Summary

  • Fed raises benchmark interest rate to a range of 0.75% to 1%

  • US growth forecast at 2.1% in 2017 and 2018

  • Chancellor in U-turn on National Insurance increase

  • NI increase did not meet "spirit" of Tory manifesto

  • Get in touch: bizlivepage@bbc.co.uk

  1. Business sentiment 'favourable' - Yellenpublished at 18:37 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    Fed chief Janet Yellen is delivering her analysis to the press conference. 

    Business investment has "firmed somewhat" and business sentiment is "favourable", she said. 

    Unemployment is "near a recent low" and "labour market underutilisation" - so-called slack, which depresses wages, is also "low, she said. 

    Energy prices are now feeding into inflation and she anticipates 2% core inflation in the next couple of years, she adds. 

  2. Fed predicts 2.1% US growth in 2017 and 2018published at 18:31 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    The central bank has issued updated forecasts for the US economy, which are little changed. 

    Officials are expecting economic growth of 2.1% this year and next, falling to 1.9% in 2019. 

    These forecasts are well below the 4% growth that President Donald Trump has said he can produce with his economic policies. 

  3. 'Fed faces a tricky path from here'published at 18:25 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    Janet Yellen, Fed chairImage source, Getty Images

    Luke Bartholomew, an investment manager Aberdeen Asset Management, says the Fed faces a "tricky path from here". 

    "The question now is how quickly the next few hikes come," he says.

    "Over the last few years they’ve consistently overestimated how many hikes they will deliver because the economy has turned out weaker than they expected.

    "But now the risk is that the Fed will need to catch up with easier fiscal policy and stronger growth outlook.

    "Meanwhile, they’re facing increasingly shrill calls for their independence to be curtailed."

  4. Markets jump as Fed raises ratespublished at 18:17 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    Dow Jones chartImage source, Google

    The main US share indices have jumped following the Fed's decision to raise interest rates.

    As this chart shows, the Dow Jones is now trading 0.48% higher at 20,936.94. 

    The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are also up by 0.66% and 0.56% respectively.   

  5. 'More rate rises expected' - Fedpublished at 18:11 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    US Federal ReserveImage source, Reuters

    It its statement, the FOMC adds: "The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. 

    "However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data."  

  6. Job gains 'solid' as inflation risespublished at 18:09 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    Justifying its decision, the Fed pointed to fresh employment and inflation figures showing an economy in strong health. 

    It said: "Job gains remained solid and the unemployment rate was little changed in recent months. 

    "Household spending has continued to rise moderately while business fixed investment appears to have firmed somewhat. 

    "Inflation has increased in recent quarters, moving close to the Committee's 2% longer-run objective; excluding energy and food prices, inflation was little changed and continued to run somewhat below 2%."

  7. Only one FOMC member dissentspublished at 18:05 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    All but one member of the Federal Open Market Committee voted for a rate hike.

    Only Neel Kashkari, who preferred at this meeting to maintain the existing target range for the federal funds rate, dissented. 

  8. US Federal Reserve raises ratespublished at 18:03 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017
    Breaking

    The Fed, as expected, has raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point to 0.75-1%.

    It said, external : "In view of realised and expected labour market conditions and inflation, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate.

    "The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting some further strengthening in labour market conditions and a sustained return to 2% inflation."

  9. US markets climb ahead of Fed rate decisionpublished at 17:54 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    Janet Yellen, Fed chiefImage source, Getty Images

    US markets picked up on Wednesday ahead of the end of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting. 

    The US central bank will make an announcement shortly, and analysts say it is highly likely to raise interest rates - for the third time since 2008 - to reflect the gathering steam in the US economy.

    We'll also be getting the latest American inflation and wage figures.

    In early afternoon trade the Dow Jones had gained 0.22% to 20,883.43, the S&P 500 was up 0.38% at 2,374.62, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.3% higher at 5,874.22.

  10. No 10: We didn't breach manifestopublished at 17:43 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    BBC assistant political editor tweets...

  11. MP 'in some difficulty' after backing NIC risepublished at 17:26 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    Sir Desmond Swayne amused MPs by recanting an article he wrote in support of the tax increase - before it is even published.

    "I'm in some difficulty", he said in the Commons. "My article robustly supporting the Chancellor's earlier policy in the Forest Journal is already with the printer."

    The New Forest West MP said he was "persuaded of the correctness" of Mr Hammond's U-turn but that he "merely needed an opportunity in which to recant". 

  12. 'Is UK prepared to pay more taxes for public services?'published at 17:06 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    Douglas Fraser
    Scotland business & economy editor

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  13. 'PM has full confidence in Chancellor'published at 16:56 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    ITV political editor, Robert Peston tweets:

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  14. NICs U-turn: Are pensions at risk?published at 16:53 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    BBC business editor tweets...

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  15. 'Reducing wasteful spending'published at 16:48 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    The Conservatives' 2015 manifesto pledge

    Quote Message

    Our approach is focused on reducing wasteful spending, making savings in welfare, and continuing to crack down on tax evasion and aggressive avoidance. This means that we can commit to no increases in VAT, Income Tax or National Insurance.

  16. 'Overriding sense of superiority'published at 16:42 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    BBC political editor Laura Kuenssberg writes:

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  17. Fixing personal injury claims 'would fill NICs shortfall'published at 16:34 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    Man holding his neck in a car

    With the NICs U-turn likely to leave a £2bn hole in the public finances, commentators have been offering the Chancellor ideas about how make up the shortfall.

    James Dalton of the Association of British Insurers, said: “The government  can fill the void in its accounts by bringing in a more sensible discount rate used to calculate personal injury compensation. 

    "As last week’s Budget confirmed, the ill-judged decision to reduce the discount rate to minus 0.75% will lead to a massive £6 billion hit on the NHS so this seems an obvious course of action to take." 

  18. Are the self-employed really underpaying NICs?published at 16:24 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    BBC personal finance correspondent tweets...

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  19. Does government need a fresh mandate?published at 16:18 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    Philip Hammond, Chancellor, Downing StreetImage source, Getty Images

    The NICs U-turn suggests the government is struggling to get through "even moderately unpopular policies", says Tom McPhail, head of retirement policy at Hargreaves Lansdown.

    "[This] was a modest and re-distributive measure which would have helped bring the self-employed National Insurance rates closer into alignment with the increased state pension benefits they now enjoy," he says.

    "If this is how it is going to be until 2020, the government might be better off triggering an early general election in pursuit of a fresh mandate and an increased majority."

    In the meantime, he says the U-turn will increase pressure in other areas of fiscal policy and "may increase the risk of further pension tax tinkering in the Autumn Budget".

  20. 'Not much left for Autumn Budget'published at 16:08 Greenwich Mean Time 15 March 2017

    Money Box presenter, Paul Lewis tweets:

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