'Did the EU believe the UK would leave?'published at 11:46 Greenwich Mean Time 1 February 2017
European Scrutiny Committee
Select Committee
Parliament
Labour's Kate Hoey asks a question referring back to pre-referendum negotiations, and asks whether any of the other 27 EU countries really believed that there was a big possibility of the UK voting to leave.
"Did you ever say that things were looking bad?" she probes.
Sir Ivan confirms that he told EU colleages repeatedly that the vote was a "50:50 shot".
He says he has been thinking about a post-exit Britain for many years, and told his key opposite numbers "don't underestimate this, there's a very serious risk of this referendum being lost."
"Did you tell the Prime Minister (David Cameron) this?" asks Ms Hoey,
"Yes," replies Sir Ivan.