What would Watkins offer Man Utd?published at 15:49 BST 29 July
Tom McCoy
BBC Sport journalist
Image source, Getty ImagesManchester United transfer target Ollie Watkins has provided consistent goal threat for Aston Villa since joining from Brentford in 2020, more than justifying his transfer fee of £28m rising to £33m with add-ons.
The Torquay-born striker has reached double figures in all five of his seasons with Villa and his 19 Premier League goals in 2023-24 equalled a club record.
He has also been available for the vast majority of games, featuring in 184 of 190 top-flight matches.
His principal strengths are pace and movement, traits that have enabled him to register 211 shots on target in the past five Premier League seasons, second only to Mohamed Salah.
And yet, while he is a constant source of danger, his finishing statistics have fluctuated.
Two seasons ago, Watkins enjoyed a hot streak in scoring 27 times across all competitions, overperforming his expected goals total by 6.2 and netting with 20% of his attempts.
Those figures regressed last season, with the England international underperforming his expected goals total by four and converting 15.3% of his chances.
It perhaps did not help that during the first half of the campaign he was often replaced by Jhon Duran in the closing stages of games, allowing the Colombia striker - rather than Watkins - to capitalise when space opened up.
Nonetheless, in the Premier League, Watkins missed a league-high 27 'big chances' (as defined by Opta), scoring only a third of such opportunities. That compares to a success rate of approximately 50% for peers such as Salah, Erling Haaland, Alexander Isak and Yoane Wissa.
Despite this, he does offer more than just goals. Since the start of 2023-24, he has provided 27 assists, the third-highest total by a Premier League player in all competitions over that period.
Aged 29, Watkins may not offer a long-term option for United but he would be a clear upgrade on their current options.
If Villa can be persuaded to sell.

























