Football clubs overspent by 30% on players - CIES Football Observatory study
- Published
European clubs paid on average 30% more than a player was worth during the recent transfer window, a study says.
The CIES Football Observatory,, external using a transfer value algorithm, claims Paris St-Germain's proposed 180m euro (£165.7m) deal to sign Monaco forward Kylian Mbappe was the most overpriced.
It says the fee was 87.4m euros (£80.4m) more than his estimated worth.
The study also suggests Manchester City overpaid by 29m euros to sign Benjamin Mendy from Monaco for 57.5m.
The Football Observatory uses various statistics, including age, goals and points won by the team, to calculate a value, external for a player.
Greatest gaps between fees paid and estimated values (summer 2017) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Move | Estimated (euros) | Actual fee (euros) | Gap (euros) |
Kylian Mbappe | Monaco to PSG | 92.6 | 180 | +87.4 |
Ousmane Dembele | Borussia Dortmund to Barcelona | 95.8 | 147 | +51.2 |
Benjamin Mendy | Monaco to Man City | 28.5 | 57.5 | +29 |
Jordan Pickford | Sunderland to Everton | 6.8 | 34.3 | +27.5 |
Gylfi Sigurdsson | Swansea to Everton | 24.1 | 49.3 | +25.2 |
Mamadou Sakho | Liverpool to Crystal Palace | 5.3 | 28.2 | +22.9 |
Patrik Schick | Sampdoria to Roma | 21 | 42 | +21 |
Nemanja Matic | Chelsea to Man Utd | 30.2 | 50.3 | +20.1 |
Mohamed Salah | Roma to Liverpool | 69.4 | 50 | -19.4 |
Harry Maguire | Hull to Leicester | 3.1 | 21.6 | +18.5 |
All figures from CIES Football Observatory |
Goalkeeper Jordan Pickford, 23, left Sunderland for Everton for 34.3m euros (£31.6m) in the summer was called up to the England squad last month.
However, according to the Football Observatory, that fee was 27.5m euros (£23.5m) more than Pickford's estimated worth.
The study also said Manchester United overpaid by 20.1m euros (£18.5m) to sign Nemanja Matic from Chelsea, although former England striker and BBC pundit Ian Wright described it as the "last part of the jigsaw" for United.
Mohamed Salah's 50m euro (£46m) move from Roma to Liverpool was less than the forward's estimated value of 69.4m euros (£63.9m).
Greatest gaps between fees paid and estimated values in Premier League (summer 2017) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Move | Estimated (euros) | Actual fee (euros) | Gap (euros) |
Benjamin Mendy | Monaco to Man City | 28.5 | 57.5 | +29 |
Jordan Pickford | Sunderland v Everton | 6.8 | 34.3 | +27.5 |
Gylfi Sigurdsson | Swansea to Everton | 24.1 | 49.3 | +25.2 |
Mamadou Sakho | Liverpool to Crystal Palace | 5.3 | 28.2 | +22.9 |
Nemanja Matic | Chelsea v Man Utd | 30.2 | 50.3 | +20.1 |
Mohamed Salah | Roma to Liverpool | 69.4 | 50 | -19.4 |
Harry Maguire | Hull to Leicester | 3.1 | 21.6 | +18.5 |
Davide Zappacosta | Torino to Chelsea | 11.8 | 30 | +18.2 |
Antonio Rudiger | Roma to Chelsea | 54.2 | 39 | -15.2 |
Kyle Walker | Tottenham to Man City | 41.3 | 56 | +14.7 |
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain | Arsenal to Liverpool | 30.5 | 43.4 | +12.9 |
All figures from CIES Football Observatory |
Total change or tweak to the transfer system?
According to the Football Observatory, clubs in Europe's big five leagues (England's Premier League, Spain's La Liga, Italy's Serie A, Germany's Bundesliga and France's Ligue 1) spent a record 5.9 billion euros (£5.4bn), a 41% increase on the previous year.
Following Neymar's 222m euros (£204m) move from Barcelona to PSG, world players' union Fifpro criticised the "anti-competitive, unjustified and illegal" transfer rules governed by Fifa and called on the European Commission to investigate transfer fees within the European Union.
The Football Observatory is also keen for the distribution of transfer fees to be addressed, suggesting an increase in indemnities paid to the clubs that develop players.
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