Summary

  • Finance Secretary Derek Mackay delivers the draft Budget 2019-20.

  • Income tax rates will remain the same as last year with the higher rate threshold being frozen.

  • However, the starter and lower rate threshold will be increased by inflation.

  • A no deal Brexit could affect the Scottish government's spending plans, the minister tells MSPs.

  1. Postpublished at 14:17 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  2. Scottish Budget: How will the money be spent?published at 14:14 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

    Health and educationImage source, Thinkstock/PA
    Image caption,

    Derek Mackay is expected to focus on health and education

    Health is likely to feature in Mr Mackay's speech in a big way, with the government keen to underline its commitment to funding the NHS. Expect a row over the amount of money being passed on in "Barnett consequentials" from Westminster as a result of spending south of the border.

    Education will also get a look in, oft quoted as it is as the government's "top priority". Will there be extra money going direct to schools, like the Pupil Equity Fund?

  3. Postpublished at 14:10 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  4. Scottish Budget: What's going to happen?published at 14:06 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

    Philip Sim
    BBC Scotland political reporter

    Income tax

    Well, to start with, in his UK Budget in October, the chancellor announced that the tax-free allowance (and thus the point at which people start paying income tax) was rising to £12,500. That applies in Scotland, too.

    What doesn't apply though was his move to raise the higher-rate threshold (HRT) to £50,000. And Mr Mackay has previously indicated that he has no intention of passing on such a tax break for higher earners.

    The Fraser of Allander Institute has modelled a number of potential approaches, external, and suggest that matching the UK HRT would cost about £280m, while freezing it in place would raise an extra £60m for spending - with that money coming out of the pay cheques of higher earners.

    Income taxImage source, bbc

    At present, it seems like Mr Mackay will raise the thresholds by the current rate of inflation, at the most. It's a sort of "steady as she goes" approach when you look just at the Scottish budget, but in the wider context it does mean the gap between the regimes north and south of the border is growing.

    This means the government in Edinburgh brings in more money to be spent on public services, but it also means those earning more money are stumping up more than they would if they lived in England or Wales.

    The Fraser of Allander Institute calculates that raising the Scottish higher rate threshold by the rate of inflation only will see people earning £50,000 in Scotland pay £1,350 more than they would if they lived south of the border.

    And that's just income tax - there are also National Insurance Contributions (NICs) to think of, which drop from 12% to 2% at theUKhigher rate threshold. That means any earnings that fall into the gap in between the Scottish and rUK HRTs have an overall (or marginal) tax rate of 53%.

  5. Postpublished at 14:04 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  6. Postpublished at 14:03 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  7. Background: Scottish budget to be set out 'under Brexit shadow'published at 14:00 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

    Long-term infrastructure projects are set to play a part in Derek Mackay's budget announcementImage source, bbc
    Image caption,

    Long-term infrastructure projects are set to play a part in Derek Mackay's budget announcement

    Scottish Finance Secretary Derek Mackay is to set out his tax and spending plans for the coming year at Holyrood "under the shadow" of Brexit.

    Mr Mackay will make his draft budget announcement on Wednesday afternoon.

    He said he would "protect essential public services and boost our economy" despite the UK's "chaotic approach to Brexit which hangs over our economy".

    However, opposition parties have warned ministers that they will need to work hard to get the plans through a vote.

    The Greens have refused to enter formal talks about supporting the minority SNP administration until they see progress on local government finance reform, and the Lib Dems have pulled out of negotiations altogether.

  8. Portfolio questions: Health and sportpublished at 13:54 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

    HealthImage source, bbc

    MSPs will now quiz health and sport ministers during portfolio questions.

    click here for what they'll be asking. , external

  9. Coming up in the chamber.................published at 13:40 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

    Derek Mackay will be presenting his third draft budget as Scottish finance secretaryImage source, PA
    Image caption,

    Derek Mackay will be presenting his third draft budget as Scottish finance secretary

    It's a huge afternoon at Holyrood, with the Scottish draft budget and a statement on Brexit (and probably the no confidence vote).

    We'll bring you extensive coverage of both throughout today, with analysis and reports, as well as all the social media reaction.

    BrexitImage source, PA/Getty Images

    After portfolio questions, at 2.40pm, Brexit Secretary Mike Russell will make his statement.

    Then it’s budget time. Join us for extensive coverage and analysis from 3.25pm until 5pm.

    Tory MSP Gordon Lindhurst will then lead a member’s debate marking the Korean War.

  10. Postpublished at 12:30 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  11. Postpublished at 12:29 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  12. Postpublished at 12:28 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  13. Postpublished at 12:26 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  14. Back to Westminster...................published at 12:24 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  15. Postpublished at 12:23 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  16. Meanwhile at Holyrood.........published at 12:22 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  17. Postpublished at 12:21 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  18. Postpublished at 12:20 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  19. Postpublished at 12:19 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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  20. Postpublished at 12:18 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2018

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