Summary

  • A new deal has been agreed at the UN climate summit in Dubai after days of negotiations

  • For the first time, the deal calls on all countries to move away from using fossil fuels - but not to phase them out, something many governments wanted

  • The text recognises the need for deep, rapid and sustained reductions if humanity is to limit temperature rises to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels

  • The COP28 president said nations had "confronted realities and... set the world in the right direction"

  • Burning fossil fuels drives global warming, risking millions of lives. So far, governments have never collectively agreed to stop using them

  • Island nations hard-hit by climate change are critical - representative Samoa says they were "not in the room" when the deal was approved

  • Campaign groups also say the agreement doesn't go far enough; Greenpeace says it won't be possible to achieve the transition in a "fair and fast manner"

  1. The elephant in the room has been addressed, says Norwaypublished at 04:45 Greenwich Mean Time 13 December 2023

    Esme Stallard
    Climate reporter, at COP28

    Country negotiating teams are starting to come into the Expo Centre here in Dubai ready for the final meeting - which we're told is in about 90 minutes (take that with a big handful of salt).

    They've only had an hour with the new text so far, so some are telling us they need more time.

    Norway's climate minister, Espen Barth Eide, is one of the first out the blocks with reaction:

    Quote Message

    It is the first time that the world unites around such a clear text on the need to transition away from fossil fuels. It has been the elephant in the room. At last we address it head on."

    Espen Barth Eide

    Norway, which has large fossil fuel reserves, has previously been accused of hypocrisy by environmental groups for their stance on fossil fuels.

    Although their production is predicted to decline, its government gave approval for 19 new oil and gas fields earlier this year.

    The Equinor ASA offshore oil drilling platform on Johan Sverdrup oil field in the North Sea off the coast of Norway, on Monday, Feb. 13, 2023Image source, Carina Johansen/Bloomberg via Getty Images
    Image caption,

    Norway is one of the world's largest exporters of natural gas

  2. Air of uncertainty here as people try to understand the proposed dealpublished at 04:27 Greenwich Mean Time 13 December 2023

    Georgina Rannard
    Climate reporter, at COP28

    Huddles of journalists

    Policy experts and activists are huddled around, looking at this latest draft climate deal. Outside the media centre, some are briefing journalists.

    Opinions are split on how ambitious this really is - sometimes a clear consensus emerges, but not today.

    Some people are saying the text is a step forwards in tackling the role of fossil fuels in climate change - but others worry about the inclusion of vague phrases.

    There's a lot more people here than 90 minutes ago when we arrived - we're bringing you reaction as it comes.

  3. How has the language changed on fossil fuels?published at 04:04 Greenwich Mean Time 13 December 2023

    Esme Stallard
    Climate reporter, at COP28

    We're still poring over this document here in the COP28 conference centre. There are a number of changes worth pointing out in the language on fossil fuels:

    Could vs contribute

    The old text said that countries "could" undertake a list of actions. Now the text is "calling on countries to contribute".

    Reducing or transitioning

    The previous draft said countries "could ... reduce both consumption and production of fossil fuels". Now it "calls on" countries to "contribute to ... transitioning away from fossil fuels in energy systems".

    Peaking emissions

    The last draft said that in order to limit global warming to 1.5C, greenhouse gas emissions must peak by 2025. Whereas, the new draft just says that it recognises in scientific modelling that emissions are projected to peak by 2025.

    Different timings

    There is new text recognising that not all countries should be expected to peak their emissions at the same time - and instead it depends on their development. This is the recognition that developing countries wanted for their different economic circumstances.

  4. Analysis

    Draft deal keeps reference to all fossil fuelspublished at 03:45 Greenwich Mean Time 13 December 2023

    Justin Rowlatt
    Climate editor, at COP28

    This document includes a clear reference to the future of all fossil fuels, and that is a first.

    Bizarre as it may sound, fossil fuels have been an effective f-word at these conferences - rarely ever uttered.

    The first time there was an open debate about their future was at COP26 in Glasgow in 2021.

    And all that was finally agreed there was a commitment to “phase down” the use of coal - the dirtiest fossil fuel of them all.

    In this text we have a reference to all fossil fuels - so coal, oil and gas - a big step forward.

  5. Draft deal calls on countries to transition away from fossil fuelspublished at 03:37 Greenwich Mean Time 13 December 2023
    Breaking

    Georgina Rannard
    Climate reporter, at COP28

    We're looking at the draft agreement now.

    It doesn't include any wording on the "phase out of fossil fuels" - something that many governments wanted and was dangled as an option earlier in the talks.

    But it does call for "transitioning away" from fossil fuels.

    The exact text says: "Transitioning away from fossil fuels in energy systems, in a just, orderly and equitable manner, accelerating action in this critical decade, so as to achieve net zero by 2050 in keeping with the science."

  6. We're chasing the key playerspublished at 03:30 Greenwich Mean Time 13 December 2023

    Georgina Rannard
    Climate reporter, at COP28

    Any climate deal struck here must have the consent of all 198 countries – so their reaction to the latest text is vital.

    We've been chasing them ahead of time - here's who we've asked so far.

    First up - Alliance of Small Island States. They represent some of nations most vulnerable to climate change - where sea level rise is destroying homes and stronger storms are killing people. They're usually the soul of the COP - and have strong red lines on keeping average global temperature rise to 1.5 above pre-industrial levels.

    Then the US - a powerful player that said it wanted stronger language on "phasing out fossil fuels" - but is also a major oil and gas exporter.

    Germany's climate minister Jennifer Morgan has already told us that they're focussd on negotiations and won't be commenting.

    We've also asked the UK for its views - yesterday climate minister Graham Stuart said he would not accept a deal that did not phase out fossil fuels.

    We'll be asking plenty others.

  7. Previous draft deal caused furious backlash - will this be different?published at 03:20 Greenwich Mean Time 13 December 2023

    Esme Stallard
    Climate reporter, at COP28

    This new proposed climate deal covers what countries are going to do – or not – on greenhouse gas emissions and fossil fuels.

    Remember the previous version, from Monday evening, caused a backlash from island states, the EU and the UK after the language on "phasing out fossil fuels" was dropped.

    But some developing countries were also disappointed there wasn't more financial support from rich nations to help them develop without coal, oil and gas.

    We're still looking over the detail – it's a chunky document that runs to many pages and is full of eye-wateringly technical language.

  8. New draft climate deal published - after long night of wranglingpublished at 03:14 Greenwich Mean Time 13 December 2023
    Breaking

    It's just gone 07:00 here at COP28 in Dubai and a new draft climate deal has just been published.

    The COP presidency will be hoping it ends the deadlock over the future of fossil fuels – and that they can get all 198 countries on board with the latest wording.

    Our team here are sifting through the details – we'll bring you more when we get it.

  9. Wait, so why are we here again?published at 03:04 Greenwich Mean Time 13 December 2023

    Georgina Rannard
    Climate reporter, at COP28

    Dubai Expo Centre
    Image caption,

    The sun is rising in Dubai

    Joining us on the first metro into the Dubai Expo 2020 centre this morning were staff working at these talks, a few journalists and negotiators.

    Nearly 200 countries are here to make progress on tackling climate change.

    Hosted by oil-rich United Arab Emirates, the key issue dominating talks is whether countries can finally agree to cut our reliance on planet-warming coal, oil and gas.

    If so, when, and what might that look like?

    All nations must agree or there is no deal.

    A draft agreement published on Monday pushed the talks close to collapse.

    It was met with fury from some nations that said it was not strong enough on slashing use of fossil fuels.

    But other countries who rely on making money from oil and gas, or countries that want financial help moving to a greener economy, were pleased.

    Cue furious negotiations and late-night talks.

    More than 36 hours later, we are still waiting for the new text that could save these talks - or signal their failure.

    Dubai Expo Centre 2020
    Image caption,

    The train into conference was packed - despite the early hour

  10. COP conferences have a habit of running latepublished at 01:14 Greenwich Mean Time 13 December 2023

    With COP conferences, there is a precedent for negotiations to stretch well into the night, and often the next day - with uncertainty about whether a deal will be struck.

    Last year in Egypt, negotiators stayed in place beyond the Friday deadline - continuing to hold talks as the venue at the Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh was dismantled.

    An agreement was eventually reached on a “loss and damage” fund to assist vulnerable countries hit by climate disasters.

    The year before in Glasgow, it was another all-nighter, as delegates saw the Friday deadline come and go. An agreement was eventually reached the following day on reducing coal use, with a consensus that the target of limiting global temperature rises to 1.5C of pre-industrial temperature should stay in place.

    And at the conference where that landmark temperature goal was set, the 2015 COP21 conference in Paris, delegates worked beyond the end of the two-week conference to reach the historic agreement, external.

    While different factors can cause a delay, often the issue of who should pay to combat climate change globally plays a role.

  11. 'My children are so afraid'published at 00:27 Greenwich Mean Time 13 December 2023

    Malu Cursino
    Live reporter

    Aydah Akao
    Image caption,

    Aydah Akao, 43, travelled to COP28 while pregnant with her fifth child

    With the COP28 climate talks drawing to a close, three mothers from different continents tell the BBC how their love for their children has motivated them to take their arguments to the people in power.

    For the past week, in the sweltering heat of Dubai, Aydah Akao has been on a singular mission.

    For her personally, there are five reasons the world needs to act far more urgently on climate change: her children. Four are at home in the Solomon Islands, and she is pregnant with the fifth.

    "My children are so afraid," Akao tells the BBC. Rising sea levels are more than just lines on a chart for her family. It means their home, and heritage, are at risk of disappearing beneath the waves.

    COP28 is her first UN climate summit, but as she marches around the vast Expo 2020 venue, she's not alone.

    Mothers from across the world have joined forces at the summit in Dubai to ensure their voices are heard by the heads of state and policy-makers making the key decisions at this conference.

    Akao said her community in the Temotu province of the Pacific country is bearing the brunt of natural disasters worsened by climate change - from cyclones to droughts.

    It was a long journey to get here, but for her, the sense of urgency and the need to get that across to everyone she meets is palpable.

  12. What happens between now and 06:00published at 23:48 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2023

    Esme Stallard
    Climate reporter, at COP28

    Frans Timmermans Vice-President of the European Commission speaks to press during the UNFCCC COP27 climate conference on November 19, 2022 in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt.Image source, Thomas Trutschel/Getty Images
    Image caption,

    Photos of the press gaggles from last year's COP27 in Egypt show the fever-pitch excitement it can reach towards the end

    Between now and 06:00 (02:00 GMT), not a lot will be happening for the countries and their delegations - they will be back at their hotels trying to get some sleep.

    But the COP28 presidency and UN team will be frantically working to draft the new text based on the feedback they have received from countries in the consultations, which ended only about an hour ago.

    When that text drops, make no mistake that this now empty site - bar me, security and the cleaning staff - will become electric.

    Countries will be holding rapidly organised press conferences, journalists will be pouring over the text and the eyes of the world will once again be back on Dubai.

    There is nothing like the end of a COP.

  13. Where India stands on key fossil fuelspublished at 23:18 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2023

    Navin Singh Khadka
    Environment correspondent, BBC World Service

    Labourers load coal onto a supply truck on the outskirts of Jammu, April 6, 2017.Image source, Reuters
    Image caption,

    Labourers loading coal on to a supply truck in Indian-administered Jammu last month

    The world’s third largest emitter of greenhouse gases, India is relatively quiet on the contentious issue of phasing out fossil fuels at COP28.

    But it did hint at its position by not signing up to a pledge to triple global renewable energy capacity by 2030 that more than 120 countries made on 9 December at the UN climate meet. Reason: the pledge said renewables deployment must be accompanied by a phase-down of unabated coal power.

    Barely a week before COP28 began, India’s power ministry had announced that it was adding 80 GW thermal power, coal-based, by 2031-32 because power demand in the country had increased at an "unprecedented rate”.

    COP26 in Glasgow in 2021 had “phase down coal” in its declaration, after China and India led the fight against Western countries’ push for “phase out coal”.

    Ever since, India has seen the West and several other rapidly developing countries carry on with oil and gas, some even expanding their production.

    It now argues that coal must not be singled out.

    As per phasing out or phasing down of all fossil fuels, it has chosen to keep its cards close to its chest so far while stressing “equity and climate justice as the basis of climate action".

  14. An update on timingspublished at 22:20 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2023

    Esme Stallard
    Climate reporter, at COP28

    The latest meetings are normally displayed on TV screens across the site. They have been blank for the last few hours, but a new message has just popped up on screen.

    "All texts are intended to be published at 06:00am... following which the President will convene plenary at 09:30am."

    The Indonesian delegation have just walked past me and confirmed that the Plenary - the meeting when all the countries will get back together to decide on the text - will start then.

    That means we will see a new text nearly four hours from now - as the sun comes up here in Dubai.

    TV screen with blue background and message that reads: "All texts are intended to be published at 06:00am on Wednesday 13 December following which the President will convene plenary at 9:30am."
  15. New options on the table on fossil fuels...maybepublished at 21:59 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2023

    Esme Stallard
    Climate reporter, at COP28

    Two men and two women walk past cafe inside hall, dark outside.
    Image caption,

    The few remaining delegates are starting to leave ready to return early tomorrow

    Bloomberg reporters are saying that they have seen a copy of the updated draft text. This is still under review, they have said, meaning what they have seen isn't necessarily final.

    Instead of a list of options that countries "could" take to reduce their emissions, they are saying it now reads that countries "should". That includes:

    • Rapidly phasing down unabated coal
    • Accelerating emissions reductions from road transport
    • Transitioning away from fossil fuels

    In this version, there is no commitment to "phase out fossil fuels", but this would strengthen the language from what was in the previous draft.

    In exchange for a stronger position on this issue, I would expect for nations like the EU to have provided reassurances to developing countries that they will provide more financial support to move away from fossil fuels.

    But I have just seen the Fiji, Saudi and Indonesian delegations leave and they don't yet have a final draft text. So I would view this as one option of potentially a few that are still on the table.

  16. Sleepy delegates await new draft dealpublished at 21:24 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2023

    Delegates from across the world have been at COP28 in Dubai since 30 November hashing out what the 2023 climate summit deal will amount to.

    Although it's not unexpected for COPs to overrun, delegates - much like you and me - are only human and need sleep.

    But the fear of missing out on the twists and turns of overnight talks has led to some people camping out at Expo City tonight.

    Woman at COP28 venue as negotiations go into overtime (12 December 2023)
    Group of people at COP28 late into the night as negotiations overrun.
  17. Am I hallucinating or are they playing Christmas music?published at 20:55 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2023

    Esme Stallard
    Climate reporter, at COP28

    It's past midnight here in Dubai and everyone is starting to feel very weary.

    I had to check with colleagues that I wasn't hearing things when "I'll be home for Christmas" started blaring from the central courtyard.

    Feels like a nudge from the COP gods that the deal needs to be wrapped and we should all leave.

    Turns out they're just practising for the opening of a winter wonderland festival at the site on Friday - so if we don't get a deal before then, we might be kicked out anyway, to make way for Santa.

  18. COP quiz: Think you’ve got what it takes?published at 20:35 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2023

    Dulcie Lee
    Live reporter, at COP28

    Don’t worry, we won’t grill you on the niche acronyms flung around in the corridors at COP28 - but, while we wait for the new draft text, here are six quick questions worth knowing the answer to:

    1. What does COP stand for?
    2. Where is COP28 being held?
    3. What’s net zero?
    4. What does 1.5C refer to - and why’s it important?
    5. Who channeled Yoda from Star Wars this year?
    6. What are “unabated” fossil fuels? (Okay, we’re being mean now...)

    Answers below the photo…

    US climate envoy John Kerry and COP28 president Sultan Al-Jaber were spotted earlier, clearly conferring about the answers to this very quizImage source, Getty Images
    Image caption,

    US climate envoy John Kerry and COP28 president Sultan Al-Jaber were spotted earlier, clearly conferring about the answers to this very quiz

    Answer 1: Conference of the Parties - "parties" are the countries that signed the original UN climate agreement in 1992. (This is the 28th COP - hence COP28.)

    Answer 2: Dubai, in the United Arab Emirates.

    Answer 3: Net-zero is the point at which a country - or business etc - is no longer adding to the total amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. It’s worth nothing not all emissions can be reduced to zero, so the rest need to be actively removed.

    Answer 4: 1.5C is a key threshold - it means that by the year 2100, the world's average surface temperature will have risen to no more than 1.5C (2.7F) warmer than pre-industrial times. Scientists predict that, at 1.5C of warming, many of the deadliest effects of climate change are reduced.

    Answer 5: The UN’s climate chief Simon Stiell, rather surprisingly, evoked Yoda from Star Wars in his speech at the conference: "Do or not do. There is no try," he said.

    Answer 6: Unabated fossil fuels - like coal, oil and gas - are fuels whose emissions are released directly into the atmosphere, without using tech to capture their planet-warming gases. However, finding consensus over a legally watertight meaning of “unabated” is a key issue at COP28.

  19. What's been happening?published at 19:50 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2023

    Malu Cursino
    Live reporter

    As my colleague Dulcie Lee has just said, it's past 23:00 in Dubai and our team at COP28 will have an early start with closed-door negotiations going on throughout the night.

    Until we know more about this much-awaited reiteration of the draft deal, our team here in London will be bringing you the latest. So, what's been happening today?

    • A new version of the deal was made necessary after a promise to "phase out" fossil fuels was removed from Monday's draft - many nations were outraged
    • Continuing negotiations need to take into consideration the interests of 198 countries, who all have to agree on the text for it to become a pact between nations
    • It all follows COP28 President Sultan al-Jaber's pledge on Monday that a deal would be finalised by Tuesday at 11:00 local time - which did not happen
    • It is all in the semantics of the text, but many small island nations see the refusal to agree to an end to fossil fuel use as a threat to their existence
    • Meanwhile, oil-rich nations represented by Opec were warned to oppose "phase out" language
    • Throughout the day, climate activists have rallied at Expo City in Dubai with banners and placards to voice their disdain over the lack of fossil fuel "phase out" language in the earlier draft deal
    • But the BBC is hearing that the new text, which is likely to be published in the early hours of Wednesday, will be "more ambitious" than the current version of text being scrutinised by activists and analysts
    • This sentiment is echoed by remarks from US climate envoy John Kerry, who says the new draft text will contain stronger language

  20. A doorway, some tired security guards, and a few stray journalists...published at 19:18 Greenwich Mean Time 12 December 2023

    Dulcie Lee
    Live reporter, at COP28

    All eyes are on one key room here at COP28, where the ministers of various countries are thrashing out what they can and can't agree to in this global deal to tackle climate change.

    Sadly for us, the door is closed, with only occasional glimpses inside.

    Outside? A bunch of tired-looking security guards, and a few stray journalists pacing up and down.

    A woman walks into meeting room six at COP26
    Image caption,

    It doesn't look like much, but I promise interesting things are going on inside...

    As the clock ticks past 23:00 here in Dubai, some of our team are hedging our bets and heading for a quick rest.

    The next key moment will be when a draft deal drops - with many nations hoping it'll contain stronger wording than the current one, which has ditched a promise of phasing out fossil fuels.

    We're handing over to colleagues in our London newsroom, who will continue to break all the key lines for the next few hours.