Championship run-in: Leeds or Ipswich - who will join title winners Leicester in Premier League?

A graphic showing Che Adams of Southampton, Crysencio Summerville of Leeds, Kieran McKenna of Ipswich and Kieran Dewsbury-Hall of LeicesterImage source, BBC Sport
Image caption,

Leicester City secured the first automatic promotion spot, and the Championship title

Leicester City won the Championship title with victory at Preston on Monday as they made a swift return to the Premier League.

That leaves Leeds and Ipswich level on points as they bid to join the Foxes in the top flight.

Crucially, Ipswich have a game in hand and play Coventry on Tuesday, knowing four points from their final two games will secure automatic promotion.

Southampton are now destined for the play-offs following their home defeat by Stoke.

BBC Sport examines the run-in and the Opta predictions.

Current table

Team

Played

Points

GD

GS

Form (past 5 games)

1. Leicester

45

97

50

89

LLWWW

2. Leeds

45

90

39

80

LDLWL

3. Ipswich

44

90

32

88

WLDDD

4. Southampton

45

84

23

85

WWLLL

What are the remaining fixtures for each club?

Date

Ipswich

Leicester

Leeds

Southampton

30 April

Coventry (a)

4 May

Huddersfield (h)

Blackburn (h)

Southampton (h)

Leeds (a)

Who are the favourites?

Opta, with its 10,000 'supercomputer' simulations, has Ipswich as favourites to secure the second automatic promotion spot, with Kieran McKenna's side given a 70% chance of automatic promotion.

Leeds' fate is out of their own hands because of Ipswich having a game in hand, which is reflected in them being given a 30% chance of finishing runners-up to the Foxes.

Opta predicts the top three will all finish with more than 90 points. No side has managed that and failed to be promoted in the past 10 seasons.

"The league is spectacular and you're a fool if you try and predict it because there's been so many twists and turns," former Ipswich and Luton striker Sam Parkin told BBC Radio 5 Live.

Former Hull, Derby and Bolton manager Phil Brown said: "It is all about bottle and the pressure. It is all about being able to handle that as a group and club."

What if the teams finish level on points?

Should there be a tie, the league is decided on goal difference, then goals scored, then most points in the head-to-head matches, then goal difference in head-to-head games, before goals scored in those games.

If all of that is level we go to number of wins, then goals scored in away games.

Image source, BBC Sport
Image source, BBC Sport

Related internet links

The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites.