Are the England supporters employing a reverse psychology here then? Well there are no alarms from Shah in this over, dropping a little short, and the two Yorkshire batsmen collect a single apiece.

Stephen Hill: If series were an Olympic boxing match then Pakistan might just have nicked it on a split decision?

Luke Dady: Driving back to Dorset from the Midlands and wondering whether England will last as long as the journey.

Mohammad Amir begins with a maiden, Bairstow respectfully keeping him out. Cookie Monster is watching on intently from the stands, checking the score on his phone. Or checking something on his phone.

Ian Shepherd: We need a miracle really don't we? Need innings of a lifetime to even give us a chance. Probably over by dinnertime.

Russell Anderson: There's more chance of a humble Zlatan Ibrahimovic interview than there is of England saving this game.

A positive start for England, seven runs coming from the over and Gary Ballance punching an authoritative drive through the covers to the boundary.

Phil Tufnell
Ex-England spinner on BBC Test Match Special

I think this will end by 2pm or 3pm. Yasir's fizzing, ready to go, he's keen to get into his work. I think one or two in England will be struggling. But this is cricket, anything can happen. 

The leg-spinner Yasir Shah will begin the bowling, looking to improve on his already impressive 3-15 from seven overs. A slip and a silly point are in place and Bairstow to face.

So it's odds against England, if we can use that phrase. But Australia won a match when faced with a first innings deficit of 291 once, against Sri Lanka in Colombo in 1992. They were not 88-4 in their second innings though. Anyway, the umpires are on their way out to the centre and we're almost ready to begin.

Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special

The way Misbah leads, he's cool, he's calm. He had a real bad day at Edgbaston just a few days ago. He came here, lost the toss, but he did his basics. On day one Pakistan were poor for an hour, but all of a sudden they clicked into life.

BBC Test Match Special

Pakistan (and ex-Yorkshire) batsman Younus Khan on his relationship with Geoffrey Boycott: "Whenever I got out at Yorkshire, he always says 'why did you do this or that?'. He's a top man, and I have lots of regards for him."

Tameena Hussain: If Pakistan do the job today, it'll be a superb end to a brilliant series & a fine way to celebrate #PakistanIndependenceDay, external

Avi: India won their Test match against WI despite a day being rained off. Only six wickets left for Eng so not sure if even rain can help.

Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special

Image source, Getty Images

For a few years now England have been picking players aged 25 or 26, who have had a few years in county cricket. I say why not start with someone younger? Like they did with Root, Cook, Anderson and Broad. There's this young Lancashire lad, who batted all day against Yorkshire. England have got to be willing to be brave. Maybe pick someone who can be a player for the next 10 years.

 Lancashire's teenage opener Haseeb Hameed made his first Roses match century to put his side on top at Old Trafford.

Alec Stewart
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special

I would say 2-2 is probably a fair reflection on how this series has played out.

(Alec has a look of Steve McQueen, do you think? Tweet #bbccricket, text 81111 email tms@bbc.co.uk)

Michael Vaughan
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special

There are six sessions remaining and they have to win every one to stay in this game. I don't think they will do it. England haven't looked right this week. You can have an excuse if you want, there's always something, but for whatever reason England haven't covered the basics.

Maybe Jonny Bairstow can play the role of Ian Botham in the classic Headingley Test from 1981?, external Well, he's a big-hitting, burly, bearded batsman whose name begins with B. England were actually in a worse position in that match when four wickets down, they were 186 runs behind then. Over to you Jonny.

Image source, Getty Images

Alec Stewart
Ex-England captain on BBC Test Match Special

You've got to have a strong mental mind. You go back to Johannesburg where Michael Atherton batted for 10 hours to save the match. You want to put the scoreboard to one side. If they bowl a bad ball put it away, if it's a good ball just defend. Only four of England's wickets in this match have been good bowling, the rest have been batsman error.

BBC Weather's Philip Avery: "High pressure is dominant and things won't change markedly through the course of the day. Temperatures will be about 18 or 19 degrees. There's not too much breeze. The cloud won't be a bother but there could be a spot of rain. But I don't see the weather being an excuse for England today. If it goes into tomorrow, it will be a dry day, with greater chance of a sunshine."

With that cloud cover it may swing around a bit as well!