Join the debate at #bbcafcon2015published at 17:44 Greenwich Mean Time 28 January 2015
BBC Sport's Matthew Kenyon in Malabo:, external There are a lot of #Mali fans here today. They've been in for a couple of hours. #Guinea here too.
Lots will be drawn to decide if Mali or Guinea go through
Guinea 1-1 Mali
Ivory Coast through as Max Gradel goal beats Cameroon
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Luke Reddy and Andy Cryer
BBC Sport's Matthew Kenyon in Malabo:, external There are a lot of #Mali fans here today. They've been in for a couple of hours. #Guinea here too.
So a former Afcon winner - Abdoulaye Traore - says Ivory Coast have missed out in their golden generation.
Can you think of any other teams or sportsmen who did not deliver when it looked like they had all the tools to do so?
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Abdoulaye Traore, who won the African Cup of Nations with Ivory Coast in 1992, believes the current crop of players will have missed an opportunity if they don't lift another title.
He told the BBC: "My heart bleeds when I see that this team, full of talent, has not yet won a trophy. Individually they are good players but football is a collective sport; you are all together, if you do not love each other, if one of you has something in his heart like frustration there can never, never be a good result.
"For me it is a lost generation, they have not yet brought one trophy home. Any coach in the world - even Jose Mourinho - would dream of coaching a team like this. Unfortunately we do not have a team, we have individuals."
An Ivory Coast exit certainly wouldn't be bad news for Manchester City with Yaya Toure and Wilfried Bony potentially home in time to face Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday...
I can imagine Mourinho now, in front of his TV screen, screaming for the Ivorians...
An Ivory Coast exit may today may well draw smiles at the desks of one or two Premier League managers.
The Elephants have the greatest number of England-based players among their party and exit would see Yaya Toure and Wilfried Bony return to Manchester City, Kolo Toure make his way back to Liverpool and Cheick Tiote catch a flight back to Newcastle.
Kenny Jackett at Wolves also has an interest. His striker Bakary Sako will lead the line for Mali.
So far, Mali, Guinea, Ivory Coast and Cameroon have all shared 1-1 draws in the four matches played in this group. They therefore have the same head-to-head, goal difference and goal scored records.
So as Mali take on Guinea and Ivory Coast face Cameroon today, a winner in either match is guaranteed to go through
If we have two draws of the same score line, all four teams will enter a draw where two will be picked to progress
If one match is a draw and more goals are scored than in the other fixture which is also a draw, the sides from the highest scoring draw will go through courtesy of goals scored
If there is a winner in one fixture but a draw in the other, the victorious team is through but the two teams to draw will be deadlocked and again separated by drawing lots.
So why have we started this live text like some sort of National Lottery presenter?
Because Group D brings together four teams who have so far all played out 1-1 draws, the likelihood of qualification being decided by the drawing of lots has increased.
This would take place post-match news conferences and we will tell you exactly how that could happen next...
Welcome to the African Lottery of Nations.
Yes, you read that correctly. Today we have a little bit of football on hand and then could quite possibly turn our attention to a raffle/ lottery/ prize draw/ call it what you will.
Feeling lucky?