Trump 'has decent shot of winning presidency'published at 02:40 Greenwich Mean Time 9 November 2016
Nate Silver, of the FiveThirtyEight blog, external, says Clinton appears to be on course to win the popular vote by 3% to 4%, in line with national opinion polls.
But - he adds - she is predicted to win only 290 Electoral College votes, a narrow margin of victory, which means Donald Trump has a decent shot of winning the presidency. That might be because Clinton's support is not concentrated in swing states, he suggests.
Silver famously predicted the correct result in all 50 states in 2012.
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