Reality Check

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If politicians fail to agree a trade deal, then following Brexit trading between the UK and the European Union would be subject to tariffs. But who would make the most from those tariffs?

A report out this morning from the Civitas think tank says that EU countries would have to pay more.

It's covered in a number of papers, including the Guardian., external

The key paragraph in the Civitas report is: "This is a reflection of the current balance of trade between the EU and the UK. As a net importer of EU goods the UK government would potentially collect over twice as much in tariffs on EU goods than would be levied on UK goods going to the EU."

What it doesn't consider is whether the sales of UK goods in the EU or EU goods in the UK would be affected by these tariffs. Clearly if tariffs were introduced prices would go up, which would be expected to reduce sales of both UK exports and imports. That makes the report a somewhat less useful guide to how trade would look post-Brexit.

Westminster Hour
Radio 4's Westminster Hour

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The EU is making a last-ditch effort to rescue the landmark Ceta trade deal with Canada after Belgium's Wallonia region rejected a Monday deadline.

"It won't be possible to respect this ultimatum," Walloon Parliament Speaker Andre Antoine told RTL radio.

European Council President Donald Tusk is expected to inform Canada late on Monday whether the Ceta signing can go ahead on Thursday.

Belgium needs Walloon support to sign Ceta, which the rest of the EU backs.

The Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (Ceta) is the EU's most ambitious free trade deal to date. It would remove nearly all tariffs in trade between the EU market of 508 million people and the world's 10th biggest economy.

A signing ceremony has long been planned for Thursday in Brussels, with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau flying in for it. But Wallonia's objections have put those plans on hold.

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The leaders of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are in London to take part in a Joint Ministerial Committee on Brexit negotiation positions for their nations with Prime Minister Theresa May. 

The Daily Politics

Jo Coburn is joined by former Conservative minister Nick Herbert and Labour’s Gisela Stuart to discuss the closure of the migrant camps in Calais and Theresa May’s meeting with the leaders of the devolved administrations to discuss Brexit.

There will also be an interview with Stephen Tindale, the former head of Greenpeace, about his support for fracking after they watch his personal film (below). The programme is live on BBC Two from 12:00 to 13:00 BST.

The leaders of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland sent letters to Theresa May last week, outlining their positions ahead of today's Joint Ministerial Committee meeting.

Here's Arlene Foster and Martin McGuinness' letter from Stormont, external.

Financial Times

The FT has a round up of some of the outcomes of the decision to leave the EU for businesses in the UK.

Winners identified in the article include foreign property investors, who have taken advantage of the falling value of the pound. 

London's housing market has seen an increase in overseas investors, with "upmarket areas" like Richmond and Hampstead seeing the percentage of buyers from abroad up 6% since the referendum. 

Domestic tourism is another potential winning industry, as a weaker pound increases the cost of foreign travel.

Other parts of the travel industry aren't so pleased, however. EasyJet says currency movements cost it £35 million more than expected, as aircraft fuel and landing charges at overseas airports are priced in foreign currencies. 

Read more: Picture of Brexit winners begins to emerge, external

The Daily Telegraph

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Writing in the Daily Telegraph, Sir Howard Davies, chairman of the Airports Commission, has argued in favour of building a third runway at London's Heathrow Airport. 

Saying that "the case for Heathrow is overwhelming today", Sir Howard argues that in a post-Brexit world, the UK needs to expand the west London airport in order to bring in more income from overseas tourists and freight.

He adds that a commitment to expand the airport, ending decades of indecision, would give out a good impression of the UK's "future as a trading nation."

Read more: I ran the Airports Commission: Forget Gatwick. Expand Heathrow now and Birmingham later. , external

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More than 1,200 police and officials in France have begun an operation to clear the "Jungle" migrant camp in Calais.

The camp has been housing some 7,000 people in squalid conditions.

Migrants queued peacefully to be processed, and the first of some 60 coaches that will carry them to refugee centres across France, has now left.

There is concern that some migrants will refuse to go because they still want to get to Britain, and there were some clashes over the weekend.

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Theresa May is expected to offer the Welsh Government a formal seat in talks to shape the UK's EU exit strategy.

The joint ministerial council (JMC), which includes the first minister and the prime minister, meets on Monday for the first time since 2014.

Carwyn Jones has said Wales must play a positive and active part in Brexit talks, as he prepares to meet with the UK's top politicians.

The prime minister said it was "imperative" Wales helped make it work.

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The prime minister is to offer the leaders of the three devolved governments a "direct line" to Brexit Secretary David Davis ahead of the UK's negotiations to leave the EU.

Theresa May is due to hold talks with the first ministers at Downing Street.

The Scottish and Welsh leaders want the devolved legislatures and Parliament to all have a vote on Mr Davis's approach.

Mrs May says she is "ready to listen" to their ideas but the final position must work for the whole of the UK.

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