What does Ukraine do with seized territory now?published at 17:24 British Summer Time 14 August
Jonathan Beale
Defence correspondent
It’s still not clear how long Ukraine will try to hold on to its territorial gains – whether it wants to use it as some kind of bargaining chip for any potential peace talks in the future.
But Justin Crump, a former British Army Officer, says holding on to territory could prove less costly than taking ground, dependent on how Russia reacts. The evidence so far suggests that Russia views this as an incursion, rather than an invasion and is still more focussed on keeping up its grinding offensive in Eastern Ukraine.
What’s happened in Kursk is a symbolic rather than a decisive blow for President Putin.
The greatest threat to Ukrainian forces now is not having enough troops to control all the territory it’s seized -making them more vulnerable to infiltration, ambushes and sabotage.
It’s still not clear how many Ukrainian troops have been involved in this operation, but Crump estimates it’s a well-trained force of between six to 18,000.
Russian airstrikes will also be a concern. But Ukraine’s raiding forces appear to have been prepared for that – already claiming to have shot down a number Russian helicopters and jets.
This incursion will not be enough to create panic in the Kremlin, but it’s already extracting a toll.