Summary

  • Bank of England holds interest rates at 0.25%

  • Carney raises 2017 growth and inflation forecasts

  • Sterling extends gains on interest rate decision

  • Sir Philip Green pursued by pensions regulator over BHS

  • UK services sector grows in October

  1. 'No pressure'published at 13:22 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    More from BBC economics editor at MPC press conference

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  2. What impact will BoE decision have on currency markets?published at 13:19 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    CurrenciesImage source, Getty Images
    Quote Message

    We expect the market to rapidly price out the prospect of the Bank cutting rates in the coming months, and even years. GBP/USD has reacted to this news by rallying back to earlier highs; we could see the pound break back above $1.25 on the back of this, and open the way to a higher range for cable between £$1.25 and $1.30, at least until the December court ruling on Article 50.

    Kathleen Brooks, Head of research at City Index

  3. FTSE 100 underwhelmedpublished at 13:18 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    The Bank of England's decision to keep interest rates on hold and raise its growth and inflation forecasts for 2017 has left the London market pretty underwhelmed.

    A short while ago the FTSE 100 was barely changed at 6,815.41 which is a fall of 0.44% or 30 points. 

  4. Brexit impact 'hard to gauge'published at 13:12 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    Ian Stewart, chief economist at Deloitte, comments on Bank of England forecasts

    Quote Message

    The big upgrades to the Bank's growth forecasts for this year, and next, underscore the difficulty of gauging the impact of Brexit, even in the short term. Forecasts for how Brexit is likely to affect growth in the long term are even more speculative and uncertain. With growth and inflation over the next 18 months running well above the Bank's earlier expectations, monetary easing has moved to the back burner.

  5. Not out of the economic woods?published at 13:07 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    Get the BBC economics editor's take on the MPC's announcements

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  6. Market volatility 'not based on facts', says Carneypublished at 13:05 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    Mark Carney says financial markets have made a much more negative projection about the type of Brexit we will have - and its effect on growth - than the Bank has.

    "Those are judgments, they are not based on facts, because the [Brexit] negotiation process has not really begun yet," he adds. 

  7. Not just about interest rates and inflation ...published at 13:02 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    BBC economics editor tweets from Mark Carney presser

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  8. Weak pound's impact on inflation 'temporary'published at 13:00 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    Bank of England tweets

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  9. Inflation report 'hawkish'published at 12:57 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    Quote Message

    The tone of the Inflation Report was more hawkish than we anticipated. Not surprisingly, inflation is now projected to rise above the 2% target next year, but the MPC has signalled clearly that there are limits to which this can be tolerated. Moreover, the minutes showed no dissents in favours of a further rate cut today and, in light of recent strong economic data, that its previous guidance of a further rate cut had ‘expired’.

    Hann Ju-Ho, Senior economist, Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking

  10. 'Neutral' approach to future interest ratespublished at 12:57 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    The MPC made it clear in its statement that "there are limits to the extent to which above-target inflation can be tolerated.  "Those limits depend, for example, on the cause of the inflation overshoot, the extent of second-round effects on inflation expectations and domestic costs, and the scale of the shortfall in economic activity below potential."   

    Asked about this at the press conference, Mark Carney said the MPC was looking at what happens to supply, demand and the exchange rate, and it was the balance of those that would determine whether additional easing or tightening of monetary policy would be appropriate. 

    Since the summer, he added, demand had been stronger, not much has been learned about supply and there's been a bigger inflation overshoot because of the fall in the pound. 

    So he said the stance of MPC policy at present was appropriate and "we have a neutral bias" to policy going forward.

  11. Carney on Brexit vote rulingpublished at 12:48 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    Commenting on the High Court ruling on Article 50, Bank of England governor Mark Carney said: "It is an example of the uncertainty that will characterise this process."

  12. Lower income growth 'inevitable', says Carneypublished at 12:47 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    Mark Carney says says that while growth will be stronger in the short term, it will be weaker than forecast in the medium term.  

    CPI inflation is also set to be higher than previously thought over the next three years, because of the depreciation of sterling. 

    As a result, he says "lower real income growth" is inevitable. 

    "The only question is how this comes about. It can happen either through the compression of nominal wage growth and higher unemployment, or through a faster rise in consumer prices and a slower rise in joblessness." 

    The MPC favours the latter path - but says there are limits to how much inflation can be "tolerated".

  13. MPC 'overlooked strong consumption growth', says Carneypublished at 12:41 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    Carney

    Mark Carney is giving a press conference. Since August demand growth has been "materially better", he says, which explains the upwardly revised forecasts.  

    He says MPC had missed strong consumption growth in its previous forecasts - jobs and employment are also growing. 

    Positive consumer sentiment is also supporting the housing market, he says. 

  14. Rate cut back on agenda before too long?published at 12:33 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    More rate decision reaction

    Quote Message

    The Bank has said inflation will climb to 2.7% late next year. But the market shouldn’t get excited about any imminent interest rate hike to choke that inflation off. This is a temporary pick-up and not the start of a long-term trend. Indeed, with its longer term GDP growth forecast revised down because of the eventual impact that Brexit will have on the economy, a rate cut might be back on the agenda before too long.

    Paul Diggle, Senior economist, Aberdeen Asset Management

  15. Pound trading up 1.45%published at 12:29 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    The pound is now up 1.45% against the dollar, following the publication of the Bank of England's forecasts and an earlier boost from the Supreme Court ruling allowing MPs to vote on the triggering of article 50.  

    Pound vs dollar
  16. Over to you, Chancellorpublished at 12:22 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    Peter Hemington, head of corporate finance at accountants BDO, reckons there is only so much the Bank of England can do to boost the economy.

    It is now up to Philip Hammond who presents his first Autumn Statement as Chancellor on 23 November.

    He says: “We are at the point where monetary policy can’t do a lot to help the economy – even though a boost to growth is definitely needed. So we understand why the Bank of England has felt itself unable to do anything this month.

    "The attention now shifts to the Chancellor, who has a golden opportunity to make a name for himself in the Autumn Statement by using fiscal policy to address the UK’s current economic woes.”

  17. Exchange rates will 'hit incomes hard'published at 12:18 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    Bank forecasts suggest pain lies ahead, says FT economics editor

  18. Interest rates could move in 'either direction'published at 12:17 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    BBC economics editor tweets

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  19. Bank's highest inflation forecast everpublished at 12:15 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016

    BBC business producer tweets

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  20. Bank upgrades 2016 growth forecastpublished at 12:13 Greenwich Mean Time 3 November 2016
    Breaking

    Despite gloomier forecasts on inflation, the Bank of England has said it expects the UK economy to grow by 2.2% this year up, up from 2%.

    It's also revised its 2017 figures to 1.4% - up from 0.8% - although it's cut its outlook for 2018 to 1.5% from 1.8%.