Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"This game certainly isn't petering out to a draw. Pretty much from day one there has been something happening."
Aus 171-7 (Eng need 3 wkts)
Stuart Broad, excellent for 3-22 today, is round the wicket to Mitchell Starc, with Joe Root in that silly slip position again. Broad locates Starc's off stump and has a good look around, probing. A play-and-miss, a drive, a defensive prod. At the bottom of Starc's bat is a sticker that reads 'not for sale'. What's not for sale? His bat? I'll be honest, Mitch, I don't want it.
Aus 170-7
Moeen Ali was off the field for the first over of the session. What could he possibly have been doing? He runs back out with a jumper in his hand. Was that the problem? Could he not find his sweater?
Aus 170-7 (Johnson 34, Starc 4)
Three slips and a short mid-off, though Johnson begins with an edge for four and lovely straight-driven boundary. England won't worry about runs, a touch of patience is the order of the day for the celebrations to begin. Wood switches to round the wicket and beats the outside edge, to much oohing and aahing in the Welsh capital.
Aus 162-7 (Eng need 3 wickets)
The England players come down the steps, probably for the last time in this match. Only the Australia tail remains - the Mitchells, followed by Josh Hazlewood and Nathan Lyon. In the Cardiff sunshine, Mark Wood has the ball to begin the evening session.
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Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"If Australia can get runs on the board I can see Mitchell Johnson causing some damage in this series but English conditions generally require some old fashioned basics and I don't think Australia have delivered the basics for long enough. I think they could bring in Peter Siddle to bowl with Josh Hazlewood, full of length and that could be a good combination."
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#bbccricket
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Thanks, Marc. It's matter of when England win this match, rather than if. All done tonight? You'd think so. Three more wickets for a 1-0 lead in the 2015 Ashes.
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And with that, I pass over the baton to Stephan Shemilt. The finisher.
How's stat?!
In the last 17 Ashes series, the team who has won the urn has won the opening Test 15 times.
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Beware the weather
If - and it's a big, massive, monstrous if - Australia can survive until the end of the day, the weather might lend a helping hand tomorrow.
The end for Watto?
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Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"What a session for England. The bowling has been excellent, the combinations have worked, they have bowled in partnerships with a better length and really good lines. Moeen Ali has picked up crucial wickets and the captaincy from Cook has been excellent. The atmosphere is going to be rocking after tea."
Tea scorecard
Tweet it, like it, share it. Just soak this tea-time buzz up. If you're English, of course.
Aus 162-7 (36 overs remaining)
So, Australia lost five wickets for just 65 runs in that afternoon session. Middle order like a chocolate fireguard today.
Tea
Mitchell Johnson drives powerfully through the off side - sending the close fielders scattering like seagulls. England are crowding Australia that much, it wouldn't surprise me if they sat on the same table as the Aussies at tea. There's no let-up.
Anyway, time for some cake. It's tea-time.
Aus 159-7 (England need 3 wickets to win)
Mitchell Starc flicks four off his hips then plays a firm defensive shot to a lifter from Mark Wood, who has gone round the wicket to the left-hander.
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Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"Watson keeps making the same mistake. He's a senior player and Mitchell Marsh is waiting in the wings but I've always said when you start a series with a team I don't see why you'd change it after one game. If he is at Lord's you can bet England will keep targeting those pads, bowl it in the channel, try to get one to nip back and he'll play across it eventually. It must be so frustrating for the Australia coaches to see players keep getting out the same way."
Aus 155-7
Is Mark Wood the find of the summer? Simon Cowell would be proud of unearthing this talent - somebody who can bowl 90mph and takes wickets while the opening bowlers graze in the outfield. The field is set for some short stuff. But what else should Mitchell Johnson expect? MJ takes a single. Mitchell Starc on strike.
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Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"I hope its a normal Lord's pitch for the next match, with enough pace - the slope always helps - and that you can bat on it and make runs. This has been a good pitch but it has been slower and lower."
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Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"I think Wood has been a revelation, he has given England something different they have not had for a while. Forget what he does, and he gets them down at 90mph, it's his energy, his love for the game. He's always smiling and you need that in your team."
Aus 152-7 (England need three wickets to win)
Moeen gives the ball some air and it almost sneaks beneath Mitchell Johnson's bat. It's a matter of when, not if, England will wrap this up.
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Neil Worrall: Watson's Law - If you are hit on the pad, you will look surprised; shake your head & review the decision. You will always be out.
Stuart Mitchell: Not sure there is much need to announce the type of dismissal for Watson, so obvious every time. Three to go, come on England.
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Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"Leg before Watson. That's what they'll keep calling him. I don't think England will have dreamt the week would go as well as this."
Aus 151-6 (Wood 10-4-27-2)
It's almost as if England were bowling within themselves before that wicket, saving their energies for the second Test which begins at Lord's on Thursday. Mark Wood's pace had dropped 10mph. Nothing wrong with that though - as that great philosopher John Barnes once said: "You've got to hold and give but do it at the right time. You can be slow or fast but you must get to the line..."
England are almost over the line now. Just three to go - Mitchell Starc the new man to the crease.
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Simon Mann
BBC Test Match Special
"He walks off very slowly. I wonder if this is going to be his last Test innings."
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Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"He played right across it again. You just know you're always in the game to him if you bowl it straight."
WICKET
Watson lbw Wood 19 (Aus 151-7)
Shane Watson troops off for the 29th time in his career, having been given out leg-before. Could that be an ironic denouement to his Test career?
Review
Aus 151-6
It's becoming a standing joke now. Shane Watson plays round his front pad, the ball crashes into it at pace and the umpire raises his finger. Watson reviews it, almost for a laugh.
Aus 151-6 (England need four wickets to win)
I've not seen new England coach Trevor Bayliss leave his seat for this Test match. He's just watching on from the boundary, always saying 'yes' when a tea round is being made. On the opposition balcony, Darren Lehmann looks like he's been slapped round the chops with a wet kipper. He's a bit stunned, I think.
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Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"It would be a drastic change for Australia to say to Watson you've had your time and Mitchell Marsh is going to replace you after one game of the series."
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Hamid Gharda: Two men went to Mo, went to Moeen Ali, he spun them round & wowed the crowd, and sent them back to Aussie!
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Tom Little: Managed to find the only people showing the test in Zürich. Nothing will stop a father son Saturday cricket session.
Aus 150-6 (target 412)
England's field is slowly spreading. Not sure why - perhaps they want to try and tempt the Aussies into playing shots and scoring runs - hence inducing a mistake. It almost works when Shane Watson shows Swayze-like footwork to drive a single down the ground and then Mitchell Johnson hoicks another boundary which just about clears a catcher inside the circle.
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Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"England have certainly opened some cracks in the Australian team but it will take another performance at Lord's to make them wider. The toss of the coin is going to be quite crucial, batting first, because the pitches are going to be dry."
Aus 145-6 (England need four wickets to win)
Mitchell Johnson is another natural stroke-maker, with a Test century to his name, but he too is having to rein it in. He's playing the patience game, only playing a shot when he knows there is nobody there to catch him out - like he did to Moeen earlier. Miserly from Ben Stokes. Another maiden. Dot the dot.
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Matt Elwell: Rain spotted in Newport.
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Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"Nobody has got out to a raging spin ball, three have tried to hit him out of the attack and got themselves out."
Aus 145-6 (target 412)
Everybody, and I mean everybody, doubted if England could take 20 wickets in a match against Australia before this series so huge credit must go to new and returning bowling coach Ottis Gibson. Moeen is keeping a tight grip on England's dominance, aiming for the rough and leaking just one in another excellent over.
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Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"Broad today, every spell has been fantastic - his accuracy, his movement when he has hit the deck. The number of times he beat Warner playing forward - wow, he beat him six times at least, that's a lot for a top player. Somebody should be saying to Ben Stokes listen, you've got talent but on this pitch you've got to pitch it up."
Aus 144-6 (Stokes 6-1-22-0)
A father and son nod off in the mid-afternoon sunshine - heads rolling as though they are too heavy for their weary bodies. Anybody got a pillow? Wake them up when England get another wicket, will you?
Ben Stokes is thrown the ball and the red-haired all-rounder is dispatched to the mid-wicket boundary by Shane Watson's dismissive pull shot. It's not a bad pitch this... England have just bowled very well.
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Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"The English public needed this after what happened in Australia - this is party time. I don't think anyone expected this, I put Australia maybe 2/1."
Aus 136-6 (England need four wickets to win)
The Cardiff crowd is silent, almost in expectation, as Mitchell Johnson has a little mouse-like nibble on a Moeen Ali turner out of the rough. Realising there might be one with his name on it, Mitch decides to hit out and plants a maximum into the cow corner stands.
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Jonathan Agnew
BBC Test Match Special
"That was a wicketless 20 minutes, let's see if Jim Maxwell can do better."
Aus 130-6 (Watson 10, Johnson 7)
Good tweet that, Marc Gridley (see below). England have got Shazy backed into a corner here that's for sure. James Anderson has close catchers all round the wicket. Another maiden though.
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Aus 130-6 (England need four wickets to win)
In the last Ashes series, just six of the England XI which started the first Test played in the fifth one. I reckon there might be a few Aussies nudged closer to the bingo hall during this series if such performances continue. Another Moeen maiden.
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Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"That Clarke dismissal was poor. It was wide and he sat back. If you're sat back waiting for it then when it is pitched up and you go forward to it you are a little late."
Aus 130-6 (48 overs remaining)
Shane Watson looks like he's breathing heavily. A natural strokemaker - he has a career strike-rate of 53 in Test cricket - he is having to be very disciplined just to try and stretch this game into tomorrow. He almost topples over in batting back a booming James Anderson inducker.
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Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"As I said yesterday we have outbatted them, outbowled them and outcaptained them in this match."
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Andy Donley: This England team is a Strauss and a Swann away from being the best Test outfit in the world.
Aus 127-6 (Moeen 5-2-23-2)
"I'm sorry... but the number you are trying to reach in Australia is currently out of service or turned off. Please send a text message instead."
Moeen Ali continues to twirls away and Shane Watson plays and misses outside off. He's fishing.
How's stat?!
Andrew Samson
BBC Test Match Special statistician
"Buttler has given up eight byes in this match to Haddin's 24."
Slow starters
Aus 126-6 (Anderson 10-0-30-0)
We're witnessing a master at work. James Anderson beats Shane Watson's outside edge with a snorter. As Ricky Ponting points out on the telly box... you've got to be a good batsman to hit those.
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Brett Mills: Just throwing it out there, Shane Watson in his helmet = Ed Sheeran?
How's stat?!
Andrew Samson
BBC Test Match Special statistician
"Moeen Ali's first two overs went for 22 his next two were two for nought!"
Aus 122-6
Shane Watson grunts as James Anderson hurries him up with a little rib-tickler. Still got it.
Scorecard update
Australia 122-6 (38 overs) - target 412
Batsmen: Watson 9* (17), Johnson 0* (5)
Fall of wickets: 19-1 (Rogers 10), 97-2 (Warner 52), 101-3 (Smith 33), 106-4 (Clarke 4), 106-5 (Voges 1), 122-6 (Haddin 7)
Bowling figures: Anderson 9-2-26-0, Broad 10-3-22-3, Moeen 4-2-22-2, Stokes 5-1-14-0, Wood 9-3-27-1, Root 2-0-5-0
First innings: England 430 & 289; Australia 308
Full scorecard
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Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"There was a fair bit of talk about whether they were going to play Moeen or Rashid. I don't think there will be any more talk about that. I'm sort of lost for words about this match."
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Rory Payne: What a catch Cooky! I take my shades off to you.
Richard Parfitt: Two men went to Mo!
Aus 122-6 (England need 4 wickets to win)
Kangaroo steak for tea tonight? Australia have now lost five wickets for 25 runs. Looking like a Sunday off for both sides.
Mitchell Johnson is booed to the crease and plays out the rest of a wicket-maiden.
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James Levy: Sat on a bus in London getting very odd looks every time I pump my fist at an Aussie wicket.
Ian: Remember panicking Jamie Chisholm of Southwark email at 12.45 saying the Aussies would win? Where is he now? Never had a chance.
Michael Petchey: Almost starting to feel sorry for the Aussies. No I'm not. I'm definitely not.
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Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"England can't do a thing wrong. That ball was hit at a rate of knots and Australia's woes continue. Moeen Ali would nearly have to put his hand up for man of the match. There have been two key moments in this game - when Joe Root was dropped on nought and then that wicket just before lunch today changed the whole mood."
WICKET
Haddin c Cook b Moeen 7 (Aus 122-6)
It's going ridiculously right for England now. They have earned their good luck, however, with some magnificently disciplined bowling and inventive field positioning.
One such canny placing does for Brad Haddin when he tries to hoick Moeen Ali out of south Wales but ends up getting a bottom edge to Alastair Cook at short mid-wicket. The skipper parries the ball into the air and takes a tumbling catch as the ball drops behind him. Catching flies now.
Aus 122-5 (England need five more wickets)
Our man at the ground, Sam Sheringham, has been meeting some superheroes on the Cardiff concourses. Incredible scenes. Geddit?
James Anderson, without a wicket in this innings yet, is delivering the ball from different points on the crease to try and get inside Shane Watson's muddled mind. The big man's front pad is sticking out like the proverbial sore thumb in the Cardiff gloom but when he does get it right, the ball whistles off the middle and down the ground for four.
How's stat?!
Andrew Samson
BBC Test Match Special statistician
"The most any team have made to win after losing their fifth wicket is 243, Australia need 306 today to do that."
Aus 118-5 (Wood 9-3-27-1)
Did you know that in the whole of Australia, only one in 10,000 families own a umbrella*? Inside the Swalec, one in two Australians* seem to be poking a brolly in the air as they try and catch the attention of the umpires at the moment some big ugly clouds come into view.
Sit down, joke the jubilant English as Brad Haddin pulls Mark Wood for a couple.
* Made-up stats
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Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"Australia have to keep the scoreboard ticking over. They still have to have intent or it plays into England's hands."
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Join the debate at #bbccricket
Lee Robson: England smashing Australia and Mike Ashley just spent £14.5m on a signing for Newcastle. No-one wake me from this dream.
Aus 116-5 (target 412)
This is what Saturdays are made for. When I was growing up, they generally consisted of Australia declaring on 600 at noon and then forcing England to follow on by 5. How times change. James Anderson has the ball in hand now and is making it sing. Nipping it this way. Swinging it that way. Two from the over.
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Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"Swanny had a smile like a Cheshire cat when he left. It has been a rough old half an hour since lunch, including the ball before lunch. It was looking ok but it's getting tougher."
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Disco Stu: Enjoy your small moment Poms, much like your summer. You're either elated or suicidal. Four games to go.
Aus 114-5 (Watson 4, Haddin 4)
Custer's Last Stand now in Cardiff. Little (Brad Haddin) and big (Shane Watson) hold the key for the Aussies. Old Crazy Horse, Mark Wood, is bringing the ball in at pace and Haddin misjudges a pull shot which runs away past the keeper for four streaky runs.
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
"This is starting to feel unmistakably like a Stuart Broad day. So often he has been England's man for the big occasion especially at the Ashes. In 2009 at the Oval, he took 5-37 on the second afternoon to set up England's series-winning victory. Then, two years ago, he was England's match-winner in Durham, with a spell of 6-20 in 45 balls."
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"I think they'd be daft to get rid of Watson, he's a fine player. They made a mistake by dropping him down the order, I thought he was a fine opening batsman. In the middle order he tends to come in when it is reverse swinging and seems to get lbw a lot."
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Simon Mann
BBC Test Match Special
"There are some suggestions in the Australian media that this could be Watson's last Test match."
Aus 109-5 (target 412)
I hope Shane Watson's not claustrophobic because he's very much penned in by this aggressive England field. The hosts are like a pack of hyenas stalking their prey. Stuart Broad is really testing Watson, who is apparently facing the chop if he doesn't score runs in this innings - he gets three of them through the off side to get off the mark.
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Michael Blighe: Piece of cake, this Ashes lark. Can we play the Aussies every week? Oh wait, we pretty much are!
Jarleth Eaton: Who thought this would be possible 18 months ago?! Absolutely beautiful!
Mike Bell: England. Keep foot on their heads. Allow them up for briefest of breaths. Do not remove feet until September. Then say goodbye.
Aus 106-5 (England need 5 wickets to win)
Mark Wood smiles as Brad Haddin almost loses his off stump to a 90mph slider. Aussies on the rack. Throw another wicket on the barbie, lads.
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Ed Longden: Just drew some odd looks in the opticians waiting room for punching the air & hissing "Yessss" at Clarke's dismissal in my ear.
Owen Lynam: Unbelievably loose shot by Clarke, not that I'm complaining.
Matt Swift: Pinch me.
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"That's a very excited huddle that England team, everyone sprinting towards Mark Wood. Just took the nick, thick enough so he didn't have top wait for the umpire. Mark Wood has a smile as wide as Glamorgan, my how this game has been turned."
WICKET
Voges c Buttler b Wood 1 (Aus 106-5)
What did Australia have at lunch? A big bowl of Collapso soup? Adam Voges adds to the carnival atmosphere inside Cardiff by tickling the ball behind off a jubilant Mark Wood. Here comes Braddin.
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Will D: Your field position graphic was great. I've just sent it to my wife so could study it. Her reply I don't think is printable.
Aus 106-4 (England need six wickets to win)
Interesting field for the new batsman Shane Watson, who is greeted by two short mid-ons. Stuart Broad is trying to home in on Watto's big front pad. He survives. For now.
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Ben Wear: One more wicket before we get into the tail.
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"Stuart Broad being rewarded for his great bowling, tight line and length. It was wide, Clarke threw his hands through the ball and England are right on top."
WICKET
Clarke c Stokes b Broad 4 (Aus 106-4)
That's the one. Stuart Broad has now taken the wicket of Michael Clarke more than any other batsman in world cricket (10) - the Aussie skipper slashing one outside off stump to Ben Stokes at point. Three wickets down for five runs.
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"Voges was known at Notts as 'The Ghost' because he was so pale. When he took his shirt off it was like someone holding up a bedsheet."
Aus 102-3 (target 412)
Adam Voges is a man of some repute in first-class cricket - scoring more than 11,000 runs in a first-class career. He's played many seasons in county cricket too and it took him until the age of 35 to make his Test debut in the Caribbean last month. Another maiden, played out by Voges to Mark Wood.
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Jen de Polo: Booom!!! Get in Broady.
Rob Brown: Smith gone. Broad is looking like he is going to have one of those days. Bowling brilliantly!
The Pete: When Stuart Broad bowls full he's an absolute world beater, he'd have 400 wickets already in Tests.
Aus 102-3 (Broad 8-3-15-2)
There's a game of cricket taking place on a field close to the Swalec whereby the participants are using a stick as a bat and traffic cones as wickets. Let's be having pictures of your makeshift cricket equipment. I'm sure I'm not the only one to have used my mum's wheelie bin as stumps. Hated rubbish collection day.
Aussies continue to be tested, with Stuart Broad conceding a solitary leg-bye.
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The Pete: When Stuart Broad bowls full he's an absolute world beater, he'd have 400 wickets already in Tests.
Steve Porter: I wish Broad bowled like this all the time. Been excellent today.
Aus 101-3 (target 412)
I suspect Mark Wood, with his skiddy pace, might cause Michael Clarke one or two problems - the skipper notoriously struggles with the short ball because of a bad back and the man from Durham often gets surprising lift. Perhaps that is why Wood is brought into the attack, and the England new boy is already getting the ball to come into the right handers. Maiden.
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"Stuart Broad has just put the ball in the right place. If you bowl the right length - doesn't matter what stage of the game - you're always dangerous."
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Totum: Just heard a fat Welsh lady clearing her throat ahead of singing....
Aus 101-3 (Clarke 0, Voges 0)
Adam Voges digs out a yorker first up. There's two new batsmen at the crease and England have their tails up. Looking good for Cook and Co.
Do you know you gully from your cover?
Wondering what on earth a slip fielder is? Hopefully this little graphic will help today. You can find out more on how to get involved with cricket via our Get Inspired page.
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"Smith had to play at it - the dangerman has gone and England right on top now."
WICKET
Smith c Bell b Broad 33 (Aus 101-3)
Big wicket. A monstrous strike.
The world's number one batsman is back in the hut courtesy of Stuart Broad who really is rising to the occassion. A horrible poke away from his body by Steve Smith and the ball flies to the safe hands of Ian Bell at second slip.
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"England are fully aware of the weakness Smith has on the back foot playing away from his body."
Aus 101-2
Steve Smith is not going to sit back and let Stuart Broad dictate to him - driving the bowler's first ball after lunch for four. Third up, Broad nips one back in and the ball balloons to the slips. Was that bat or pad? England debate whether to review the not out decision. They wisely choose not to - it hit the pad on the way through.
Aus 97-2 (target 412)
All spinners are naturally judged on their ability to take wickets in the fourth innings of the game, and it's here where we have to doff our cap to Moeen - he takes his wickets an an average of 24 in the final dig of a match. In the first innings that average is 82. Three dots get us under way after lunch. Here comes Stuart Broad.
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I've just heard the Moeen song they sing to the tune of Dolly Parton's Jolene. Can't get it out of my head now.
Here come the players. Three left in Ali's over, which are left over from before lunch.
Minion antics
Does Gru know you're out, lads?
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Thank you, Mr Shemilt. How are we all? Poised nicely this Test now. England need eight more wickets to win the Test with the two best Australian batsman in the team at the crease: Steve Smith and Michael Clarke.
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Enjoyed your lunch? That's good to hear. Marc Higginson is just polishing off his, then he'll be in the hot seat to talk you through the afternoon.
Join the debate at #bbccricket
Paul Smylie: (Re: 12:16), it could be worse, I'm sat working in the library overlooking the Fleet Street wedding.
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Moeen's impressive hit list
Moeen Ali certainly has the knack of taking big wickets. In his 12-match career to date he has taken 36 wickets, which includes Kumar Sangakkara twice, Shikhar Dhawan, Virat Kohli, MS Dhoni, Kane Williamson and, in this Test, Steve Smith, Michael Clarke and David Warner.
Vote results
This morning we asked you to predict the result of this match - and the results are now in...
66% said England will win, 20.5% think Australia will pull off the highest chase the Ashes has seen, 11.3% went for the draw and 2.3% reckon we will witness only the third tie in Test history.
Lunch guest
BBC Radio Test Match Special
The lunch guest on TMS is Alexander Campbell, a promising cricketer who chose to pursue a career in the Royal Ballet and whose dad played against Aggers in Australia.
Listen abroad to Test Match Special
Live abroad? On your hols? Taken a wrong turn at Dover?
You can listen to TMS in Europe and North America by clicking here.
Unfortunately, because of rights issues, this is not available in the UK, Sri Lanka, India, Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan and Bangladesh.
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How's stat?!
Andrew Samson
BBC Test Match Special statistician
"Australia have only ever won one game in Cardiff: four first-class games - all draws - and five ODIs, of which they have won one and lost four."
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Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"Broad has bowled beautifully this morning. Slowly and surely he has started to get better, against West Indies and then New Zealand. He's now in lovely rhythm."
Join the debate at #bbccricket
James Bruce: Wicket of Warner was crucial before lunch. The Aussies were looking set.
Chris Love: How much did England need Warner's wicket - perfect timing. Those cucumber sandwiches will go down that bit nicer now.
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Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"You've got to back yourself - 412 is a lot of runs and as a bowling side the game can change very quickly."
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Lunch scorecard
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Rob Parrett: Inspired decision from Captain Cook to reintroduce Moeen Ali for the final over before lunch despite his poor spell earlier.
Peter Coles: Yes, just before lunch was the time to bring on Moeen!
John Chandler: Ali Ali Ali, Oi Oi Oi!!!
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Simon Mann
BBC Test Match Special
"You can just feel the buzz in the crowd with that dismissal."
Lunch
Aus 97-2
The wicket signals the lunch break, England set to enjoy the interval more than they might. David Warner can have an extra cake, too.
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Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"Big blow to the Australian team, they played so well this morning. There wasn't any turn, that one just went straight on and Davey Warner played all around it. That's a big wicket for England."
WICKET
Warner lbw Moeen 52 (Aus 97-2)
The breakthrough! How dearly did England need this? Moeen Ali has come on for the final over before lunch and trapped David Warner lbw. Length, ball not turning, Warner going back to be hit in front of middle and leg. Thinks about a review, then walks off. Moeen, poor in his first spell, has done the business for England.
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Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"While they are scoring at four an over there is less pressure. We always said when you bowled three maiden overs in a row, the chances of taking a wicket went up quite significantly."
Aus 97-1 (target 412)
Anderson to Smith, catchers on the off side. Over-pitched, the Australia vice-captain driving for four. Cardiff noticeably quieter than earlier this morning, briefly waking to "ooohhh" as Anderson goes past the outside edge. Maybe only one more over before the break and a chance for England to re-group.
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
"Confidence is growing among the Aussie journalists. They are already talking about the "I was there" T-shirts and tattoos they will order to mark Australia's greatest run chase. I think they are joking. For now..."
Aus 93-1 (Warner 52, Smith 25)
Still Root, blond hair, face that's never needed to see a shaver. Accurate, but no great threat. Three singles milked. Seven minutes or so before lunch, probably two overs. How much would England love to strike before then?
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Simon Mann
BBC Test Match Special
"Warner knows this is one of those moments in the game, 15 minutes before lunch, England have brought back Anderson. If he can get through this it is another box ticked."
Aus 90-1 (target 412)
England recall James Anderson to the attack for a burst before lunch. Looking for the wicket of Warner, England have two slips, a gully and two catchers on the off side. Anderson has cut down on pace, focussing on off-stump accuracy to test Warner's patience. Straight away, Warner is swiping a drive, missing the lot. Good from Anderson, a maiden.
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How's stat?!
Andrew Samson
BBC Test Match Special statistician
"Warner had just two off 24 balls at one stage."
Aus 90-1 (Warner 52, Smith 23)
Indeed it will be Joe Root, bowling his off-breaks to David Warner. The Barmy Army still play the theme from Rocky. Might be time to give that one up, lads. It was two years ago. Root round the wicket to both right-hander Smith and left-hander Warner, a flat, low arm. Decent stuff, but, would England have expected to bowl Root this morning? Suggests things have not gone to plan.
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Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"Warner has really matured into a very good Test batsman. When it's there to put away he will but he's a lot more watchful and this had been a very good controlled innings."
50 for David Warner
Aus 87-1
Well batted, David Warner. The Aussie opener was giving a right going over by England this morning, yet he has come through to register a 15th half-century in Test cricket. Warner, by the way, averages 52 in the second innings of Test matches, compared to 43 in the first.
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Jamie Chisholm in sunny Southwark: OK, I'm going to say it. Reckon the Aussies will do this. People forget the reason fourth innings run chases are low is because teams often run out of time. The Aussies have two days. The pitch is not the problem everyone thought. And they WILL NOT bat as badly as they did in their first innings.
Aus 84-1 (partnership 65)
Wood off his short run, Warner pulling and then dabbing two sets of two on the leg side. England still have three slips, but you just sense a slight retreat. Cardiff hums, the wind whips up to ruffle Wood's shirt, with Warner finishing the over with a single. Five off, risk-free. Joe Root is loosening up.
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Aus 79-1 (target 412)
I'd say that's our first glimpse of why Steve Smith is rated as the world's best batsman. Full from Stokes, Smith driving through the off side and getting four before the fielders have blinked. From being worked over earlier on, Australia have counter-punched in this second-wicket stand that is bumping along at pretty much a run a ball. Cardiff, now under blue sky and fluffy white clouds, is quiet.
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Jonathan Agnew
BBC Test Match Special
"Lots of time for Australia but we've seen enough in the pitch to show it will be difficult for them. A lot will depend on Moeen who was pretty disappointing with his first spell."
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Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"For the first time in the match the little things have gone Australia's way. In the first three days those little percentage margins have all gone England's way."
Aus 75-1 (Warner 42, Smith 18)
It's certainly time for England. Remember, only twice has a target more than 412 been reached in the history of Test cricket. The reason? It is a lot of runs. Still, they would like this stand broken very soon, not least because runs are flowing and the luck seems to be going Australia's way. Warner doesn't withdraw his bat quickly enough from Wood, but still gets. Later in the same over, his inside-edges on to his pad, but the ball evades the bowler.
On the money
Aus 71-1 (target 412)
Ben Stokes is thundering to the crease, angling the ball into the right-handed Steve Smith who makes you think you'll get him lbw - but the likelihood is that you won't. Maiden.
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
"One floor below the written press box are the men whose job it is to provide the rolling pictures of the action for the goggle box."
Aus 71-1
England screaming and shouting for everything here. Leg before, caught behind, obstructing the field. OK, maybe not the last one. Wood the bowler, Warner hit on the back thigh, ball going through to Jos Buttler. Appeal, nothing from Marais Erasmus. Touch of desperation?
Aus 65-1 (target 412)
England have reacted to the Steve Smith Shuffle by posting a leg slip, hoping that Australia's number three will tickle a catch around the corner. Smith, not cowed, pounces on a Stokes short ball with a pull for four. England's standards have slipped since Anderson and Broad came out of the attack and Australia have added 46 runs in 38 balls.
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Henry Blofeld
BBC Test Match Special
"England need a wicket. They were very much on top but it is shifting Australia's way at the moment."
Aus 61-1 (Warner 32, Smith 18)
A predictable bowling change, with Mark Wood coming on for the expensive Moeen Ali. David Warner, who has had a torrid morning, is starting to tick, playing a brutal slap down the ground for four. If Warner bats until tea, England will start to get twitchy. Still cloudy in Cardiff. Can we have the sunshine back, please?
How's stat?!
Aus 56-1 (target 412)
Ben Stokes after drinks, bowling to the idiosyncratic Steven Smith. Smith, number one in the world batting rankings, takes guard in conventional fashion, then it all gets a bit Shivnarine Chanderpaul. Tap, tap, bend at the knees, walk across so that middle and leg stumps appear behind his pads. He thrives on anything too straight, so England are looking to bowl outside his off stump. Twice Stokes errs and Smith is able to work through the on side.
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Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"Moeen did this in Barbados when the ball turned and England should have won. He bowled the worse lot of tripe I've seen by an England spinner, he bowled half trackers like that. On a slow turning pitch you've got to bowl full."
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Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"Australia are playing nicely but the England pair of Anderson and Broad were excellent. I'd say this is the first mistake Cook has made this week by putting Moeen Ali on. There was still movement in the air and this has just given Australia a lift."
Scorecard update
Australia 53-1 (13 overs) - target 412
Batsmen: Warner 27* (43), Smith 11* (7)
Fall of wickets: 19-1 (Rogers 10)
Bowling figures: Anderson 5-1-16-0, Broad 6-3-10-1, Moeen 2-0-22-0
England 430 & 289; Australia 308
Full scorecard
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Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"If Australia are going to make a fist of this they have to adapt their game. They should have talked about their dismissals, Clarke and Smith got themselves out going after the spinner. It's not a minefield this pitch, odd balls keep low and it turns out of the foot holes but once the new ball wears off it is going to get easier. It is about the discipline, their natural style is to be positive. They just need to be careful about shot selection. That's not being negative, they can still score."
Aus 53-1
England obviously have the first innings in mind, when Moeen Ali got Steve Smith in an awful tangle. At the moment, Moeen isn't much of a threat. A horrible half-tracker is pulled for six by Warner. I'll be honest, that was a complete pie. Warner follows that up with a cut for four. Maybe that's the end of Moeen for a while. Drinks.
Sign here please, Joe
Careful Joe... that's a contract to move to Lancashire.
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Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"I was up for that and I am 160 yards away!"
Aus 36-1
I tell you what, I wouldn't make much of an umpire. My finger is up as soon as this ball from Broad clatters into the front pad of David Warner. Round the wicket, keeps low, looks stone dead. Nothing from Kumar Dharmasena. Broad perplexed, looking at Cook. "I think he's hit it," says the skipper. He's right, too. HotSpot confirms the inside edge. Warner continues to fly by the seat of his moustache.
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Cricket Australia's Adam Burnett: David Warner has scored as many Test hundreds (6) in his team's second innings as Ricky Ponting.
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Aus 28-1 (target 412)
Interesting move. Smith and Warner at the crease, so England turn to Moeen Ali. Alastair Cook is tugging at the beard (moustache) of these two very aggressive players, seeing if they want to get after Moeen. Warner does, belting a drive for four.
How's stat?!
Andrew Samson
BBC Test Match Special statistician
"That ends the Rogers run of consecutive fifties. The world record stays at seven."
Aus 23-1 (Broad 5-3-6-1)
Round the wicket, angled in, Rogers getting himself in a bit of a tangle as it bounced a touch more. Steve Smith, the world's best batsmen, is the new man. He's edging for four.
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Geoffrey Boycott
Ex-England batsman on BBC Test Match Special
"That was out, from experience when you see the fingers go under the ball. Don't get sucked in by TV replays thinking it has bounced."
WICKET
Rogers c Bell b Broad 10 (Aus 19-1)
In scenes of high comedy, Chris Rogers is finally given out. First, the wicket. Ball rising outside the off stump, fenced to second slip where Ian Bell takes the catch low to the ground. Then, the farce. Third umpire Chris Gaffaney tells Kumar Dharmasena to put his finger up, only Kumar can't hear him. The whole world can hear Gaffaney, but Dharmasena can't. "Kumar, can you hear me? You can give him out." Finally, the finger goes up.
Third umpire
Aus 19-0
England think they have their man, but Chris Rogers is standing his ground. Broad the bowler, Ian Bell the catcher at second slip. Has it bounced? Boos from the crowd.
Aus 19-0
Aus 19-0 (target 412)
This is unusual for James Anderson. Umpire Marais Erasmus has warned him for running on the pitch. To explain in as simple terms as possible, the bowler must ensure that his follow-through does not encroach on the pitch too much. That's to prevent the wicket deteriorating in key areas. Anderson has one warning and can get one more. Anything after that and he cannot bowl for the rest of the innings. Anderson looks grumpy and is twice driven straight by Warner. Australia riding the storm?
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"England have started so well because they haven't tried to be too clever. When they start experimenting bowling three different balls an over that's when batsmen can get away. Well done to Australia too, not losing a wicket."
Aus 13-0 (Rogers 10, Warner 2)
Not quite as threatening from Broad, who comes round the wicket to Rogers with a backward short leg in place. Rogers waits, thrusting that disgusting old armguard in our direction. Did I say Broad wasn't as threatening? he last ball goes past the outside edge?
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
"The Cardiff crowd is still and as quiet as it has been for all four days. The gaze of each and every spectator is fixed on this fascinating battle. Who will blink first?"
Aus 11-0 (target 412)
I'm loving hearing where you're following the cricket. Maybe you could finish this sentence: "My Ashes Saturday is...". How good would it be to get that trending? Anyway, Anderson to Rogers, with two very straight catchers, both almost standing on the track. Swing this way and that, Rogers getting away from danger with a leg bye. Mercifully for David Warner, he finds the middle of the bat with a defensive stroke. Enjoy it, Dave.
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"There probably should have been some discussion from behind the wicket as to whether they were 100% sure that was out."
Aus 10-0
You know what, it's so useful to be able to hear the words of the third umpire. Chris Gaffaney explains that the ball has clipped the pad, proven with a spike of sound as the ball passed Warner's back leg. England can't believe it, but the decision looks correct. To be fair, it seems unlikely that Warner would have hit it - he's not come close all morning.
Umpire review
Aus 10-0
Has it clipped the pad? Was definitely a noise. This is a tricky one.
Umpire review
Aus 10-0
You don't often see Alastair Cook so decisive about a review. England think David Warner is caught behind. Broad the bowler. Look again...
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"Missing by about an inch down the leg side."
Aus 10-0
Every ball is an event, full of danger for the men in green helmets. This time it's Anderson to Rogers, round the wicket, in-swinger, thudding in to the pads. Big appeal, but nothing from the sturdy figure of Marais Erasmus. Missing leg. So far this morning, we've seen a dropped catch, a huge leg before appeal and David Warner batting with a snooker cue.
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Jonathan Agnew
BBC Test Match Special
"Warner is having a rather torrid time at the moment."
Aus 6-0 (Rogers 5, Warner 1)
I tell you what, Stuart Broad is giving David Warner some working over outside off stump. Seam movement away from the left-hander, Warner's drive again getting nowhere near the ball. Stick a bell in it, Stuart. And again! Warner groping around, Broad bowling very, very well.
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NickP: How lucky is Rogers! He's had more edges than a dodecahedron.
Aus 6-0 (target 412)
Joe Root looks gutted, his baby face crestfallen, vexed. Cloud has come over Cardiff. It reflects Root's mood. Broad again, a man is at short cover for Warner.
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"He should have caught it, it was tricky because he was very close but he got two hands to it. It was easier than the one he took yesterday to finish the innings and get Starc out."
Rogers dropped on 4
Aus 4-0
Down! England shell their first chance of the day. Anderson round the wicket to Rogers, who is squared up by one that moves away, fencing towards Joe Root at third slip. Root dives to his left, two-handed, but cannot hold on. Root took one almost identical to this in the first innings to dismiss Mitchell Starc. This one goes begging. England need 10 wickets, now they will have to come from a minimum of 11 chances.
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Aaron Lee: Come on Aussie! Let's show the English what we are made of!
Aus 4-0
Very good start from Broad, following the England plan to Warner, testing his patience outside off stump. A maiden. All settled in? Good. How are you doing on this Saturday morning? Weekdays are simple - follow the cricket from work or school. But what about on a Saturday? Where will you be? Dragged to the shops? The garden centre? Weekend away? Let me know, even send a picture.
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"I have to say on behalf of this Cardiff wicket it has been brilliant. Over a thousand runs and 30 wickets in three days."
Aus 4-0 (target 412)
Stuart Broad to share the new ball, bowling to the ridiculous moustache of David Warner. A loose drive, then a rozzer, Broad nipping the ball off the seam. What's the thinking with these Aussie moustaches? Just because they had them 18 months ago, they should have them again? Do they make you look menacing? No.
Predict the result - vote now
What will be the outcome of this Test? Will England win? Will Australia pull off the biggest chase in Ashes history? Will the rain save them? Or how about the tie?
Vote now - via the tab at the top of the page if you're on mobile, or on the right-hand side if you're on the computer.
Terms and conditions
Aus 4-0 (target 412)
Swing from Anderson, across left-hander Rogers towards three slips. Uneven bounce too, the ball kicking to almost hit Rogers on the bullseye, if you know what I mean. Lovely sunshine in Cardiff, a day for floppy hats and suncream. Is Jimmy setting Rogers up for the in-ducker? Lots of away-swingers so far. A clip through square leg gets Rogers away with a boundary.
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Jonathan Agnew
BBC Test Match Special
"I think it's going to be a tremendous atmosphere today. It was parochial enough yesterday. We might be in Wales but 95% are supporting England."
Aus 0-0
Chris Rogers and David Warner into the middle, following a bouncy England team in pristine white. James Anderson roared to the crease.
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Alec Stewart
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"If England win here as I expect them to they just have to analyse what they have done well, go to Lord's and replicate it. If they suddenly think Australia are no good they will soon be 2-1 down."
Post update
Thanks, Marc. Jerusalem plays in Cardiff - will it be for the last time? The equation is simple - England need 10 wickets, Australia 412 runs. I'm saying with a reasonable amount of confidence that it won't be a draw.
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The bell rings to signal the start of play. Over to Stephan Shemilt to kick us off.
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
"Just been watching the England squad playing a pretty competitive game of seven-a-side football on the outfield beneath the press box. I can report that Ben Stokes has a sweet left-foot, Moeen Ali is a cultured playmaker, while Stuart Broad and Alastair Cook are bigger divers than Ronaldo."
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Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"If Australia can still be there tomorrow - we can assume they will get around 320 runs today - and if they are coming out tomorrow morning with a few left in the tank England will be very twitchy, but I think England will create enough chances."
Cricketing Food XI
Join the debate at #bbccricket
Michael Kinkead: Ian Babybell
James Myers: Vikram Salami
Nikki Holmes: Nathan Lyons Maid ice cream
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Nice, honest stuff from Stuart Broad that - England are clearly playing a different... 'brand'... of cricket now.
'We went for it'
England bowler Stuart Broad on Sky Sports: "Yesterday we went for it with the bat, we wanted to get 400 as quickly as we could to give ourselves time. Trevor [Bayliss] said in the third innings we're here to get runs and let's get back bowling. We were a bit gung ho at times but if we're going to play positively we have to accept that sometimes. We're in a great position and we've got time to settle into our lengths."
Player view
Australia batsman Adam Voges on Sky Sports: "We've got an opportunity today to hopefully bat well. Obviously it's going to be a big ask but there is certainly a lot of optimism in our changing room and the wicket is still very good for batting. It's a little bit more uneven and we have to make sure we are hitting under our eyes. Hope we can get some good partnerships and make the England bowlers keep coming back for more spells."
Cricketing Food XI
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Srihari: As a Durham supporter, I put forward Phil Mustard and Graham Onions.
Craig Williams: Stuart Broad Beans.
Neil Watson: Monty Panini.
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Graeme Swann
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special
"England will have to bowl exceedingly badly to concede 400 runs on this pitch. The way they bowled yesterday morning makes me think they are going to be too good for Australia, but I never write them off."
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Earlier, I mentioned that £412 would pay Raheem Sterling's wages for two and a half hours. It's been pointed out on Twitter that my maths might be incorrect. It's hard to dispute - never been my strong point. Just ask Mrs Lever at Tottington High School.
So, I'm throwing it out there. Assuming Raheem is on £30,000 a week - what's the answer? If you don't care, that's fine too!
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Grayson Stuckey: If two of the Aussie top five get a hundred today, things may be trickier for England. That's what I'm hoping for!
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Glenn McGrath
BBC Test Match Special
"The Aussies are up against it but they have quality players and I'm not writing them off. I think the first plan is to bat like a normal game, if they can get through to the end of the day they'll be pretty happy and we can go from there."
BBC coverage
BBC Radio Test Match Special
As you might have guessed by Michael Vaughan's presence in the live text, Test Match Special is now on the air. You can listen on radio or online through a variety of smart devices. Enjoy.
Cricketing Food XI
Join the debate at #bbccricket
Leeds Spireites: Surely Namibia's Sarel Burger.
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Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special
"Australia have got plenty of time and if they bat anything like they'll potentially give England a bit of a scare but there are a few smaller cracks which have got a bit larger so if England bowl like they did in the first innings I think it will be very difficult for Australia and England will win today."
Aussies confident?
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Sam Sheringham
BBC Sport at Cardiff
There seemed to be more Aussies than ever on the walk to the ground this morning and, to a man, they were talking up their chances. "We could do this today", "Davey Warner should smash it from the start", and "Even Mitchell Johnson could crack a fifty against this lot" were among the one-eyed battle cries overheard on the banks of the Taff. All bluff and bluster? We will soon find out.
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Totum: Spare a thought for Shane Watson's pads this morning. They know at some point later they're going to be hit by a fast hard ball.
Lyon confident in Aussies
When asked about his team's chances today, Australia bowler Nathan Lyon was upbeat.
"If we bat two days we will win this game," he said. "There are plenty of positive players in our changing room and there is no reason why we can't get over 400 on that wicket.
"We've got to learn from our first innings with the bat and be more patient."
Scorecard
Let's remind ourselves of the scores on the doors.
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Some cake that, isn't it? Shall we get a cricketing food XI going? Or feel free to send other pictures of cricket-related food you have made in the past. You can tweet us, using #bbccricket, send a text to 81111 or post to the BBC Sport Facebook and Google+ pages. On email... then ping a message to tms@bbc.co.uk.
TMS cakes
I hope Simon saves us a slice...
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Right... standby for the best cake I've seen in a very long time.
Player view
What do the players think will happen over these next couple of days? England batsman Ian Bell is wary of getting too carried away.
"In Ashes cricket, anything's possible," said Bell. "I'm sure they'll back themselves to come and get close, if not knock it off, so we know we've got a lot of hard work to do.
"It's a slow wicket, but there is a little bit of uneven bounce. The trick is to put enough balls in the right area to get that to happen for you."
Listen to TMS abroad
Following the Ashes abroad? On your jollies? Lucky you.
Did you know you can listen to TMS commentary in Europe and North America? Click here.
Unfortunately, because of rights issues, this is not available in the UK, Sri Lanka, India, Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan and Bangladesh.
TMS are on air from 10:25 BST.
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Pint-sized Ashes
As ever, the Pint-Sized Ashes has delivered the goods. It's a funny, informative round-up of the day's play which you can watch here.
Rain, rain, stay away
Perhaps one other factor which could prevent an England victory would be the rain, because the forecast for tomorrow is a little dodgy.
BBC Weather's Chris Fawkes explains: "There will be rain in Cardiff during Sunday morning but the timing of the clearance of the rain is a little uncertain. Most of our computer models clear the rain before play is due to start so this is the most likely outcome, the worst case scenario is that rain could linger till around midday. Sunday afternoon looks mostly dry though with skies brightening up, but there is a small chance of a fleeting afternoon shower."
Why Australia *might* win
I don't think you should be a lone voice, Danny (see tweet below). England have got to be heavy favourites, but in Michael Clarke and Steve Smith Australia have two men who can make it tough. I seem to remember Clarke cracking an imperious 136 as Australia scored 406 in their four innings at Lord's in 2009.
And just this week, Pakistan completed their highest ever run chase in Test cricket and the sixth-highest of all time to secure a 2-1 series win over Sri Lanka. The tourists finished on 382-3 in Pallekele to claim a seven-wicket win in the final and decisive Test.
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Stuie Neale: England in great position, definitely backing them to do it before tomorrow by close. England by 150 runs.
Adam Davies: Hoping England can wrap it up in the first hour for all the club cricketers out there! Either that or wait till Sunday!
Danny Reeves: Morning all. Am I the only one who feels Australia aren't quite dead and buried yet?
England have been flawless - Agnew
Another man backing England to win is BBC cricket correspondent Jonathan Agnew, who told this website: "This is a very different England team to the one that was whitewashed down under 18 months ago and if Australia didn't know that before this Ashes series, they do now.
"Alastair Cook's team are in a great position from which to take a 1-0 lead in the five-match series and after Friday's flawless performance that is exactly what they deserve."
Highest chases in Test history
If Australia do win this game they will go third on this illustrious list...
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Is that Anna and Elsa from Frozen?!
No chance for Australia - Boycott
So can Australia pull this Ashes Test out of the fire? Geoffrey Boycott won't be betting his fedora on it.
"There is no way they are going to get it - they do not have a cat in hell's chance," Boycott told Test Match Special. "Their batting is OK but not special."
Today's weather forecast
BBC Weather's Chris Fawkes: "After a glorious sunny start to the day in Cardiff, cloud will build later this morning. It will stay dry today with sunny spells for most of the match, but will tend to cloud over late in the afternoon. Rain will arrive late evening, but this should be well after stumps. Maximum temperature 21C."
Watson in the spotlight
The Australian press, who mercilessly took apart England two winters ago, are now training their guns on their own players - with burly all-rounder Shane Watson in the firing line for his lbw-prone batting and uninspiring bowling.
The headline on one particular article says it all: 'Time to go, Watto'.
Former Aussie wicketkeeper Ian Healy, speaking on television commentary down under, said: "He's not lively enough for me. To be a senior player who is supposed to be leading the brand.
"He's very heavy. He's very thoughtful rather than inspirational at the moment. To get eight overs only (in the first innings), he needed to shoulder more of the workload."
Clarke on the retreat?
Jonathan Liew, writing in the Telegraph, suggests the Aussies are very much on the back foot: particularly skipper Michael Clarke who is showing signs of worry.
Liew writes: "Clarke spends most of his time in the field standing at second slip under a wide-brimmed sunhat, constantly scanning. He has two minor tics.
"The first is a little scrape of his studs on the turf every few balls, almost as if marking out his territory. The second is lifting his sunhat a fraction, adjusting the expensively-coiffured hair beneath, and then replacing it. When things are going well, you would barely notice.
"When things are going badly, the same movements become a little more pronounced. He begins scraping a little harder, adjusting his hair a little more, scanning the field ever more furiously. By the end of Friday's play, he was scuffing the turf so hard dust was flying up to his ankles and running his fingers through his hair so spectacularly he was in danger of tearing it out."
Back pages
Let's dive into today's newspapers for a moment, where The Sun suggest the Aussies will be 'skittled' by England in their second innings.
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Good to have you with us this morning. How you feeling? Nervous? Excited? Or just tired because you had a better than average Friday night?
Let's have plenty of chat from you guys this morning. Usual drill: tweet us, using #bbccricket, send a text to 81111 or post to the BBC Sport Facebook and Google+ pages.
Can the Aussies do it?
Morning one and all. It's all set up nicely, isn't it? A target of 412 in 180 overs.
If Australia were to achieve it, it would be the biggest run chase in Ashes history and the third best in Test history.
They'd have to go some... but we all know these things never pan out as expected. There's bound to be some drama. Remember Edgbaston 2005? Of course you do.
Four, one, two
Four hundred and 12.
But none of that concerns us today. In cricketing currency, Australia need 412 runs to win the opening Ashes Test of 2015.
England's task is clear... they need 10 wickets. Only when this little sporting war is over will Ashes peace break out. Until next Thursday, that is.